Comments by "Nicholas Conder" (@nicholasconder4703) on "Good Times Bad Times"
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I disagree. If you look historically, birth rates tend to drop when there is an increase in the standard of living. There is a delay in this effect, usually 1-2 generations, which is why one initially sees surges in population (like Britain during the Industrial Revolution). However, once that initial surge has passed, one sees a population decline as people have more time to spend on recreational activities and want to "enjoy life" rather than raise children. Higher education levels mean people stay in colleges and universities, and get married later in life. Couples don't want to have children because that eats into their budget and free time. The development of electronic means of communication has led to the reduction in face-to-face social interactions, again leading to a drop in birth rates.
By the way, Calhoun did a wonderful experiment with rats back in the 1960s. I think what happened in this experiment was quite prophetic, and describes what you are talking about. I added a link to the wikipedia page on this, but there are other articles and videos on this experiment. Personally, I think we are seeing Calhoun's experiment taking place in human society right now.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Behavioral_sink
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@dpakj989 If Russia is having to press-gang every male they can find in the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts, and are recruiting prisoners from jails in Russia, they are in dire straits for manpower. If they are taking T-62 tanks out of storage and using old ammunition on the front lines, they are in serious trouble equipment-wise. Putin cannot call up his reserves without declaring war, and doesn't want to because a lot of those people are in his security services, police departments, etc. Calling them up will not only expose the lie of the "special military operation", but potentially reduce his law enforcement/suppression forces to the point where open revolt might be possible by the Russian population.
Russia needs to keep a large chunk of its army along the borders with China, Mongolia, Kazakhstan, Georgia, the Baltic States and Finland. The troops that Putin sent to Ukraine are those he can spare without degrading his border defenses to the point that another nation, most likely China, can grab some Russian territory. The Russians also do not have the huge reserves of operational tanks they used to either. The number is estimated at around 3,000.
Biggest problem Russia has is graft and corruption. Org tables have been inflated by generals to get money out of the system. Many of the tanks were not upgraded to the latest versions of armor, hence the "cages" many of them sported at the beginning of the conflict. The T-14 is years behind in development and deployment (Russia has a total of 20), as is their newest fighter. The majority of Russian troops don't have night vision equipment, which they should have had by now. The majority of their equipment is out of date, and their allies from the DPR and LPR are using WW2-era rifles and helmets. A large quantity of the funds meant to purchase modern equipment has ended up in dacha and mega-yachts for the oligarchs, including Putin.
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And if Russia is outnumbered 3:1 by the Ukrainians, like you claim, why did Russia attack in the first place? Only an idiot does that.
I have included links to sites explaining all of this in detail.
Forced conscription of DPR and LPR citizens: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HbK1umnRR-s&list=PLscTZuOqKWIwl9ud2oKoGVGdiZVu454kt&index=4
Recruiting from jails: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4-88Wsjprfs
Military corruption - Russian army figures may be inflated: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8F0kSDV9U_E
Russian tanks in storage: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eHhgVrKJJoA&t=457s
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@Wustenfuchs109 What happened in Afghanistan is just the latest "wash, rinse, repeat" cycle that has been going on in the country for the last 200 years or so. Basically, it boils down to the government in Kabul decides it needs to modernize. This upsets the hill tribes who unite under a charismatic leader. The tribes then come out hills, stomp the reformers, and often raze Kabul. There follows a 1-2 decade period where they are in control, then the old feuds come to the surface. The tribes then start fighting amongst themselves, fall apart and disappear back into the hills until the next thing upsets them. I discovered this reading a history of Afghanistan, and discovered I could just change the names and/or countries involved, and the same scenario repeated itself. That is, sadly, Afghanistan's albatross - a group of atavistic, xenophobic tribes who are raised on intertribal warfare and abhor change.
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