Comments by "HomerOJSimpson" (@Homer-OJ-Simpson) on "TLDR News EU" channel.

  1. What is left out of this is the major improvements that europe is doing on energy efficiency. Europe won’t need as much gas next year (I guess next winter?). Still will be some problems.
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  2. 1:48 you have a list of the Russo-Turkish wars. Most of those before 1800 were europe helping the growing Russia because Europe’s main concern was to weaken the ottomans. There is one war missing in the map in Crimean war of 1853 with ottomans and Europe against Russia. Europe at this point saw ottomans were weak and now wanted to container Russia. Russia lost the Crimean war
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  3. The thing is Marcon isn't actually concerned the EU should be less reliant on the US, he wants the EU to becomes reliant on France. He want's a France led EU.
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  4. EU needs to step up and become less reliant but Macrons position on Taiwan is BAD. In addition, he chose the wrong time to make such a statement. Marcon isn't actually concerned the EU should be less reliant on the US, he wants the EU to becomes reliant on France. He want's a France led EU. France often acts against the EU when it's not in their interest. They are often able to do this because they are supported by resources from their neo colonies in West Africa. On geopolitical issues, it seems like France and Germany are often at odds with the rest of the EU. Eastern part of the EU and Sweden/Finland have serious concerns with Russia and thus to an extent also China. France and Germany might be a combination of trying to maintain autonomy and big trade with China (and Russia for Germany) that they end up often arguing different than the EU.
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  5. "Economies can keep going for a while if you implement enough measures to adjust to them. Russia had a very large reserve from oil revenue and can therefore continue for quite some time. " It costs them economically though but yes, it can avoid utter destruction of the economy if they keep adjusting which usually comes at more cost to the economy. In the long run, it's very damaging and the longer the war goes on, the significantly worse situation Russia will be in. But there is certainly no doubt they will be able to adjust in the short term.
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  6.  @sobieckil07  Well, most of the EU is mostly in line with Poland. But the two biggest (i.e. leaders) of the EU in Germany and France frequently are on the opposite side of the rest of the EU on foreign related matters and security. I think it's in large part because Germany and France have too big of trade dependence on China and Russia (for Germany) and because both want to try to keep some autonomy even if it's making bad decisions. Sort of like Turkey with NATO.
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  7. A tanker is a large barrel. The point being made is oil on international trade is almost all traded by more expensive barrels and tankers while natural gas (LNG not included) goes by pipe lines
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  8. 100%. EU needs to step up and become less reliant but Macrons position on Taiwan is BAD. In addition, he chose the wrong time to make such a statement. Marcon isn't actually concerned the EU should be less reliant on the US, he wants the EU to becomes reliant on France. He want's a France led EU. France often acts against the EU when it's not in their interest. They are often able to do this because they are supported by resources from their neo colonies in West Africa.
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  9. Sounds a lot like it's more for political show to the domestic audience in Turkey.
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  10. The only problem is relying heavily on a country that is NOT an ally. It was a huge mistake to depend on Russia this much. They had since at least 2014 to do something about it.
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  11.  UAE Emirates  I never said the Eu can kick them out — in fact I suggested they can’t do they report to punishing them by taking away some funding that they normally got. I get ur with UAE but news flash, turkeys values don’t align that well with most of Europe. Turkey is authoritarian, becoming a light dictatorship, socially conservative and becoming more religious dominated, etc. Probably what you like in the UAE!
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  12. Which is why I have no problem what Sweden did in regards to the EU part of the negotiations. EU will only accept Turkey when Turkey has changed from it's current state. 15 years ago they were HEADED in that direction and needed more time to get there...then Erdogan decided to go backwards.
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  13.  @voicpanov3594  oh, Ruzzian has arrived. Time for the Ruzzian to defend the fscst leader.
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  14.  @louiscypher4186  His position on Taiwan is bad. He basically just openly admitted to just let China invade Taiwan. He doesn't have to support using European military but what he stated was just wrong on so many levels. He also suggested they wouldn't support some kind of economic punishment against China. The whole problem is because Macron (and France) would rather make bad decisions just to keep some autonomy. He's right that Europe should be more independent from the US but his actions and words over the year suggest he wants a France controlled EU.
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  15.  @skydragon23101979  China invading Taiwan would have huge global economic disaster. That's where most of the advance chips are made. And 40% of world trade goes through the Malacca Strait and through the East Vietnam Sea. In addition, PRC won't stop there. If they do such an invasion, more are to come. They will use force to take the East Vietnam Sea.
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  16.  @skydragon23101979  "China building up her military is to prevent external parties from trying to interfere in Chinese affairs. You mean affairs like attacking TW? And India? And trying to take the East Vietnam Sea? Or is it West Philippine sea? >From China’s point of view there are plenty of US military bases around China Why do so many nations near China want protection from China? Even Vietnam is working with the US. Add in Philippines, Taiwan, South Korea, and Japan. And to a lesser extent, even Singapore and Indonesia are working with the US to contain China. Why?
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  17. The good news for Ukraine is that it appears the current fighting is indeed the Russian offensive and Russia is having a much higher rate of casualties in that battle in the Donbas for just a small tiny gain. The bad news for Ukraine is that it shows that likely from here on out, any gains will be very slow and with high casualty rates.
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  18. Yes, the straight is way too important to let Turkey go. That’s the only reason Turkey is in NATO. The influence in NATO can change for Turkey though. NATO is less likely to support Turkey bare minimum so long as Turkey is a bad actor in NATO. We see the EU growing some balls and have cut funding to Hungary and I believe Poland for their non democratic ways.
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  19.  @MaximGhost  Yeah, Turkey's value is basically just it's location. Other than that, the rest of NATO has little in common with Turkey on values, culture, etc.
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  20.  @youwouldntclickalinkonyout6236  trump flip flops in the same sentence- sometimes 3 times!
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  21.  @jaspermooren5883  The problem is that as an autocratic leader, he has a lot of pull in forming the opinions of the people. But I guess these types of moves will keep benefiting him -- increase nationalism at home, talk a big game on foreign matter, then take a small concession and blow it up as a major win. Much like how Trump did NAFTA -- called it the worst trade deal in history then made few changes, rebranded it, and then claimed it's a great trade deal. People will buy what these guys are selling which is sad.
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  22.  @idraote  what?? You’re right about Singapore but it’s completely wrong to say South Korea is defacto dictatorship given its a true democracy and they have jailed presidents.
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  23.  @skydragon23101979  Arguing that an invasion of Taiwan would be over quickly? Wow, I have never heard of that. No expert has ever said that -- except the See See Pee. Hmmm. Taiwan has lots of weapons and is an island. It's reported that China would need over 1 million to have a chance to take the island. They will be sitting ducks out in the ocean as they try to land. The mountains of Taiwan provide so many places to fire missiles from
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  24. Yeah, they made the mistake of requiring unanimous support to evict someone from EU as if one country can’t be bought by another or a second country might be just as bad and align with the country in question. There are 27 EU countries so if 25/26 want you out, that should be enough to evict.
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  25.  @peka2478  leopard 2 has gone through major upgrades and isn’t at all today like the first build in 1979. Ruzzian equipment either has Changed little or nothing at all for decades.
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  26.  @tigris4247  hostile alliance describes anyone that is “allied” with Russia. Why do you think everyone wanted to break away from USSR and why do you think they all wanted to joint to NATO? Seems like Russia is the bully and you’re calling NATO hostile for recognizing that Russia has bullied many countries for centuries and continued after the USSR collapse.
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  27.  @basiltozer9078  going backwards? Russia had half the country and now down to 20%. And Russia stopped advancing.
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  28.  @tigris4247  except it’s at least 500k mostly working age men who are generally the more educated and and higher income Earners. By itself not enough to collapse but if it’s listed one of 3 major reason for russias economic troubles. You are purposely creating a strawaman that others argued that the 500K+ alone would collapse the economy. Creating strawmans to defend Russia is a common tactic of gnomes. Also would like to mention that 500k educated workforce suddenly leaning put of 60m workforce by itself would be about 1-2% of gdp. If they don’t return, that’s 1-2% lower growth every year then they otherwise would have. It adds up. And the people leaving is likely increasing at a good rate.
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  29.  @unnamedness  "Taiwan is still China." How so? Taiwan has it's own government, it's own miltary, it's own culture, and pays no taxes to China. What See SEE Pee evidence to you have?
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  30.  @skydragon23101979  >although they say they standby one China principle The one forced on people by China? > Is China preventing any commercial ships from passing through They attacked Phillipines fishing boats and Vietnam gas drillers. And you're saying that China taking the West Philippines sea won't be a problem to anyone? Why even take it with force like they are doing?
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  31. It's a great move that is working out well. The key is to keep lowering the cap to adjust for the going rate. It should be something like $60 per barrel or $30 under the going rate, which ever is lower.
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  32.  @r-uu2qi  "Ukraine is winning the war by a lot." A bit too much hyperbole there. Ukraine is winning but not by a lot.
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  33.  @PeterAuto1  I 100% agree. I feel next winter is the last struggle for Europe. In two winters, europe will likely have had enough time to restructure its energy system and Russia will have had teo straight years of sanctions.
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  34. That's an interesting comparison. I think one big differences is the loan to the Bank of Switzerland is likely to be paid back and loans to Ukraine are likely to not be paid back by Ukraine (maybe by a 3rd party though).
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  35.  @cageybee7221  One decade to pay all the loans? That's assuming the war ends today. This war will continue for a while. Also, are we including the loans that will be provided to rebuild Ukraine or are we only looking at the loans during the war? If we are considering the loans after the war, no way Ukraine will ever be able to pay off most or all of those loans.
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  36.  @cageybee7221  A decade after the peace deal is signed? But the longer the war goes, the most debt they will have. Imagine 4 yrs of this -- 4x the debt they already have! And you're saying the the EU would give Ukraine over $100 billion euros in loans to pay other loans? And that's not including the hundreds of billions more needed to rebuilt Ukraine.
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  37. 3:12 FYI, this is comparing revenue from energy vs costs of war. Yes, revenue from energy is slightly higher but that isn’t the profit of revenue. The profit is much smaller thus the energy profit isn’t enough to pay for the war which is why they are still going further and further into debt.
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  38.  @skydragon23101979  "Yes that logic is accurate because once you are a great power you decide your own destiny " But they can do so much more within the EU than trying to go on their own. Going on their own by doing bad things and making bad decisions is worse for France and the world. OP also isn't saying Europe shouldn't be more independent, OP is saying that France wants France to become more independent.
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  39.  @skydragon23101979  Also, you are defending China elsewhere so yeah, not going to believe there is any care for Europe or France from Choon Kiat.
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  40.  @skydragon23101979  He thinks NATO isn't good? And the EU isn't a military alliance which is why I don't find any story supporting your claim saying Macro wants an EU military instead of NATO. How would war in UKR have been prevented? By simply giving UKR to Ruzzia? By giving all of Eastern Europe to Ruzzia?
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  41.  @skydragon23101979  A pro China and somehow think the concerns about Europe are real? The same person who said elsewhere that China invading Taiwan won't cause any global economic problems -- despite Taiwan having the majority of advance chips and despite the fact that China would then be able to take control of the East Philippine Sea where 40% of world trade goes through. There is no zero sum argument I made. >Defending China and looking after Europe’s interests does not have to be in conflict. If one is defending China's actions, then one's interest is in a divided west.
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  42.  @Beachgirl1  of course alt right would love Hungary
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  43.  @MisterFoxton  Yeah, actually, I think that's the part where they did cross the line of click bait. Even it was misleading that Russia actually paid Ukraine when it was just Ukraine doesn't have to pay a debt, saying "Russia just had to pay..." is wrong when that's not what the decision said.
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  44.  @BigBoiiLeem  But the title makes to very misleading comment. First, that Ukraine will be receiving $3 billion to their current situation. They are not. Second and more troubling is that the title states it as a certainty. At 5:02 they specifically say that Ukraine may still have to pay and that it was just that their appeal was granted. A separate court decision will decide on what will actually happen.
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  45. Hungary and Turkey. Evo Morales tried it. Maduro.
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  46.  @陈奕纯-u9c  why is there increased tension? Because Xi. And because he saw after what he did to HK that taiwan wanted to distance itself from China so he increased the tension.
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  47.  @unnamedness  " It's just Chinese" So China didn't have a cultural revolution? Does the China culture support free speech, free press? Do they support democracy? Do they still have strong beliefs and practices of the old Chinese religions? >"local government sure just like Hongkong, or Macau." Those governments answer to Beijing. They teach you that in CHina, right? >. It's by the way not Taiwan it is Taiwan. It's also ROC but it is Taiwan. That's like saying "it's not Mexico, its United Mexican States" or "It's not America, It's the United States of America". etc.
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  48.  @unnamedness  North Korea and South Korea are not the same. Though one could use 'Korea' for short though it's always applied to South Korea. What are you suggesting here? they each have their own government, their own military, their own culture, etc. Back to the question -- how is Taiwan part of China? Based on what?
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  49. " winter doesn’t inherently favour one side or the other, but it does reward the well-prepared and punish the poorly-prepared." Did it mention if favors the military on the offensive vs the military on the defensive? Ukraine is the one that has to move so it might be more difficult with the cold. But as you mentioned, it does punish poorly prepared and that would be Russia.
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  50.  @knockhello2604  Yeah, I just looked it up. Wages in Morocco are comparable to China but morocco doesn't have natural resources, electricity and water are a problem, etc.
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