Comments by "" (@craigkdillon) on "VisualPolitik EN"
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Personally, I am very much against the development of a neo-aristocracy.
Rich people are treated differently by the courts.
Hence, they are a privileged class, similar to the old aristocracies which actually had a separate set of laws governing them.
Therefore, I want HIGH inheritance taxes on the super wealthy.
By super wealthy, I mean those who have over $100 Million
Now, farmers, ranchers, restaurant owners, and other small business owners should be able to pass the family business to their children.
But, those with HUGE amounts of money should not be able to create a neo-aristocracy.
That is very dangerous to democracy, IMO.
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IMO, South Korea should build up its diplomatic ties.
South Korea should join the Quad.
South Korea should create common diplomatic regional policies with India, Vietnam, Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, etc.
Ultimately, a NATO-like defensive alliance for the Indo-Pacific should be created .
China and North Korea have to know that to attack one of them, will be an attack on all of them.
By jointly facing China and North Korea this way, is the best way to avoid a war.
China and North Korea are most likely to attack if they feel they have a local advantage.
If SK is alone, then it is most at risk.
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Without knowing it, you actually pointed out WHY Russia will lose.
Russia's artillery lacks GPS accuracy. They are using their artillery in the same armies did in WW2. Russia targets cities, factories, refineries, residential neighborhoods.
Obviously, unlike Ukraine, Russia CANNOT target command centers, radars, ammo dumps, fuel depots. If they could they would.
Meanwhile, Ukraine's accurate artillery fire cripples Russian forces.
Ukraine is suffering. That happens in war.
Europe suffered in WW2, and recovered.
After this war, Europe and the US will do a lot to help Ukraine recover.
Russia? They will be on their own, and get little help.
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The Muslim countries of the Middle East will have some major failures.
Their biggest problem, IMO, is Islam itself.
If you go back to 1300, the difference between the Islamic world and Christian Europe was not that much.
Rulers in both areas looked to religious leaders to confirm their title, and say they are OK with god.
In Europe, rulers had to get their marriages blessed by the Pope.
It was a Pope's refusal to allow King Henry VIII to divorce and marry another that caused England to become Protestant.
In fact, it was the religious wars, and atrocities of the 1500's that ended religion's importance in Western Europe.
By 1700, government no longer cared what religion a person was.
In 1600, the Archbishop of Canterbury was the 2nd most powerful person in England.
BY 1700, he disappears from history. He is no longer important as a political leader.
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UK did not cause the problems of the world.
UK did not create Islam.
The Pakistan/Indian problem is caused more by the intolerance of Islam, than anything UK did.
Ditto for the Israeli/Palestinian problem.
UK can be proud of its world legacy.
Look at the ex-British colonies -- they are democratic, or are trying to be.
Look at the Spanish and French ex-colonies - great difficulty with democracy, and long standing social and class issues. South American countries have been independent over 200 years, still huge problems.
But, look at Ghana, Nigeria, Bahamas, and India - doing pretty good. [Ok, Burma and Pakistan, not doing so well. can't be perfect.]
I think UK has been a good for the world
(despite its genocide of 8 million Irish from 1840 to 1850).
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Those who think China will overtake the US, extrapolate the growth of the past 30 years, assuming it will continue uninterrupted.
That is a false assumption.
1. Urbanization helped fuel that growth. China is done urbanizing.
2. 30 years ago, China had a huge young adult work force that fueled growth.
Now, China has an aging work force, that will be an economic drag.
3. Debt has piled up and reached unsustainable levels. China can no longer use debt to fuel its growth. In fact, the debt bubble is bursting, and taking down many companies, like Evergrande.
4. Xi and the CCP have turned away from the export growth model of Deng Xio Ping, which fueled the growth. The new Maoist model will sabotage growth.
Not only will China not grow, its wealth will shrink.
I expect famine and social unrest to happen in next 5 years.
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The Islamic world never went through a Reformation. Never went through the Enlightenment.
So, the Islamic world is still stuck with Medieval thinking. In the Islamic world, government is still associated with religion.
They ALL have Islam as their official state religion.
Islam tries to control people.
It is ILLEGAL for a person to change their religion, at least to change from Islam to something else.
When you talk to Muslim's, you will often find, as I have, that many are not only not practicing,
but many are Atheists, or Christian, or something else. They just keep it secret, or at least very quiet.
This lack of openness, and inability to treat all people equally, will prevent Islamic nations from
becoming modern nation states.
As their money runs out, their Muslim citizens will become very angry.
Not having learned history or philosophy, they will be incapable of understanding their situation.
They will blame everything but their distorted, antiquated, and obsolete religion.
They will turn on their government, and on each other.
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