Comments by "Fredinno" (@innosam123) on "Whatifalthist" channel.

  1. I’m not so sure that Africa is going to have a collapse in food production. The map you show ignores that the Sahara (and Arabia) is going to get wetter as higher temperatures return the continent back to conditions more similar to those in the African Humid period. South Africa and North Africa are the only parts expected to get drier to any major degree, so you’d likely actually see mass human migrations resulting in more ethnic conflict as new land is opened up and old land becomes desert. Ethiopia benefits a ton from this. Somalia is going to get wetter and is easy pickings for an industrialized Ethiopian state.
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  2.  @kabulykos  Tell that to Majoran and Aetius, who were betrayed on the cusp of victory. Or the thousands of Romans who beat Atillia at the Catalunian Plains.
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  3. John Wilson Yes, we have a China Problem. Especially if you’re Taiwanese, Indian, or Japanese.
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  4.  @CheekClapper879  Probably, but even if the US didn’t get involved, those cuts are needed anyways. I mean, it’s not like the US did any meaningful cuts when the world was at peace. So that argument makes no sense for me. There’s always something that’s more important for governments until something major happens that forces meaningful welfare cuts because there’s no other choice (see Canada in the 1990s). People in the US don’t want the US to get involved in foreign wars, but when you get more specific, the polling gets more dicey. Kind of like how they say we need to cut deficits, but don’t want to cut anything that would actually make a dent in the deficit (instead, focusing on a few billion in foreign aid to developing nations, or unspecified ‘waste’.)
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  5. Adam Thornton Puyi abdicated in 1912. As I said earlier, with WW1, there's simply no time. The fact that wars never broke out over the partition of Africa was due to the fact it was undeveloped wasteland at the time (mostly). And even then, they nearly did break out in several instances.
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  6.  @rislivestreams3802  I think fascism would still exist, since it’s pretty easy for a military junta to take on fascist elements. It would not be nazism though, which formed under very specific circumstances as a reaction to communism.
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  7. When was the last time Whatifalthist actually made an AltHist video?
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  8. Whatifalthist The timeline raises the question of what if the Carolingian Empire had different succession laws, though. At least France and Germany could remain together, since they’re both on the Northern European Plain.
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  9. Also, it would have eliminated Korean Christianity other than minorities outside Korea.
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  10. You know, you could have just made a Kaiserreich lore video...
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  11.  @g1u2y345  But ‘eventually’ was several centuries of being pushed together by forced by the Macedonians and Romans. It took time, a lot of it.
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  12.  The Martial Lord of Loyalty  I mean, but then you’d have to assume that 1. Greek successor states would be as bad at assimilating people as Carthage, and 2. Are city-states with an empire rather than nations at this point. More importantly, the conquest of India was conducted with very few actual British soldiers, with the EIC’s army being overwhelmingly Indian. This was the case with most colonies in the Victorian age.
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  13. Usecriticalthinking ? I’m sure the economy was improved by not allowing people of your own nation to trade and connect with each other...
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  14. Rogue Oman is way too small to be a superpower in terms of population. It’s like wanting Belgium to be a superpower.
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  15. “Of course!” -Enver Pasha, I think.
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  16.  @J_X999  Speculation based on 1.0 TFR. China’s not even pretending to be honest with its own numbers, so being ‘factual’ is a bit difficult.
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  17.  @Amaling  Freaking Trudeau supported Keystone XL. The support for Keystone XL amongst the political class was nearly unanimous. So, yes, it's still a slap on the face for Canadians.
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  18. Artemios Triantafyllou Note the Ottoman Dynasty and non-Anatolian lands did not survive WW1, which is considered the end of the Ottoman Empire.
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  19. Dominique Schlag den Hauffen Petain wasn’t that sympathetic to the Axis, especially compared to other ‘collaborationist’ leaders, like Laval, or Quisling. You’re right about his political views, but there’s a degree of separation between that and liking Nazi Germany. Remember that not everyone who fought on even the side of the western Allies did it because they liked democracy- often, they just hated the other guy more. There were Monarchists and Communists in the Italian and French Resistances. I’m inclined to Churchill’s assessment of his character, which was that he was a ‘defeatist’ and didn’t have the personality to preserve in the face of overwhelming defeat (I guess like Churchill was.)
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  20.  @phillipalexander7862  You’re right, the world WON’T end. If you live in California or Amsterdam, though, prepare to have your lives ruined. Because they’re basically going to become uninhabitable without mass investment to mitigate climate change (eg. new aqueducts). In worse case scenarios, the Amazon would also vanish due to it drying out. From a purely human perspective, it’s not that bad, the Amazon is pretty overrated- grasslands are more effective than rainforests at actually sequestering Carbon- but it’s horrible from an environmental perspective, for obvious reasons. Humans are also not adapted to live in the Carboniferous Greenhouse Earth, we are adapted to the Holocene Ice Age Earth.
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  21. Johny Ricco That doesn’t matter, Japan needs a large navy if it’s not protected by another power to prevent it from starving, not to prevent it from getting invaded. Taiwan and Jeju are very strategic locations to block Japan’s supply lines off, even without naval superiority. I mean, it’s building up a navy now despite still being protected by the USA, having buffer space, and having a stagnating and indebted economy with much of the population being pacifist.
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  22.  IJŠƇĦͦ̚5ɜPƔNjƇάȥɓϋξ îπɛş\x91͈ǷǯƠɱ\  Japanese, Okinawans are a related, but distinct culture to Japanese.
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  23. George Nathanael They can’t continue to China if their logistics are being wrecked in their rear by guerilla forces.
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  24. Hey, Whatifalthist? Can you reply to my email? I put a lot of effort into it, and I think it is very useful and relevant information.
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  25. What are the war games saying China would be able to conquer Taiwan easily?
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  26.  @boosterh1113  The Amazon’s soil is also not very fertile, so you also need tons of fertilizer or a long process of soil-building. Not sure how much worse it is in the end, in both cases, you’re effectively completely rebuilding the soil. There are parts of the shield that are farmable- mainly the Clay Belt and similar smaller pockets of fertile soil between the ancient rock. Obviously, not the easiest to get to.
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  27. Considering Ocean Colonization will likely happen before Space colonization, Japan+Korea+Taiwan+Philippines (The Asian Littoral) could also split off into partially its own thing like America.
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  28.  @oreodepup  Germany did not have a large degree of influence over Poland or Greece until fairly recently (after the reunification of Germany).
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  29.  @buddermonger2000  True, but how much? Even if you take Elon’s estimates for Starship costs seriously (you shouldn’t, they’re ~130x lower than Falcon 9), you’re looking at over a trillion dollars to send a million people to Mars. Assuming prices are more akin to what they are now, you’re looking at $90 Trillion. That is minus logistics to keep it alive once the people are there. American Colonization worked because it was cheap for someone to go to the Americas (relatively speaking). The King of Spain didn’t have to spend the entire budget of the country for generations to make it work out. Also, there were natives in the Americas, which actually helped colonization efforts (unless your name was U.S.A.)
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  30.  @ParagonRex  No, I didn’t. France had no way to defend the Louisiana Territory, and they got it back from Spain for only 2 years before they sold it to the USA. They were practically intermediaries from Spain to the US. Neither Spain or France were major threats to the USA conquering everything.
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  31. Sweet Candy The French strategy was primarily defensive. They weren’t going to be able to help much. The Maginot Line was a thing for a reason, and it wasn’t to go on the offensive.
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  32. Jackson Wu There is no study indicating all jobs will vanish during this cycle (4th Industrial Revolution). Industrial revolutions tend to occur once for every century, but it’s come early on this one. Honestly, computers are starting to hit a brick wall in terms of performance and are reverting to a more stable, non-exponential growth curve. Every time, it’s not just new jobs created, but also that consumption increases because of the net increase in buying power. The people in the farms were not replaced. They just got completely different jobs because people’s demands changed.
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  33. Musica Australiana REAL wages have not increased since the 70s. Ie. adjusted to inflation. Wages have been keeping pace with inflation. People just want more.
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  34.  @joapercan6887  Plenty of biblical characters lived to thousands or hundreds of years. There’s not really any explicit reason against that, other than an implication it’s because of sinfulness.
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  35. 4:00 Eh, not sure. McArthur was correct in viewing China and the USSR as only weak allies. North Korea wasn’t that important to the USSR, and they offered a lot less direct support than one would imagine to the North Koreans. Stalin was paranoid, but also kind of a dick. He wasn’t Trotsky. The USSR had supported the Kuomintang for longer than they’d supported Mao, and saddled the CCP with huge debts for their ‘assistance’. Which was one of the reasons for the Great Leap Forwards. When Mao didn’t blame the disaster on natural disaster, he blamed it on the debts the USSR forced on them. Also, the USSR and CCP almost went to nuclear war THEMSELVES a few decades later. Also, Mcarthur was only planning on nuking the border of North Korea as a tactical nuclear weapon. Also, Stalin was planning on invading Yugoslavia first, before the West, from what I’m aware. Made a lot of sense, it shortens the line in Europe enormously. Which would have ended about as well as Afghanistan did for the Soviets, because Tito was the one dude who could have pulled something like that off.
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  36. Aran Butcher The population of Great Britain increased by about 2.85x from 1800-1900, while the population of 1914 Germany grew by about 2.33x from 1800 to 1900. Say, if you add a multiplier of 2.5x from France’s 1800 population, you have a population of 75 Million in Mainland France by 1900, ~46 Million more than in OTL by that time for France. France would need a ton of food, so they’d need to expand and farm wherever they could. More importantly, tropical diseases in Africa had already partially been conquered by the time of African colonization. That’s why they were even able to colonize Africa. Kind of hard to colonize when you can’t even march an army into your target. Give everyone going to West Africa free land and limited free healthcare/vaccines for the tropical diseases, and people would most likely be lining up to move there. North Africa was already much more densely populated anyways, so available land is more limited.
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  37. Aran Butcher France can’t colonize the Americas with the US around, and even just Mexico would be a tall order considering the French would likely have still not been able to take everything in time before the Union won the Civil War. The only timeline where anyone slices off parts of the Americas is one where the Confederacy wins. Side note, the French could become a majority in Africa. The population of French North Africa, plus all of Morocco and Libya was ~15mil, and the population of West Africa was on the same scale (seems to be along the lines of 20 million). France has limited areas that are good for industrialization (mostly the land near Paris and the Rhine), so people would definitely want to move to avoid a Malthusian crisis.
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  38. What if the Korean State of Baeku survived in Manchuria?
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  39. Kowalski From Nebraska Cuba has a life expectancy nearly exactly of that of the USA. Wow, real impressive. It’s no Finland. Also, it’s no secret that Cuba has been stuck in time. The American embargo has not been enforced since the 70s. The USA is actually a major trading partner with Cuba- 6.6% of its imports come from the USA. It’s not an Iran. They have, but 1. The environment is not just Carbon emissions- Even China is wealthy enough to actually start focusing on the environment more. CHINA. 2. They’ve ‘exported’ industry due to free trade. If the USA stopped trade with most of the developing world in a decade, most of the factories that would go back to the US would be cleaner. Capitalism still existed when countries used Mechantilistic trade structures. And I’ve pointed out it’s a false equivalency. No sane person would argue that Gengis Khan was less evil than the British Empire. The British Empire killed more people- only because the British empire lasted longer than a generation. The fact you can’t understand that context matters more than just plain numbers is baffling.
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  40. Kowalski From Nebraska Cuba life expectancy: 78.7 years. USA Life expectancy: 78.3 years. I mean, if American stopped eating so much Hamburgers and Budweiser, they could probably get back that 0.4 years of life expectancy. ;) And the USA isn’t even a shining beacon of life expectancy or healthcare in the capitalist world. Not even close. What Cuba has done for being an impoverished 3rd world country is pretty good. But Cuba’s economy or political structure isn’t a model to follow. And I already pointed out the USA does large amounts of trade with Cuba. It’s not Mexico or Canada- the two still don’t like each other. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_embargo_against_Cuba “In 2009, the United States Chamber of Commerce estimated that the embargo was costing the United States economy $1.2 billion per year as a result of the legal structures that prevented American exporters from entering Cuban markets.[56] The Cuba Policy Foundation (CPF) has provided more extreme data; its estimates put the cost of the embargo at $4.84 billion per year while costing Cuba $685 million per year.” That’s 0.7% of Cuba’s GDP. Wow, that’s one hell of a blockade. It’s not the USA. That’s an excuse the Castros trot out when they need someone to blame. Honestly, the blockade doesn’t even make sense anymore, but the Americans have been adamant of getting rid of the Castros first. So...
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  41. Kowalski From Nebraska And again, the Cuban economy produces $100Billion in products per year. Also, apparently, like a lot of socialists, you can’t do math, because 62 years since the start of the embargo, times 2 is $124 Billion , not $1 Trillion. So not only is your assertion so insanely wrong it’s off by nearly a multiple of 10, but $124 Billion is also only about 1.25 years of 2018 GDP. An issue? Yes. Iran loses that much money to oil sanctions alone in less than 3 years. Cuba has no one to blame but itself for economic failure. Yeah, doctors/capita is what we should be concerned about the most. It’s not like machines exist. It’s not like systems could be more efficient and thus need less professional doctors.
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  42. infant jones I never said that.
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  43. @Ashawott Ketchum Uhh, no. There’s no reason to believe that. Birth rates have not fallen due to the advent of technology.
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  44.  @jarjarbinks6018  Cities are moving away from the car-centric suburbia though. Partially because it’s increasingly impractical (cars take up too much land) and partially because people are increasingly accepting of human- centric development models.
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  45. Whatifalthist Switzerland can feed itself without external inputs, despite limited land availability. https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/politics/fact-check_does-switzerland-produce-half-of-all-the-food-it-needs-/44380058#:~:text=It%20concludes%20in%20a%20study%20that%20Switzerland%20could,inhabitant%20%28the%20recommended%20daily%20energy%20intake%20is%207%2C500-10%2C500KJ%29. Being surrounded by nuclear waste just means they’ll be isolated for a few generations. So I guess European Wakanda.
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  46. @P4to D0l4n The British were busy elsewhere and didn’t really have much use for Patagonia, which is similar to much of Australia and South Africa in climate.
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  47.  @tompeled6193  Note that very few historical sources really survive from back then, so we can only make inferences based on the few bits of data we have.
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  48.  @mappingshaman5280  This assumes they have control of Korea, Taiwan, and SE Asia. India is a pretty big nut to crack, and the front lines are actually pretty small, especially considering the likely sizes of the nations involved.
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  49. 18:50 How? Dumping Government bonds? Considering the Fed could literally just buy every single one, that’s a stupid proposition. Note that the Federal Reserve is sort-of government-controlled anyways- the profits from the Fed go back to the Treasury. So the US gov pays interest on debt whose profits go back to the US gov. Ie. You’re not really paying interest so much as just shuffling money around. This is why Japan has such a high debt-to GDP ratio with no major issues stemming from it, and Greece collapsed with less Debt. Trade War? Already did that. Embargo? The only real bargaining chips are manufactured goods like batteries and rare earths, and solar panels that were outcompeted by the Chinese to begin with, so any effect would be temporary.
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  50. Ivan the Great 2.0 Sure. I don’t think he even takes it that seriously. And the guy made an Atlantropa alt history. It’s less realistic than Zealandia or Green Antarctica or Sahara by a long shot. Africa is rich if you put in the resources and time to develop it. Acceleration does not change depending on the weight of the projectile. You mitigate it by making the gun longer and adding more explosive chambers along the gun. The modern way of doing it is an electric railgun.
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