Comments by "" (@craigkdillon) on "Sandboxx"
channel.
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OMG, not another video quoting the incompetent CSIS "war gaming" analysis.
The assertions made in it are ridiculous.
For example, it states that the US will lose 4 nuclear subs.
Oh yeah? HOW?? China has no ability to find, let alone target and destroy them.
It states the China will sink two aircraft carriers?
Oh yeah? How? Our carriers will NOT be put so close to China to make them easy targets.
Besides -- why should US or Japan get involved at all???
I have yet to see or read anything that gives a reasonable way for China to avoid having its fleet sunk and neutralized by
the anti-ship missiles of Taiwan -- HF-2, HF-2e, and HF-3, along with Harpoon missiles.
Look at the difficulty the Allies had invading the Normandy beaches.
The Allies had air dominance, and thousands of ships, with trained & experienced crews.
China has none of that.
Plus, modern anti-ship missiles make such an assault doomed.
AND - Taiwan missiles are ALL equipped with modern ECCM capability.
China won't be able to shoot down many.
The CSIS report is incompetent, and should be discarded.
American airpower will NOT likely play a significant role in defending Taiwan.
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One thing Ukraine is showing is the diminishment of the significance of air power.
Missiles are MUCH more important.
1. SAM's prevent air dominance, or even air activity.
2. Anti-ship missiles will sink China's fleet. If Russia cannot stop the sinking of their flagship, what makes anyone think that China can stop the sinking of its troop ships, destroyers, frigates, etc.??
3. Taiwan makes the MOST sophisticated chips, which have been incorporated into their HF-2, HF-2e, and HF-3 missiles.
They undoubtedly have ECCM, making them very hard to stop.
Personally, I think Taiwan can defeat a Chinese invasion all by themselves, with little help from US or Japan.
US should send at least 500 Harpoon missiles, and as many LRASM's as possible.
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