Comments by "DrScopeify" (@drscopeify) on "HistoryLegends" channel.

  1. The water around Taiwan is too shallow for the Ferries with heavy weight on them but they could tow behind them a string of smaller supply boats and just bring them closer but ferries are an easy target even for tanks can probably hit pretty easy and it might block the area with smoke and damaged ships so not even worth it. The US Navy will easily break the PLA Navy blockade as the Chinese side will of course not attack US ships so time is very limited, maybe China will try and block ports of the east coast of Taiwan so that the US Navy is forced to offload without port access which will slow supply down somewhat and maybe if the PLA Navy is very aggressive maybe they will try and block the path of US ships and maybe even play some dummy ramming games as if they are planning to ram US ships but I think that is really dangerous and would justify US opening fire but then PLA Navy would be held back from responding which makes China look weak so I don't think they would try to dummy ram US ships as that is a stupid move but PLA Navy is known to be stupid and hot headed which leads to bad results.
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  2. This war would destroy the Russian economy - this is why Vladimir is usually very joking or totally dismissive when he talks about Taiwan war possibility. There is no country on this planet that is trying more to prevent this than Russia. The west will be able to create a new order that does not include China and the risk for Russia is a dramatic rise in cost of goods around the globe PERMINNAETLY. The world will never see prices of goods as low as they are today. The outcome of this is large collapse of demand for goods as prices rise, and Russia that is an exporter of resources will see a large decline in demand of resources. The world today is buying every day 80% of goods are leisure, they are nice to have but not a requirement. This aspect of goods in globalized world will end as price and supply of goods is reduced dramatically by Policy. Becasue the demand and supply of goods will be reduced, the options of where to move money will fall = inflation. More money, less goods. Russia has lost 90% of 1980s production for civilian use. This is more loss than any other country. So Russia will have the largest shortage of goods in the world while needing to continue to pay money for Oil and Gas industry = hyperinflation. There will be no country on this planet with a larger shortage of goods and flood of liquidity than Russia. Yes, Russian authority can try and close access to banks, investments, and lock away money but then there will be nothing to offer gas and oil industry workers. So what Will Russia do? They will freeze all Russian's access to money except for a class of people, Oil and Gas workers, solders, Government workers, people that work in military industry. But everyone else will suffer. This will open the door to civil unrest in Russia and where that goes I do not know. If I was in Russia , and if I would think a Taiwan war is possible or a fact going to happen, I would be a prepper on steroids. The situation in Russia could be come very bad, shortage of goods, locking up of your access to money, limiting access to buy goods. Splitting Russian population access depending on if they serve the economy and country depending on their work field.
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  3. When China places a blockade on Taiwan the US Navy will set sail and it will be up to China how to react. My guess is that the PLA and China will let the US Navy do whatever it wants and avert a direct conflict so China and PLA cannot stop US supplies to Taiwan so the game will be for China and PLA to take over Taipei as fast as possible and bring an end to the conflict before the US can do anything. The problem is that PLA has not fought a war since 1970s and it did very poorly so I think China must first fight a totally different country first before it can take on Taiwan. I think China can try and start a conflict with Nepal or Magnolia or just any country to give the PLA experience. I think China will not take on Taiwan before giving the PLA a chance to prove itself and take on real battle on another front first.
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  4.  @pathat8869  Taiwan has very high quality electronic warfare which will limit precision weapons capabilities considerably unless the PLA Navy can get much closer first to support the precision weapons but they will become easy targets for anti ship weapons so it's a chicken vs egg problem. Most probably the PLA will send the Navy first but if many ships are lose they will pull back and hope the PLA Airforce and missiles can do damage but if that fails there is a big problem, PLA Navy cannot approach so really that risks failure before any landing craft are even sent which will make China look very weak and risk Communist Party falling so that is a lot of risk. I think China will not attack Taiwan and will try and take over with other methods such as running their own political candidates, war is too dangerous for China, they have more to lose
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