Comments by "Hiyuke La Vie" (@hiyukelavie2396) on "Binkov's Battlegrounds" channel.

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  8. Ok, let's assume the best case scenario for US forces The US navy completely destroys China's navy, and the US air force wipes out China's air force China tries to retaliate with ballistic missiles but those all get intercepted at a 100% rate US submarines and carrier groups bomb the entire Chinese seaboard with impunity and wipes out all Chinese military bases and factories For all practical purposes, the US can now land troops unopposed anywhere they want on China's coast They do that, and bulldoze their way to Beijing in short order And they miraculously manage to do all this while sustaining almost negligible loses of their own In short, the war goes swimmingly well for the US But now what? So the US has occupied the entire coast and also Beijing What next? Pop some champagne and receive China's surrender? Unfortunately, they won't surrender. To them, the war has only just begun See, even if in the best case scenario where everything goes right for the US, it's not going to lead to an end to the war It'll simply lead to dragged out conflict spanning decades, with the US trying to hold on to the coast while China simply retreats to its interior and launch opportunistic counter attacks, while conducting guerilla warfare against the invaders on their own home ground In short, it's going to lead to another Vietnam or Afghanistan type conflict, except on a MUCH, MUCH bigger scale I mean, Afghanistan is a fraction of China's size, and at its peak the US had about 110,000 soldiers there. In order to maintain their hold on China's coast and surrounding areas, the US would need to pour in considerably more personnel than that The US could try to brainwash the Chinese people in areas it conquered and install a puppet regime supportive of the US, but that's more of less exactly what the did in Afghanistan with the Taliban There's just no way the US can capture China As discussed, even if the war went perfectly for the US in the early years, it's not going to lead to a quick end of the war, it'll simply be the beginning of a decades long conflict, and it'll be suicidal for the US to pour in ground troops trying to hold territory that it captured And this is all assuming the best case scenario for the US In a worst case scenario, where China's missiles destroys entire carrier groups encroaching its shores, the war is going to be even more painful for the US. It's safe to say that the US president who orders US carriers into Chinese waters only to be sunk by missiles is not going to survive the next election Both sides know that there is no way the US can win a war against China. A war between the two is going to be a very painful one for both sides involved, and China has a much higher pain tolerance. It's the reason why Chinese diplomat Yang Jiechi could look US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken in the eye and say the US is not qualified to speak from a position of strength
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