Comments by "SkyRiver" (@SkyRiver1) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

  1. Inflation is only 10% in Trump land, in the USA it is 2.9%.
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  2. Anybody could have told them that (and did) more than a hundred years ago -- in modern times. But it goes back, way back, -- and incorporates various historic fantasies and intolerant narratives.
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  3.  @petesmitt  I bet you only think your car comes from Japan. It is probably made in America.
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  4.  @garedmorort  The point may be the same, . . . if you disregard what you wrote, and the obvious difference between that and reality.
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  5. The YouTube logarithms are an enigma. Generally Peter is kind of bock happy. The AI is inscrutable in block applications, and there are even ghost blocks where your comment will be invisible to evey one but you. Then there are the ones that show up in you comment history and no where else. Also the person you reply to can block your comments. The thing that may work is to start another YouTube account. Which is quite easy and try again. Then you can tell if it is Peter who has blocked you. If you care enough. I don't. He blocked me a long time ago for being too nasty to imbeciles, I cannot make original posts, but sometimes can reply to a comment.
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  6.  @jamsbean4383  Maybe if it is AI controlled and only orients itself with a camera, like Tesla's FSD software, it would not need a "signal" -- other than that, if it uses GPS, or radar, or lidar, or any other system that is either active or needs to recieve data (a "signal") that is a vector for hacking. Beside the EMP attack on Saddam's media network, there have been only tests of non-nuclear EMP weapons since the days when the nuclear EMPs were developed and tested successfully. Speaking of the non nuclear EMP, Air Force Research Laboratory commander Maj. Gen. Tom Masiello says CHAMP is "an operational system already in our tactical air force."
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  7.  @middleagedbaldguy6774  Maybe it never occurred to you, but you do not want the POTUS to be capable of saying any dumb crap.
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  8.  @tribalismblindsthembutnoty124  Sure: the kind of job your uncle Guido gets for you on the union construction job, that you don't have to show up for and split the paycheck with him. Also the kind of job you get when your union has negotiated the security of jobs that no longer exist, like the clowns that use to get paid at Bethlehem Steel for doing things that no longer needed doing due to tech advances, but that the company could not get rid of because of union negotiations. Does anybody know why it is stupid to ask if anyone knows something when nobody can respond then says "No? Didn't think so." . . . -- No? Didn't think so.
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  9. Well put, realistic view.
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  10. there'd
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  11.  @IdleWorker Distraction is a reason.
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  12.  @himanshusingh5214  Not to mention TSMC which dwarfs both of them.
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  13. Not just a talking head: a talking walking head.
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  14. On paper Russia looks OK their. But it's the pilots that matter not the paper.
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  15. You are correct. The solution is to take the profit out of drugs, by decriminalizing them and making cocaine available to the fools who use it cheap. At one point when I was young I had a job doing fix-up and painting around the house of a retired general of the US armed forces. His wife had prescriptions for both cocaine and opium, legally as nose drops and paregoric. She had bottles of them in virtually every room of the house and she seemed to function quite normally. The whole illegal drugs thing is a scam, it is total bullshit, and the only solution that works is decriminalization and gov sponsored clinics where the drugs can be had and used safely like they have in Switzerland. Unless you want the drug barons and their banker launderers to continue to corrupt every facet of our Republic from Congress down to the beat cop level, and the incredibly ineffective enforcement apparatus which has proven that they can do nothing of significance regarding the problem except increase their own power and funding and shit on low level street level creeps. When you make something like pot or opium illegal you make it so profitable that it will be smuggled and sold successfully no matter what enforcement techniques you use. It is natural to use and want to use drugs, cocaine is like coffee, only actually less toxic than pure caffeine. The worst drug by far as far as health and society is concerned is alcohol. You could use medically pure opioids most of your life without serious consequences, not so with alcohol. The reason drugs are illegal is power and money is derived from their prohibition, but the lies have the public in fear and no one has the courage to stand up because the bastards that profit from the prohibition have everything by the balls.
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  16. That's the plan, and it's working. Follow the money. If someone thinks it matters who is elected president to the people who planed the plan, they are asleep at the wheel.
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  17.  @Ruben-w2v  Since bitcoin does not have, and never had, and never will have any intrinsic value: it's value is totally derived from a story in the minds of those who value it. In other words, it's value is totally derived from what people think about it. The same is mostly true for many items that do have a physical aspect: Banksy art for instance, or half million dollar handbags, or even diamonds and gold. Of course diamonds and gold do have some intrinsic value as do the handbags, but it is really only a percentage of their value, and in the case of the Banksy art and the handbags: a minute percentage. Stocks and bonds and the value of currency itself is largely derived from consensus perception as opposed to intrinsic value. Food, water, and air, have the most intrinsic value, but even that is relative to scarcity. What is the value of a loaf of bread sitting next to a thousand other loafs at a supermarket? What is the value of that same loaf if it is the only source of food for a hundred miles? What is the value of a bullet if society collapses?
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  18.  @asdasdasddgdgdfgdg  Dude, I was there, the average person was much happier in the fifties. In the 50s a typical American family had a dad who worked, a mom who worked at home and kids that were subject to a physical beatings from teachers if they acted out in school, and took civics in HS. Oh yeah and no mass shootings during school hours. See a lot of families were one unskilled blue collar worker could support a household today? The quality of life, the amount of leisure time, and the activities that people did during it have all degenerated. And you present quality comes almost entirely because of cheap Chinese goods sold at the quality store Walmart. That has put all the small business that supported the local economy out of business and destroyed the middle class outside of professionals. But you can now buy an air conditioner that is one fifth the price of the ones that used to be made in the USA (adjusted for inflation) only you will need seven of them to last as long, and none of them will actually cool worth a shit. Now it is so wonderful that kids spend five or more hours a day on social media filling their heads with nonsense and playing stupid little games that have captured their nervous systems. America has been dumbed down -- drastically.
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  19.  @asdasdasddgdgdfgdg  Well you obviously have ossified stereotypes instead of perception as your preferred mode of functioning. I was seventeen when I hitchhiked to the first Woodstock festival in Bethal NY. That was in 69. So you figure it out. Still the greatest year in modern American history. There were a lot of boomers, and almost none of us were fat, like fifty percent of the present population of the USA. Another area of degeneration there.
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  20. The idea that China has a 5,000 year civilization is not even close to true. China has a 5000 year old civilization in the same manner that Scotland has a 5,600 year old civilization: People lived there.
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  21.  @Lawrence-sk2os  When my family arrived here pre revolution, there were no walls, no immigration laws, and a lot of them thought of it as "their county" that was being ruined when the other Europeans stated coming, after they established the USA.
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  22.  @joefish4466  I agree mostly, but I always have the feeling that they should stay home and work and fight for the changes they desire. On the other hand when my own family immigrated to North America from the Holy Roman Empire, they were basically invited to come with lures of free land, and freedom. What they found was lots of opportunity and lots of strife with the inhabitants. At that time there were still strong houses and forts along the Appalachian range (oldest mountains in the world -- even predate the first dinosaurs) so that the settlers could flee and hold out against the frequent Indian raids.
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  23. Interesting question about Tesla. For some reason, and I have no idea why: Tesla is the only OEM manufacturing in China that is totally publicly owned and is not a partner with the Chinese gov. They are presently enlarging the Chinese factory, after having taken it off line last summer for improvements which apparently increased its output tremendously. CATL is also construction a battery factory next to Tesla in China, apparently for Tesla's use. Considering the financial media's hyperbolic attitude about every possible negative about Tesla, I wouldn't doubt that we will see much made of it, and little real difference, other than in the stock market, and that will be temporary. Right now there are over a dozen Chinese EVs exported to Europe, many of them wear storied European marques like BMW, or MG, or Volvo, but are really Made in China an in many cases majority owned by the Chinese gov. All the European sales from all the Chinese EVs sold in Europe amount to about the same as the numbers of Chinese manufactured Teslas sold in Europe. I expect this will change dramatically as the Berlin gigafactory ramps up. Tesla does not import Chinese manufactured cars into the USA, so no real difference there. Recently wrong-hand drive Teslas have showed up in Austrailia and New Zealand, and despite the Chinese factory continuing to be unable to fill the orders, an unfounded rumor that demand had fallen off in China caused Tesla stock to plummet two weeks ago. The financial and even regular news media has been attempting to coerce Tesla into handing over the advertising vig for years. What are a few thousand outright lies and slanted analysis compared to the prize, if they can bully Tesla into advertising to protect it from scum journalism? To put this in perspective: GM alone spent over 2.2billion dollars for advertising last year. Tesla spent none: you can figure it out. The media says one thing, but the facts on the ground say "outpreformed again" under all present less than optimal circumstances.
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  24.  @wittiza2102  This is what my reply was about . . . "*Between is a typo." Typo means mistake. But I am glad to hear you have not always been an enemy to the people ruling your country. I guess English is not your first language. I mean, you have to be a mind reader to make sense of some of these comments.
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  25.  @wittiza2102  Up to you. But fewer people will understand what you have to say.
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  26. It was actually a march.
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  27. Russia is a great place, they are presently bashing old women and dragging them off to prison for placing memorial wreaths to commentate the victim of Putin's latest murder.
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  28. Coffee is a drug, and pure caffeine is much more toxic than pure cocaine, and just as addictive. I think I will go brew a cup.
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  29.  @ArawnOfAnnwn  TSMC is currently working on 3nm. When you say "just one generation behind" You do realize that that is using foreign tech, that they cannot reproduce? And only that because of a modification of their current foreign tech machines by a foreign tech modification that has not yet been banned from China, but likely will be. . . . well let me quote Herve Bebey From Quora speaking of China's fabs: "Now in July 2022 ! They just released a 7nm SoC for an American bitcoin mining company USA put an embargo on ASML EUV claiming it contains US sensitive technology. So China wafer fab such as SMIC cannot have access to this essential technology to move beyond 10nm. SMIC was able to reach 7nm thanks to DUV Deep UV. US sanctions may prevent SMIC from upgrading from DUV to EUV, but they have not stopped it from developing process technology at 10-nm and below. As a result, the US government is now seeking to ban sales of DUV lithography equipment to SMIC.
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  30. Only in intrinsic value. Which is, was, and shall always remain 0.
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  31. That is a shame.
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  32.  @dutchrjen  All reasonable conjectures except for imagining that anyone with half a brain would own a Bentley. Land Cruiser is questionable too, especially the recent models which are crap. The Bentleys lose more in value faster than any other car in the world -- including the Lauda. That is why posers buy used Bentleys to impress the hoi polloi. So let's say they have a well maintained Tesla S Plaid, a midengine Corvette, and a Resto Mod Jag XKSS. Because the cars you chose are not in the slightest analogous to the US military capabilities.
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  33.  @Jay-eb7ik  Not just AI, but multiple factors could come into play to advance increased affluence. Baring a comet, radical climate change, or nuclear powered madmen.
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  34.  @kayakutah  The kinzhal is not that type of missile. But a real hypersonic missile is not limited by the type of turns a jet makes. They do not use aero devices like fins to make abrupt changes in approach or avoidance, they use small rocket engines that are at a perpendicular attitude to the main engine, and fire them as needed. I have been unable to find any reference regarding your statement about turn radius. Where can I find it?
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  35.  @reginaldinoenchillada3513  That would be Great Britain, with only a small input by a few New York families.
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  36.  @snake35  True, people in France, still believe that average people should be able to enjoy life.
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  37.  @thanelewis8893  Oh, you mean like the oil industry and almost all billionaires? Socialism for the 1% and rip ass capitalism for the proles aye? FY
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  38. Dude you make me feel so static. I am wondering if I want to listen to podcasts about life extension at gym this morning or watch House of the Dragon and keep an eye on the market.
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  39. Perhaps you had mistaken him for a nonprofit org.
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  40. Quite so: in a free venue one apparently has a multitude of half -baked opinions, spin, outright lies, and a modicum of facts to choose from. In a controlled situation like Russia, you apparently have many voices but only one lie to choose to ignore or believe.
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  41. Diesel exhaust is not only toxic it is carcinogenic. But that probably doesn't matter to you. And some of us know why.
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  42.  @johnzabroski5396  He also built the most powerful super computer on earth, and hardly anyone outside of Tesla stock owners know it.
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  43.  @Mercury.S.  Wrong: he has no push back because the power elite who actually runs everything sees the possibility of both taking over and not paying taxes on their fortunes.
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  44.  @hoilst265 Probably never heard of it. Like most people.
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  45.  @jedclampett7705 Guess their not "losers and suckers" like the Americans that died during D-day. /s
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  46.  @lo1234-w9r  That's not what the experts say about the Teslas made in the the last few years. Fit and finish as good or better is the average opinion. But then who am I to argue with outdated info?
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  47.  @oldscratch3535  So you keep an old Honda for the one day a decade you could need it, and drive something more intelligent for everyday carry.
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  48.  @CS-vw3db  You won"t have to wait long, many have already done seen.
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  49.  @potowiskey3477  Your "normal" vehicle (the fact that you call ICE vehicle normal is ridiculous, and your great granddaddy probably said the same thing about his "normal" horse: compared to your Rube Goldberg whirlygig ICE at less than 40% efficiency compared to over 90% for an EV. With over five hundred moving parts in it's engine for every moving part in an electric motor. The facts are that hybrid vehicles catch fire the most per 100k, gas vehicle are second per 100k and EV are a distant third per 100k. Now you have the facts. Not that they will do you any good. And FYI concrete does not melt. When exposed to high temperatures, such as in a fire, concrete undergoes what’s known as thermal spalling. This occurs when the moisture inside the concrete rapidly turns to steam and causes the surface layer to flake off, leading to structural damage. So basically in your one incomplete sentence you are wrong about everything you wrote.
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  50. That is usually figured with a 150lb body weight. In contrast the LD50 for caffeine is .5 grams. Think about it. It's all in the dosage that turns a useful substance into a poison. In areas where coca leaves are chewed for a lift there is no cocaine problem yet it is widely used.
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