Comments by "" (@craigkdillon) on "Binkov's Battlegrounds"
channel.
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About military doctrine -- Doctrine does effect weapon design, and military organization. For instance, the British/French doctrine of putting tanks in infantry units led them to build tanks that were slow, and lacked radios, since coordination with other tanks was not foreseen.
So, what can be deduced about China's military naval doctrine from the design of the ships and aircraft designs, and how they are organized?
First, like the UK carrier, the Chinese carrier are NOT blue water carriers, but primarily designed to support amphibious landings. That is why the UK carrier will have F-35B's with VSTOL, while the US carriers get F-35A's with CATOBAR. With that in mind, it is unlikely that current Chinese and British carriers would ever battle each other.
However, China says CATOBAR carriers in the Nimitz class are in its future. If so, that would be a real game changer. The US is the only country with blue water carriers and bases able to initiate and sustain conflict over the whole world. If China invests in 4 to 6 such carriers, that would be a game changer in the region.
{Not globally, because they still would not have the base structure necessary to support them.}
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Hard?? Impossible without total air supremacy, which I do not believe China can accomplish.
Ships in the Taiwan Strait are sitting ducks for rockets, artillery, submarine, and air attack.
Does anyone really think China can run that gauntlet, and not lose an unacceptable number of ships??
Of course, the idea is to eliminate the Taiwanese air force, land based assets, and submarines.
DO you really think China has the ability?? I don't.
This video thinks that satellite surveillance will tell China where all assets are and that they can then be easily destroyed. No chance....
1. The Taiwanese are totally aware of Chinese recon ability. That recon can be fooled with props and dummies.
2. The time delay of getting info from recon to front line means that assets won't be where they think they are -- they will have moved.
3. Many small assets - rockets & artillery can be quite easily camouflaged until needed. The Chinese won't know where a rocket installation is until a rocket is fired and sinks a ship. An installation with 20-30 rockets can be hidden until used. Taiwan would have dozens of such installations.
BTW - these rockets would have the entire strait within range. ALL SHIPS WOULD BE VULNERABLE.
Would you launch an invasion in such circumstances???
You would be an idiot if you did. Are the Chinese idiots?? Not usually, but Xi is a bit off, so maybe.
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@АлександрДрагович-ч2г That is an odd take on history. From your script, I take it you are Russian.
Like the typical Russian, you see the world through paranoid lenses, and think everything countries do is to hurt Russia.
In 1815, Americans did not even know Russia existed. Those that did know, did not care.
We had two wars with Britain, and were glad to see the end of them. We did not know about the developing "Great Game" in Asia.
As for 1991, that was the Soviet Union collapsing in on itself, which has to do with the policies, philosophy, and structure of the USSR.
Its demise was inevitable.
What is a shame is the disagreeable direction that Putin has taken Russia.
Putin has not helped Russia, IMO.
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