Comments by "" (@craigkdillon) on "Lei's Real Talk"
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How I interpret the actions of Xi & the CCP ---
The rise of China in the last 40 years had created a new class of wealthy business leaders, and millions of high value well paid workers. These people were going to want what comes with success - freedom to travel, freedom to read what they want, to say what they want, and other freedoms.
The CCP could not have that.
SO, they are using COVID to destroy the business class. Industries moving out of China, and its economy shrinking -- is all OK, as long as they keep their power.
HOWEVER, the CCP has shown, many times, that it cannot think ONE move ahead.
With the loss of industrial companies, and the export market they satisfied, the CCP will have much less money to build the navy, army, and air forces it wants to intimidate its neighbors, and become the hegemon of the region.
The threat of China becoming a hegemon will soon fade away.
In the 60's and 70's, the world was adjusted to an isolationist China. The world economy hummed along, not giving a damn about China. Then China opened up. Now we all care.
As China reverts back to its old isolationist form, there will be discomfort and dislocation as the process unfolds.
In the end, we will be back to the 60's and 70's, we won't care about how China operates ---
--- it will be isolated.
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Failed coup? That explains why Xi and the CCP have been destroying China's companies.
Now the self destructive behavior can be understood.
Still stupid, though.
They could have merely taken over the companies, rather than destroying them.
They could have ousted the anti-Xi people, and put their own in.
Destroying them, destroys China's economy.
Also, I am not sure how the wolf warrior diplomacy is tied in. How does pissing off countries around the world benefit Xi, or China?? Twenty years ago, people didn't feel threatened so countries were lowering military spending. They could not justify high levels of spending.
Now, though, people are scared of China, so countries around the world have NO PROBLEM increasing military spending.
Look at the list -- US, Canada, Japan, Taiwan, Australia, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam, and Philippines. That is virtually all their neighbors.
The Ukraine War has put US and NATO on a near-war footing. Training and preparedness for war is being done in earnest. The idea that war might be necessary has now been accepted by the people of many nations. China won't be able to get away with much of anything anymore.
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I would not be surprised if Xi is ousted. He should be ousted.
China has declined under his leadership. He has profoundly hurt China's financial foundation with his attack on major corporations.
If corporations and their oligarchs were growing too powerful, couldn't they be restrained and controlled in a gentler, less destructive, way?
Next, Xi's policy of the threats and confrontations with almost all neighbors disrupted relations with countries that were also profitable markets. US, India, Japan, and Australia have all started on a path of reducing trade with China. China's trade and profits would be much higher if Xi had not made China an intolerable trading partner.
Finally, Xi's handling of the COVID epidemic was beyond stupid. It is almost as if Xi decided to declare war on the Chinese people. How is that going to help China or the CCP??
When future histories are written, IMO, Xi Jinping will be considered an idiot, and a disaster for China.
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