Comments by "" (@craigkdillon) on "The Infographics Show"
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It is true that carriers are vulnerable. All weapon systems, bases, and countries are vulnerable.
The question is not "can a foe sink our carriers?"...
The question is "can a foe tolerate or even survive the US response?"
For instance, say China attacks an American fleet in the SCS and sinks a carrier.
What would the US do??
I think the US would then respond swiftly, with swarms of missiles attacking and sinking China's naval ships worldwide.
China's bases in the SCS would be obliterated - not a crab or seashell left intact.
Any Chinese air force planes outside of China's air space would be shot down.
A full blockade would be put on China -- not ship, not a boat, not a raft being allowed out or in.
How long would China's economy last with that??
If China EVER attacks and sinks an American ship, it will be destroyed.
However, Xi and the CCP act as if they think everyone is weak and cowardly.
So, Xi and the CCP just might start a war somewhere, with somebody.
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You failed to account for or analyze the impact of combat support vessels and logistics.
The American carrier does NOT fight alone - it is always part of a task force, which will include a Ticonderoga cruiser, 1 or 2 Burke Destroyers, an Attack class nuclear submarine, and supporting supply and logistics ships.
Moreover, a Carrier Strike Group may be augmented with additional carriers, cruisers, and destroyers and subs to make an adequate response to ANY threat. So, if one CSG is not enough to take out the Chinese navy, then it will be expanded until it can do the task.
It will be 20 to 30 years before China has that ability.
However, I do expect it to have that ability -- someday.
But, NOT today.
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The world trade order after WW2 was built and ensured by US and western Europe.
The coming world trade order will be ensured by US, India, Western Europe, and Japan.
Many minor powers, like Australia, Brazil, South Africa, Canada, Mexico, and others will follow their lead.
Any country trying to upset that world order will find themselves isolated, and expelled from world trade (if they persist).
The new world order will look like the Bretton Woods world of the 70 years, only the countries actively supporting it militarily will be slightly different.
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