Comments by "SkyRiver" (@SkyRiver1) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

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  3. I tend to agree with you, but know that I shouldn't. One thing that history and even current events and especially the market demonstrates with such blinding proficiency that most are actually blind to it, is that NOBODY knows what the future actually holds in any meaningfully actionable detail -- some AI directed logarithms seem to come close in their high frequency arbitrage of the market or game play, but even they miss all the time in specific trades or moves. In the media you have a hundred voices that make various predictions based on diverse yet extremely limited perceived variables and then only the one or two voices that guessed most correctly are reported and remembered to any noteworthy degree. That's in the case of the actual future: in the many possible imaginary futures: predictions are easy because what "would have happened" is a non-result with a faulty equation used as a rationalization for it's generation. Nobody knows what -- would-have-happened-- if. And there is absolutely no way to confirm it one way or another. That's why it's so easy for us to think we are right about such imaginings. As an example: how many of our great planners and strategic thinkers predicted in the sixties that of all the populations on earth the communist Vietnamese would hold Americans in highest regard? Or that the Chinese, whom were so backward that they were attempting to produce steel as cottage industry and experiencing such famine that the people had stripped the bark off of trees for food would be a technological powerhouse? Or that some dumb-ass from Texas would destroy the American economy by attacking a country that had absolutely nothing to do with 9/11 based on manufactured "evidence", and trying to nation-build in the stupidest place to try to nation-build on earth (Afghanistan) so that his handler's former corporation could get those juicy cost-plus contracts?
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