Comments by "pinball1970" (@pinball1970) on "BBC News"
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@KehOfAllTrades KehOfAllTrades From this 15 year old article the points you probably want to refer me too are the fact that Ferguson referred to a novel virus potentially being a global killer? They are, we are in the middle of one right now.
That viruses can mutate? They do. That Spanish flu killed up to 100 million? It did.
They don't know, biological mathematics is not the same as having a crystal ball. They build models and run scenarios.
What scenario do we have? 382,000 deaths in 3 months. Over half seasonal flu deaths globally in a quarter of the time AND (the part you keep failing to acknowledge) WITH lockdown.
Deaths in the UK from seasonal? Average given as 17,000 with lows at 2000 and highs at 28,000.
COVID deaths is now at 39000, in 3 months, WITH lockdown.
USA? Seasonal 26,000-83,000 (ball park, some variation here)
COVID? 108,000 in 3 months. WITH lockdown.
Is this sinking in yet?
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