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William Davis
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Comments by "William Davis" (@williamdavis9562) on "VisualPolitik EN" channel.
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Your prediction of a direct military conflict between the UAE and Turkey is quite ridiculous. The UAE will continue to poke Turkey in the eye as long as it feels it is protected by the United States. Once the UAE feels that protection is waning, they will simply bribe Turkey to leave them alone. The gulf in military strength between these two nations is far too great for the UAE to take any chances of it happening.
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@Moris this is true however I think the Qatari government is well aware that if hostilities ever erupted, the United States would side with Saudi Arabia and the UAE. Bringing in Turkish military bases in Qatar was basically a way to hedge all their best and plan for every possible outcome. It was in a way a stroke of genius on the part of the Qatari strategic thinkers. For Saudi Arabia and the UAE to make a physical move on Qatar they'd basically have to convince both Turkey and the United States to walk away. No easy task convincing both. Which basically means Qatar is safe.
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@gizlihesap1567 Lets assume the United States or any other superpower didn't exist. You know what the middle east would look like? Not much different, it would be run by different despots who abuse their people. You really going to blame the Arabs nature to oppress each other on others? Be realistic Mr. Hidden Bill.
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@MinoanGR, the Greeks capturing Constantinople would be an amazing military achievement. An achievement on par with Haiti occupying Washington D.C.
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Qatar has a small population which in the end is very comfortable and highly unlikely to start a revolution against the monarchy. Saudi Arabia however has been a revolution waiting to happen since it's inception. Context matters.
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@gerassimos.fourlanos If you're all about self determination you believe Northern Cyprus should be recognized as a nation? Or are you a hypocrite that throws out catch phrases you really don't believe in?
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@AntiquityCar. That reflex in the Arab world over Turkish influence is basically a trope that is confined to the autocrats ruling those countries. Your average Arab I'd imagine looks at Turkey and thinks "if they can pick their own leaders there, I think we can make this happen here." This is what terrifies the kings and dictators of this region.
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@kubilaykara3167 I'd imagine the Turkish economy does suffer as you said from horrible policy from government officials but lets be more realistic. I've spent enough time in Turkey to know that the vast majority of people doing business in that country are themselves corrupt to the bone. It quite simply hurts efficiency and productivity to have a population that naturally corrupt. I'd have to deal with 1000 Turkish businessmen to come across one who isn't corrupt. If you extrapolate such things into a wider economy it starts to make sense why the markets there are so fragile.
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@kubilaykara3167 In general terms if you have a corrupt population you tend to have corrupt leaders. I don't think party X or party Y being in charge has anything to do with any of that. This country has had massive corruption issues when centrist parties were in charge, when right wing governments were in charge, when left wing governments were in charge and when the army was in charge, when secularists were in charge and when islamists were in charge.
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@kubilaykara3167 The leaders of a nation aren't from mars. Again if the people are corrupt and their leaders come from the people, their leaders will be corrupt. I'm not sure I've met many people from Turkey who weren't corrupt. Even the language used lends itself to how people feel about corrupt characters, they tend to glorify it. They call them "tuttugunu kopartan" as a compliment. Don't forget this is coming from a person who actually likes your country. But it is good to tell the truth about it as well.
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@DarkAngel-pt1cq This idea people are throwing around that Turkey is going to beg for a 10 billion dollar investment is nothing short of ridiculous fantasy. Reality is the UAE got nervous about American protection and basically went to Turkey with hat in hand saying "can we please be friends now."
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@kubilaykara3167 People do support political parties like sports fans, I agree with this 100%. But that isn't what is causing the corruption. A corruption society begets corrupt leaders. This is what causes the corruption. Riza who owns the bakkal down the street is just as corrupt as government officials. The difference is he doesn't have as many opportunities to be as corrupt on the scale they do.
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@Janus Jones, wanting to forge between relations with people who (in their opinion) have something in common doesn't sound very "misguided" to me. You and I can make arguments that they do or don't share XYZ but in the end I don't think that's up to us to decide. If these groups of people want closer and warmer relations, more power to them. Us telling 4 guys who want to be friends, screaming at them saying "you have nothing in common" would make us look like the lunatics no? And yes, in a way I basically just called out your insanity.
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@torelloBank Yes but they aren't genetically damaged from 1000s of years of inbreeding. They're also not likely to starve to death once the world gets off oil.
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@prajodcp7145 Turkey isn't Iran or an Arab nation. Their leaders don't get "toppled" they lose elections and a new guy comes in. I'd imagine the voters of that country will decide who will and won't serve as their leaders. With that said Erdogan will probably lose the next election, his economic policies of late have really hurt the middle and lower classes. But your use of the word "topple" really shows where your head is at and what type of backward society you come from.
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I don't think anyone is insane enough to invade Vietnam. With that said though it doesn't mean that China wouldn't be willing to fight a naval battle with them to control the seas.
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@xmyvibex Biden pivoting to Asia and then pulling out of Afghanistan scared the living daylights out of the UAE. They simply do not have the ability to defend themselves. Poking the largest and most powerful military in your region at a time America might leave you high and dry is a dangerous situation for the UAE. This was basically a bribe and to use a wait and see attitude about American foreign policy. I don't think it will work though, if America ever does fully leave the region and leaves it to it's own vices, I don't foresee Turkey not holding a grudge against the UAE. They'll have to spend a lot more than 10 billion to erase that level of anger.
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I'd imagine the will of the people to be better than a tyrant. I could however be wrong considering I don't live in any of these nations. But from my worldview I think any group of people deserves to elect their own leaders rather than have one imposed on them. Regardless of what we in the west might or might not think about their choices.
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@gizlihesap1567 Did Saddam also work really hard so he can be killed? Was it all part of his master plan? lol
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@monarch8480 Yea Gryos has nothing to do with lamb like hamburgers have nothing to do with beef. Well played Chris, well played.
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@Christoforos, I don't think England running around the world taking things from third world nations and brutalizing them while claiming Islands half way across the world might not be the best example of how to behave. Just sayin....
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@karankapoor2701 Regardless of what we believe Morsi is or isn't doesn't change the fact the majority of voters in that country voted for him. I can't ever imagine a foreign power coming to my country here in the United States and telling us our elected leader can't be in charge because of x,y and Z. It's insanity. I don't need to know anything about Egyptian politics to know that the Egyptian people should be respected enough to pick their own leaders.
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The video was about the two sunni blocks. Talking about Iran would make this a much different and MUCH longer video.
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@vs1279 Nice rhetoric and like I said you're more than welcome to go after what ever foreign policy you wish. My point is simple, don't go picking fights with neighbors while expecting everyone else to jump in on your behalf. If you want to antagonize your neighbors to a point a war will break out, great.... Go fight that war yourselves, have a grand ol time. Just don't expect everyone else to send their hard earned tax dollars and young men for your adventures. What part of this triggers you?
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@yoga Tonga, you're the first person I've ever seen call him Erdoganishvili. It's quite genius, with your permission I'd like to use that lol In the end the dude is an ethnic Georgian, that kind should be his name
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@zhufortheimpaler4041 Turkey doesn't have tiny islands off the coast of Bulgaria and Georgia which it then uses the 12 mile territorial rule and try to landlock those nations. Your analogy is highly flawed. Find a better one.
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@Ronin Dude, a larger and more consolidated Turkic world would be more difficult to contain than Iran. Secondly America is already poking Russia in the eye by messing around it's western borders. Also walking directly into their backyard (the Caucasus) would ignite a massive response from the Russians. These things get rather complex. America won't directly put their finger into the Armenian Azeri conflict. It's almost as if it's a gentleman's agreement with Russia.
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@Konstantinos, where were all nationalistic hard fighting Greeks like you when Cyprus was invaded?
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@binabdoh6436 I'd imagine those who benefit from that corrupt regime would love them. I'd imagine those who dont' benefit would be scared to speak up. So yes, in a way what you say makes sense. Unfortunately it doesn't make any headway in dispelling my earlier point.
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@Joe Curran Qatar doesn't have to be a democracy to funnel billions of dollars into democratic movements because it suits their interests to do so. You are correct that this video used some pretty broad brushes which gave off the wrong impression. But again in issues this complex it would be impossible to be precise in such a short video.
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@Cory Forbes, following Turkish politics I'm not entirely convinced much would change on that front. A nation's geo strategic realities are their geo strategic realities. Those realities don't go away after an election.
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Yea that part of this video was rather strange to hear.
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@gerassimos.fourlanos I'd gander a guess that you're from somewhere in eastern Europe as your emotions don't allow you to see the difference between a question and a "personal attack." I'm hoping English is your second language, if not, it's fairly obvious it isn't possible to reason with you. Especially not when you have a melt down over being asked a simple question.
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@konstantinosvoultsopoulos8763 Do you have any idea how ridiculous you sound?
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This idea that most EU nations are well functioning democracies with protections for freedom of expression is a joke. It's mostly a collection of states with rising authoritarianism tendencies.
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@B Nizzle, Putting forth an aggressive foreign policy on the basis of another nation helping you incase something goes south is a very dangerous foreign policy. What happens if Turkey reacts and nations like America and Germany decide not to intervene, then what? Cyprus all over again?
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@Dat Tax Pony, That isn't how it works. I don't think the essence of the treaty was made to cover building military bases in hotspots and then pretending your nation got attacked because said base was attacked. I'd imagine only America could galvanize Nato under such circumstances. Secondly If Saudi Arabia invaded Qatar the last thing they'd do would be to attack American or Turkish bases. Not to mention that even if Turkey weren't in Nato, their presence there is enough to deter the Saudis and the UAE. Both those nations are rich while Turkey is relatively poor, but the gulf in military prowess is just as steep in Turkey's favor. So no, Nato won't get involved and article 5 won't be in play. But it doesn't matter because taking on Turkey without Nato is enough to deter the Saudis.
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A 10 billion dollar investment from the UAE is too small a sum to call it a savior. I don't think you realize how large the Turkish economy is and what a small dent 10 billion dollars makes in it. Turkey has real economic issues it must confront and a measly 10 billion dollars won't solve it. For the UAE's part, watching Biden pull out of Afghanistan and then shift his focus to Asia sacred the living hell out of them. They're basically trying to bribe Turkey to hit not them hard once America fully disengages from the middle east. I'm not sure it will work though because the hostilities between these two sides run rather deep, especially considering the amount of money and effort the UAE used at every turn to try to trip Turkey up. We'll see how this plays out. I think Turkey will milk the UAE for as much as they can while the Turkish economy recovers and once fully recovered they're going to hurt the UAE pretty bad in the next 20 years.
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@VS, Greece as a nation state can be as aggressive as she wants against her neighbor, this is her right to do so. But what you can't do is pretend to be the innocent one here. Greece is using islands the size of my backyard to block a huge nation out of an entire body of water, a body of water on which they happen to have the largest continental shoreline. Again, Greece is more than welcome to do as she pleases with her neighbors but don't do that and then run around claiming you want peace. You're trying to push them into a corner, they will react. Dont' expect the rest of the world to be shocked when they do and when they do, I hope your leaders are smart enough to be prepared to deal with it.
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@kasadam85 My family has been in the United States for a few generations now but we're originally from the North Caucasus. My great grandfather and his brothers came here to escape communism.
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@kasadam85 Georgia is in the South Caucasus, so no I'm not Georgian.
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@lb3843 Turkey's central Asian admixture is less than 15% even though they'll tell you it's over 80%. Also as far as Erdogan being a good or bad president for people in Turkey, I'd imagine that is for them and their voters to decide, not us.
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@prajodcp7145 Again, leaders in such nations aren't "toppled" Also if they were as good at election fraud as you claim they are, why exactly did their ruling party lose the all important midterm elections not too long ago? What they decided they were tired of cheating? lol Logic bro, logic. I know it's a hard thing to grasp for genetically damaged inbreds.
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@Xk11, So you're saying you're like the Native American Indians in America or the aboriginal tribes in Australia. I'm not sure it ended too well for them.
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@Sylvain Duret, In international politics nations generally side with the side which will win. It's kind of how it's been and will always be. Nations like France will stand with Greece until it is no longer in their interests to do so, then Greece will be fed to the wolves as per usual.
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@obabas80 I don't think Greece will be "falling" anytime soon. More so a bloody nose.
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@saman335 And they are now ruled by their former servants. I can't imagine they're happy about it lol
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@saman335 Except everything I said was absolutely based on fact.
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@Qrsx66, Armenia wouldn't be able to afford one fighter jet, how exactly is that going to help Greece?
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@giorgosx5838 So true, I've always wondered why Greeks in the 1960s and early 1970s were so proud and excited at the prospect of ethnically cleansing a small minority group on Cyprus.
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