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Tim Trewyn
1420 by Daniil Orain
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Comments by "Tim Trewyn" (@timtrewyn453) on "1420 by Daniil Orain" channel.
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Ukraine and the United States did a very nice thing for Russia back in 1994. Rather than help defend Ukraine by reworking its Soviet nuclear weapons into Ukrainian nuclear weapons, Ukraine, the US, and the UK offered the Soviet weapons to Russia in exchange for a Russian security assurance to respect Ukrainian sovereignty and territorial integrity. What a lovely gesture of peace that was to Russia . . . the rest is history. No good deed goes unpunished.
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What a wonderful group of people you found! My heart goes out to them. I think the best thing they can do is get to another country if they can.
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@vaxrvaxr Billions in seized Russian assets may not get back to Russia.
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@danijelamali8467 America is not coming to blow up your apartment building. We respect the Russian nuclear shield and Russia's borders. We pay for Russian products. We do not steal them. Bring your soldiers home.
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I fear they observed an acquaintance taken into custody and never heard from again. So they smile, assuming their performance will be reviewed for fealty.
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@xa9590 I think the venue in Russia provides a rather select set of interviewees. Go to almost any Western university campus and you could get similar results.
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@okene I've heard this before and it doesn't make sense. Even if true, soldiers guarding "fields" eventually go home after their tour is up. Ukraine was not obliged to let their replacements into the country. Launching communications can be disconnected. Ukraine has good scientists and engineers and the US and UK have all the tools to remanufacture Soviet nuclear weapons into Ukrainian nuclear weapons. What Russia has done is can result in the expansion of Western European nuclear arsenals. The invasion of Ukraine has put Europe on a hair-trigger. It appears that is the way Russia wants it to be.
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@okene Thank you for a thoughtful comment. The nuclear arsenals of the US and Russia are a bone of contention. They impose a slight but enduring stability. It is possible a Ukrainian arsenal might have done the same thing. I propose that Sevastopol and navy surface ships in the Black Sea have lost value. Land based and unmanned forces have demonstrated higher levels of surface ship vulnerability. Truck mounted and aircraft mounted long-range weapons informed by reconnaissance drones will continue to improve and force an unproductive investment in a fleet that would need to be larger to defend itself. The asymmetry needs to be reduced by using smaller, less expensive, more unmanned, mobile weapons platforms. Russia has been blessed with vast resources and talented people, and it seemed headed for steady gains in prosperity. But the leadership has shown its violent core nature, and the world is aghast. I think it will take the passing of current leadership before the situation can be moderated. The Budapest Memorandum, a significant step toward peace and stability, was discarded by Russia, to the entire world's detriment. The next twenty years need to be about adjusting to climate change, instead it will be about contending with Mr. Putin's agenda.
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@donalexey Emigrate to the beautiful motherland. I hear Sochi is nice.
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What are you going to learn when your MOS is some version of sitting at an air defense radar screen? You are in the rear. You get out with all your limbs and no scars. My guess is he had a rather privileged assignment, and he's got a future in the establishment to protect.
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Superb work, Daniil!
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Any nation that doesn't term limit its chief executive is suspect.
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@VictorLyuba More lights in North Korea at night?
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@donalexey Crimea is not a viable state on its own. It would simply be re-assimilated by Russia or Ukraine over time.
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@johnlenin830 Ukraine would need a nuclear arsenal and powerful conventional forces of its own to be militarily neutral. Say whatever, our true beliefs are shown by the way we act. Russia invaded Ukraine. If Ukraine were in NATO, its defenses would just be conventional, like the Baltics and Poland, and lots of young Russian and Ukrainian men would still be alive, and Russia would be making billions selling oil and gas to Europe. Is this war worth it?
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Youth who can leave Russia should do so. Those who don't will be more and more like poor North Koreans. That's what psychopathic dictatorships do to people.
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@herluisalvarado8366 And American Presidents who make bad decisions either get voted out, e.g. Trump, or their 8 year maximum term ends, e.g. George W. Bush. How's Putin's two decades of expertise in government working out for the Russian people?
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@silafaupaulmeredith7251 We do look at it in very simple terms. Russian troops crossed the Ukrainian border. We see that as an invasion. We think invasions are morally wrong. We cannot change the past. We can only act today. The last time the US annexed land was the Marshall Islands in 1947. Part of the idea of the United Nations is that annexations and colonialism needs to stop. Nations need to be paid for their resources if they choose to bring them to the world market. That does not mean that Russia could not financially and legally help people in Ukraine that they feel are unjustly persecuted. Some of us think Navalny is being unjustly persecuted. However, that does not mean we can totally disrespect Russian jurisdiction. Russia has disrespected Ukrainian jurisdiction. This is a part of how the West sees this. In the West, we have access to all Russian publications. And right here on YouTube we have access to your point of view. Do Russians have access to all Western publications? So who lacks information?
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@worstplayer7299 There is far more diversity in the Western and American press than I see in Russia. Scott Ritter is not in jail. He is free to believe in the superiority of Russia's position in this conflict if that's the way he sees it. But Navalny? What did he say? Why is he in jail?
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I guess he had a tech job out there, like sitting at an air defense console. You know, the kind of MOS the nice young men from Moscow get assigned to. No scars. No missing limbs. Didn't seem traumatized. Didn't seem like a sociopath.
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The best thing they can do is for more of them to get out of the country, and we should offer some support to help them do that.
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No. Sadly, no. Psychopathic dictatorships today, e.g., North Korea, are very durable. The best a young Russian can do is get out of that country alive and not too traumatized.
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Great work! Have you ever asked people if they read the Bible?
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@patrikrenmark2010 I hope the young Siloviki see this comment, because their future wealth depends on setting a better course.
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Henchmen's paradise.
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The 75-year-olds have their pensions. Could they get an apartment near a hospital in one of the Russian oblasts next to Ukraine? They could share it. I hear the hospitals are busy there.
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That pretty much lines up with what most of the other people on this video are saying. We will see.
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No, I think Putin has the Siloviki organized and paid (conscripts often don't get paid, the riot cops always get paid) to maintain the cohesion of the security core and keep dissent suppressed. Putin is the opposite of Gorbachev. (Gorbachev had a conscience and wonderful wife. Where's Mrs. Putin?). The option for young Russians is for enough of them to leave until the Siloviki realize that the morale of the people actually matters to the Russian financial bottom line that they themselves rely upon. They thought the Russian Orthodox Church might help with that, but the Church turned out to mostly be an arm of the Siloviki. Christopher Hitchens described Putin's regime as a psychopathic dictatorship. Study psychopathy. It explains a lot about the Putin regime. No, I don't think the Putin regime goes away until he passes. And when he does, the Siloviki will establish another head of state that maintains their privileges.
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@xa9590 "a" stands for year of adoption. Both my children were adopted. Kind regards.
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I think the government actually values the information they get from these interviews. It generally affirms their control of the public narrative. It also confirms that people are generally living in an isolated fashion. In other countries you could have a dialog with what is obviously a group of friends, that is, a component of a civil society. Not so much in Russia. The groups you see are either the leaders, or soldiers in the field appealing for assistance in accomplishing their assigned tasks.
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You got it. Controlled burn to mitigate effects from wildfires.
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Superb comment.
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Agreed. Superb video. My heart goes out to them.
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They unscrew the light bulbs to check for listening devices. 🙂 Hello from USA. Russian people are OK. Right now I am sad for them. Not everything in the USA is easy either.
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How do you see this a year later?
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Yes. My Ukrainian friend told me, "We don't want Russian mind control." It seems they would rather fight and perhaps die than have to live like these do.
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Touche!
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It may take awhile. Trump is going to claim victory. Russian media will post it and then cry corruption and rigging.
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Russian young people in Russia are becoming more rare. The Siloviki need to consider their morale or the economy they rely on will just continue to decay. See value of the ruble.
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Or find a way out of the country.
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Putin likes history. He does not seem to like math. The longer he persists in this war, the worse the math gets for Russia. Look at the value of the Ruble. Look at the decline of Russian aviation. Look at the loss of workforce to SMO casualties and emigration. He is highly unlikely to get his buddy Trump back in office. A majority of Americans, however bad Trump's opponent turns out to be, will vote against Trump. Just look at what a gaffer and how old Joe Biden is. He got elected in 2020 because more Americans than ever came out to vote against Trump. The Republicans failed to retake the Senate and barely took back the House. Trump voters skipped the COVID vaccine and now more of them are dying in the latest surge. Putin is dreaming if he thinks American politics in 2024 is going to go his way. He is not doing the math. He's trying to hypnotize the Russian population into the idea they are back in the Great Patriotic War. Not so. Germany has not invaded Russia with anything except its luxury cars. Putin is the invader.
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And Donny's just gotta love that. He could get a favor or two out of all this.
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You wonder if they did the interview a week ago just before they left the country.
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This was a smart, thoughtful group of Russians answering a good set of questions. This is very good journalism, well adapted to Russia. Generally, the United States and others PAY for resources. The implication is that the West wants to steal Russian resources. Look in the mirror Russia. What are you doing in Ukraine? It's a good question that hopefully helps Russians see their own government. And, of course, there are thieves in almost every culture.
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Such displays of Russian good manners in the form of no comment.
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I was waiting for a Russian Orthodox priest to quote Jesus, "Love your enemies and pray for those who persecute you." The Church could be a way out of this. We have the Bible in common. Russians perhaps can change things for the better at this time by going to church and singing with a full voice. I will do the same in solidarity with them.
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@silafaupaulmeredith7251 I didn't know Russia had so many actors.
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@silafaupaulmeredith7251 The American people PAY for resources from other countries. Saudi Arabia is wealthy because people PAY them for oil. If the US is occupying a part of Syria, then that oil and wheat is being sold to somebody and the producers are getting the money. I do not doubt that Assad misses that revenue stream. The borders of the Middle East are a mess. The Kurds were not seriously considered.
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@mattyboy456 Would you say we are getting a better presentation of the Russian people through these videos?
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His questions are very tactical. He is using Russian government public statements and getting public opinion about them. I would tend to think the FSB values the information, and I would not be surprised if they have told him how to stay in his lane enough to keep going. And as they took their time with Prigozhin, they may be identifying dissent through these videos and finding out who these folks are connected to. However, they may find that taking out their thinking, productive people would just further damage their economy at a time when it is already under stress. The soldier back from Ukraine also very much knew what to say. He is a survivor who probably got some kind of special duty that kept him out of most of the trauma. (He seemed to have all his limbs and was standing comfortably.) In his heart of hearts he may have other views, but he is going to toe the line well in public. When I was enlisted in the USAF and was in some formal interaction with the public, I knew what the USAF wanted me to say. I wasn't going to go to jail, but I would lose a measure of reputation for not being a team player.
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