Comments by "" (@craigkdillon) on "China Observer" channel.

  1. Philippines, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Vietnam, Columbia, Thailand, and many others do their best to make foreign companies feel wanted and appreciated. Unlike China, who puts their executives in jail, threaten companies, and steal from them. What sane business owner would want to do business in China?? (Note: Elon Musk does not qualify, since I did say "sane")
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  2. CCP was really worried. But, on closer inspection, everything is OK. The buildings all tilt left. Whew.
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  3. This real estate re-structuring is long overdue. It will take many years, maybe decades, to run its course. Meanwhile, since local governments used real estate to fund themselves, local governments will be going bankrupt. I wonder if China's governmental structure can be sustained??? I doubt it. I think the CCP central government is going to collapse in a few years.
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  4. These weather related problems has nothing to do with the CCP's ability to govern. Overstated.
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  5. Evergrande collapse is NOTHING like the Lehman Bros. collapse. The only thing in common is that both have collapsed. Lehman Bros. had no affect on market demand. People still wanted to buy houses. The American economy was only affected around the edges. Most people did not even notice it. Evergrande is very different, and it is part of a whole industry that is collapsing. Millions of Chinese will lose their life savings. Millions will be thrust back into the poverty they started in. Lehman was a walk in the park, compared to the collapse of Evergrande and the real estate development industry.
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  6. Utter collapse. That is what is happening to China. This is profound, and will last decades.
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  7. "Draining" means to me that the business is being sent elsewhere. Seems to me the CCP is killing the business. The CCP is against any kind of market, even a simple flower market. Can the CCP do any more to kill China's economy??
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  8. Of course, China will still claim its GDP and economy are growing at prodigious rates. Anyone who believes China's official stats is an idiot.
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  9. Xi and the CCP want to celebrate Mao and what the CCP has meant to China by having "Nostalgia Days". The Chinese will rejoice in its history by reliving the famine, poverty, and dying of the Great Leap Forward, and the Cultural Revolution. By starving today, they will be able to connect with their grandparents who starved before them. Oh, it will be such fun.
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  10. Looks laughable. Fitness training is good. However, actual military training was not shown,. If that is what they do, they will die quickly.
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  11.  @offiz  Good question. We don't really care about what happens in places like Brazil, or India, or Egypt, or many other countries -- so, it is a good question - "What is it about China that makes America react like it has??" I think there are several reasons. 1. China is threatening war to take Taiwan. 2. China claims sovereignty (not competing EEZ rights) over the South China Sea. 3. China has threatened war against many countries unless they do precisely what China tells them to do -- Sweden, Canada, US, Japan, Australia, India, Vietnam, UK, and Philippines. 4. China has publicly and repeatedly said that the US is their enemy. It is hard to be apathetic when a country as big and powerful as China declares you its enemy. 5. There is the human rights issues - ---- persecution and genocide of the Uighyrs. ---- Persecution and organ harvesting from Falun Gong members. ---- Illegal arrests and detainment of citizens of other countries to use as bargaining chips. ----- the persecution and inhumanity of the CCP towards Chinese citizens. (not that we really care, though). Is that enough to explain it?
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  12. I wonder how the common Chinese citizen will think of Xi and the CCP? This has all been brought on by their threats and insults. Constantly brandishing war. It was not just Taiwan. Xi and the CCP threatened war with Australia, Japan, India, Philippines, UK, Canada, and Sweden. How crazy is that?? China has even threatened to take Vladivostok from Russia. So, now, the world moves on, doing business and trading without China. Chinese will be poor and unemployed.
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  13. The new security law made if very clear - foreigners are not welcome. Executive buyers feel they may be accused and jailed at any time. So, they don't come.
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  14. Interesting. Hitler thought western democracies were declining. Stalin thought western democracies were declining. Khrushchev thought western democracies were declining. Mao thought western democracies were declining. Now, Xi JinPing thinks western democracies are declining. Does ANYONE see a pattern here?? Of course, the mystery is WHY do they keep thinking that?
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  15. Regulatory controls in China are bizarre, IMO. They can be extremely lax, which allows businesses to over extend themselves. The larger the business, the fewer the controls, as I see it. UNTIL, the CCP figures out, hey guys we gotta get control of the runaway train. Then they come in with draconian regulations that can shut down businesses and whole industries. Look at how China put the whole tutoring industry out of business. Isn't that CRAZY??/ Or they will come down hard on a company, like the way they came down hard on Tesla earlier this year. As a businessman, I can tell you that businesses HATE uncertainty. That creates risk. This uncertainty will drive more businesses out of China, much more than any trade war.
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  16.  @Clarice-e6g  China does not have the tech -- WE do. So, China has NOTHING to say about it. China can keep the buildings and factories. They are just tax write-offs.
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  17.  @repealsection230forbigtech4  Seems you are the only one to agree with me. LOL
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  18.  @samsonsoturian6013  Do you mean government layoffs?? what governments in China? What type of workers - transit? teachers? administrative? police (impossible)?
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  19. Seems like only yesterday - China was rich, swimming in money and buying all kinds of expensive military toys. Carriers, nuclear subs, new fighters, new tanks, new weapons of all kinds. China will now cut corners. Production will be cut, and what is produced will be of worse quality. With the military purges added, China won't be in any condition to start a war.
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  20. The Chinese economy is collapsing. Chinese will back into poverty. In 3 years, you wont recognize the place.
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  21. China is in much worse shape than reported. If a bank cannot pay its employees, it might as well shut down. What is worse is that governments are cutting salaries -- transit workers, nurses, teachers, administrators, and others are having their pay cut or even stopped. China is collapsing. Get your popcorn, and watch the fun.
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  22. Whoa. Wait a minute. $15 Billion company goes bankrupt, and ONLY 250 people lose their jobs?? How could a $15 Billion have only 250 employees?? Something is not right. Sounds to me, a scam was going on. I don't think there ever was a real company. It was just a front .
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  23. Recognition of Taiwan as an independent and sovereign nation by US and the world is coming. The Quad nations will recognize Taiwan in 2021, I expect.
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  24.  @清德賴-v7q  Really? What did I say that was wrong?? Do you like centrally run economies?? Why do you think they are better? Why do you think the Soviet Union failed?? Please answer, I would like to hear your thoughts on this. PS.. Just calling me stupid, is silly.
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  25.  @清德賴-v7q  4 posts. Do you collect 50 cents for each one?? Or, 50 cents for all four?? Just curious.
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  26.  @清德賴-v7q  😂😂😂 Yeah, right. If money is not attractive to you, then you are not attractive to women. LOL
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  27.  @hepthegreat4005  Thanks. That raises another question - Why are rents so cheap? If homes are expensive, shouldn't rents be high enough? What is going on to keep rents so low, that renting is useless.
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  28.  @Dfathurr  What? What are the "ghost" troops of Borneo?? I have not heard of that. Can you please explain?? Thanks
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  29. China's tentacles are being chopped off, one by one.
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  30.  @t.yop9  Try reading more books. Taiwan was only part of the Qing Empire, none of the others had it. Tibet was ALWAYS a separate kingdom. The Uhygurs were separate - now China is eradicating them. China has tried for 2000 years to conquer or control Vietnam. Ok, you are right about Hong Kong. Britain took a small island with some fishermen, and made into one of the wealthiest places in the world. ALL of the Chinese in Hong Kong came from someplace else in China for a better life. They liked it and wanted to keep it. The CCP took it away.
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  31.  @Calen-re5bg  I have no idea what you are saying. It is Chinese to me.
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  32.  @VoidSpace9  Factions are the only thing that I can see as causing the contradictory moves and statements coming out of China. The one supporting bullying and wolf warrior diplomacy seems to intentionally destroy China's trade relations. The bullying faction is obviously winning. Countries avoid war because it can disrupt their economies. The bullying faction is not concerned with China's economy, so they support war. For this reason, I feel an attempted invasion of Taiwan is likely. (BTW - I say "attempted" because I think China has 0.0% chance of success, doomed to complete and total failure. I don't see how China can stop Taiwan from turning the Taiwan Strait into a killing ground.)
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  33. CCP has made it very clear -- private enterprise is a bad thing. CCP does not want our money. CCP has also made it clear that they don't trust or like westerners. So, westerners are staying home.
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  34. foreign manufacturers are fleeing China as fast as they can. China's collapse has only just begun. CCP dreams of world domination can never become reality now.
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  35. India will have to make up it's mind. India is anti-American when it suits it. And the whines when US isn't there for something. It wants US to act like an ally but refuses any support of US.
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  36.  Singa Duo  Damn. You found me out. Our mission to conquer the Earth is now known. Regarding China -- actually that is my point about Taiwan. Taiwan is always shown as just sitting there, while China attacks. Both sides will be hitting each other with missiles. For China, that means its invasion fleet will be destroyed.
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  37.  @FrostbitexP  Actually, the big lie is often believed over a small one. That was the secret of Goebbels, and of Donald Trump.
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  38. The CCP is thoroughly destroying China. Economy collapsing Population collapsing
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  39. China has declared the US as its enemy. Now, many customers demand that companies not offer Chinese goods. Plus, China has a bad reputation for quality. Many people have been suckered with unusable crap from alibaba. So, no American buyers in China. To be expected.
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  40. So much hate for China, that there is little sympathy for them
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  41. This is profound. It will impact China for generations. It will NOT impact the world for long. Factories will be built elsewhere. Production will increase in other countries. No one will care that their phone, laptop, or refrigerator will come from India, Mexico, Vietnam, or anywhere. We just care about the product, not where it comes from. In a few years, alternative supply chains will be set up, and life will go on. BUT -- China will be cut out of the loop. China will be out, because China wanted out.
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  42. Simple, they will tell their soldiers their pay is in Taiwan - win or go broke.
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  43. Why? because when they are finished, they fall down.
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  44. One more thing about China is that since it has threatened, insulted, and alienated almost every nation, I don't think anyone will offer China any help. After all, if the Germans and French did not offer the Greece or Italy much help, what can China expect from the world? In contrast, remember when a tsunami hit India?? Do you remember all the help that poured out from nations to India? People like India, so help was quickly and freely given. If the same thing happened in China, would you expect a similar outpouring of aid and sympathy for China?? I don't. Oddly, to save face, I think the CCP would rather Chinese people die, than to accept foreign help. To the world, that is sick, but to the CCP, that is normal.
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  45.  @morisan42  True - normally. Read my post -- China's system is collapsing, so deflation is coming from a different cause. People postponing purchases is too small of an effect to stop China's deflation.
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  46. What a colossal mess. China is collapsing. Nothing like it has ever happened. None of the great economic collapses in history compares. It might take 100 years for China to recover. One thing for sure, the CCP will not survive. In fact, a single China may not survive. China may break apart into independent regional states. It has happened before.
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  47. Floods, earthquakes, droughts, calamity after calamity. Has any nation suffered so much? Yes, biblical Egypt has 12 plagues sent by God. What has China done to piss God off so much?? Does the CCP support Satan?? Apparently, China has been cursed.
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  48. This is going on all over China. Yet China still claims that gdp is up, exports are up, and things are rosy. I think China is collapsing.
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  49. Russia's invasion of Ukraine is having an unexpected, but welcome, effect. The unity of the west and the power of its sanctions, I believe, have impressed and scared the CCP. They see what can happen if they attack Taiwan. The west can freeze, and even take, all their money. The money corrupt officials have put in western banks and assets could be lost. Secondly, China uses Russian equipment and doctrine. The poor performance in Ukraine should make them have a rethink. Would an invasion of Taiwan fare better than the invasion of Ukraine??? Probably not. BUT, a failed sea invasion results in many more deaths, as troop ships are sunk. I think these are good developments, reducing China's hunger for invading Taiwan.
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  50. The problem with your assessment is that it does not take into account the power of propaganda and self delusion. Look at Russia and Putin. Despite the fact that Putin knew about the corruption because he created the system, Putin really believed that his army was war ready. So, he started a war. The Xi and the CCP leaders probably believe their own propaganda, and don't realize how much their corruption weakens their military. Therefore, I believe that China may attempt an invasion of Taiwan. China has zero chance of being successful. But, there ignorance and hubris can lead them to try it.
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