Comments by "Tony Wilson" (@tonywilson4713) on "What's Going on With Shipping?" channel.

I didn't enjoy this video Sal, because the topic is ugly, damn ugly and its ugly for several reasons. - There's no need and no gain for the Houthi to do these things. - There's no gains for anyone else to allow these things to happen. Its an ugly subject with innocent people getting killed for no reason. So I can't enjoy this video but that doesn't mean you don't deserve a thumbs up for showing us these facts
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On your next video you should highlight the failure test of carbon fibre and glass fibre hulls that Carl Ross posted 10 years ago. He posted 2 videos titled Collapse of Composite Submarine Pressure Hulls Collapse of Carbon & Glass Fibre Tubes under External Hydrostatic Pressure. I have no idea who Carl Ross is (or was) but there's 2 things to note about those videos. 1) How sudden the failure is. If you look at how titanium fails its much like any other metal there's deformation eventually followed by failure. I am an engineer (aerospace) but did my first year in mechanical and we did that stuff in the lab. Most of the failure videos of things being crushed or bent in a hydraulic press show that but they also often show the sudden failure of carbon fibre composite materials. So you and other are most likely right the people in Titan probable had no warning it was all about to fail other than hearing a lot of cracking. 2) the Carl Ross videos show very little damage to the Carbon fibre tube other than what looks like a crack down the side. What people need to understand is that it was done in a small pressure test rig NOT the open ocean so there was very little water to keep applying pressure once the tube failed. I have done work in the petro-chem industry and other places where they pressure test pipes with water. If something does let go during a hydrostatic test there's no explosion of water because its incompressible. That test cell Carl Ross used has very little water in it so there's not a lot of volume to rush into the test model and do lots of damage. It just had enough water to break the cylinder.
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Its a great idea Sal. I just have 1 question how do I get my nephews and niece to read a magazine when they don't even know what a book is? Yes they're zoomers.
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@therealrobinc I 12/ agree because there's a disparity among the services and that's a subject that needs addressing. Also holding senior political people accountable is also a serious issue.
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@lisizecha9759 And your point is?????? Cos I got that. Duh.
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@roderickcampbell2105 yeah yeah what ever 🥱🥱
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When the title of a military operation DOESN'T make sense then you know we are being BULLSHlTTED.
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Reagan and Milton Friedman famously said the most scary words are "I'm from the government and I'm here to help". I think we need to re-phrase that. Which of these do you think best sums up what's happened? a) I'm an economist and I know how to manage everything by doing nothing and NOT letting anyone else do anything so that we can let the market decide. b) I'm from a Think Tank and have been thinking how to make my life better at your expense. c) I'm a consultant and I'm here to rearrange your life so my other clients can make money from the chaos. e) I'm from the government and I'd like to help you but I can't do anything unless the economist, Think Tanker and consultant say I can. d) ALL OF THE ABOVE.
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@FoldedCloak Agreed. just the other day I saw a video that looked back on something Jon Stewart said over 10 years ago not that long after 9/11. Jon pointed out that 24/7 news has to hype stories up and fill the vacant space with opinion because there's just NOT enough interesting FACTUAL things to keep audiences engaged 24/7. He said 9/11 was perfect for their business model because it allowed opinion and hype to fill the air and keep people engaged. This is a major problem in the world right now. I'm an engineer and we have to deal with facts. Its the very nature of our profession. We don't get to do conjecture or things go badly - the Boeing Max-8 being a good example but there are others. In just the last few days I have seen several news stories on energy (wind/solar & nuclear). AT NO TIME was an engineer interviewed on any of these programs. In one on nuclear (by DW in Germany) they had 3 people on. One was an Austrian physicist who has done some work in nuclear, but the other 2 were a political science professor and the other a consultant with a degree in Chinese Language & Literature with a masters in International Studies. You'd think DW being German would have easy access to plenty of German Engineers including those form the German nuclear energy industry. I see this sort of media behavior constantly.
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If you want IGN0RANCE look no further than any and every economist on the planet. Look what the godfather of modern economics Milton Friedman says. "There is one and only one social responsibility of business–to use it resources and engage in activities designed to increase its profits so long as it stays within the rules of the game, which is to say, engages in open and free competition without deception or fraud" - Milton Friedman Does the great Milton Freidman say that CEOs, CFOs and other managers have to care about the effects of their decisions on other companies or society in general? Do these clowns think Elon Musk gave a damn about the future of America when he backed Donald Trump or was he looking after the juicy contracts SpaceX gets via NASA? Do these clowns think any of the Think Tanks funded by billionaires write reports and produce videos and do lectures doing anything other than promote what those billionaires funding them want? Does John Stossel (like all media these days) push any story other than those that help get attention and clicks and subscriptions and therefore EVERYTHING he does is in his own self interest?
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@LantanaLiz Buddy I am only repeating what a US Navy officer explained to me in respect of the USS Stark incident in 1987.
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@ Yeah ok
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@wgowshipping AUSTRALIAN HERE MATE: When you get to Australia let me know I owe you at least the first beer and it will be a real beer. FYI - I'm an aerospace engineer who works in industrial control systems and automation. I have spent most of the last 20 years in our mining industry because I met one of the last 2 guys to walk on the moon and he said we'd be most likely going back to the moon for mining. There's a couple of very rare and potentially very valuable substances on the moon. At its most basic its a logistics problem of how do we get people & supplies to the moon and people & product back. Back in 2010/11 when working on a Alumina smelter project the manager I worked for one day told me that in the future LOGISTICS would be the most important facet of world trade. I didn't quite understand it at the time, but have come to understand its insanely important to so many things in our lives. You might not realise it but the Apollo Missions to the moon were a success because Buzz Aldrin and a couple of other guys solved the LOGISTICS problem of getting back. Getting there was one thing getting back was another. Go watch the video titled "I Was SCARED To Say This To NASA... (But I said it anyway) - Smarter Every Day 293" by Destin who's an aerospace engineer and listen to what he says about the new Artemis mission. Its a logistics issue with some serious flaws. These days my primary interest is in Energy Economics because the main stream economists have utterly screwed the pooch with all of our Energy Sectors which are all about logistics. It doesn't matter if we talk electricity, gas or oil they all involve moving stuff from one place to where its needed. I bet you never thought of the power grid as a logistics system BUT IT IS. It moves electrical power from where its generated to where its used and that's a logistics system. I'm scheduled to be on the Steve keen & Friends Podcast this week to discuss Engineering and Economics and there's a better than fair chance you're getting a plug because like engineering, economists don't really get logistics and that's a major issue.
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HEY SAL - From Australia (love the channel and just hyped you on Peter Zeihan's geopolitics channel) Since we understand the metric system better and also have to deal Americans we are fairly good at quick approximate conversions. if you understand the 3meters is very close to 10 feet (its actually 9.84252) then its simple. For meters to feet just divide by 3 (you don't need to be exact just close enough) and then add a zero. So 8.52986 meters divided by 3 is close to 2.8 (and a bit) which means 28ft and the precision is 27.98510499 Going the other way is equally simple divide feet by 10 and multiply by 3. 57 ft -> 5.7 x 3 = 15+2.1 = 17.1m and the precise answer is 17.34. Its NOT exact but a quick way to get close. Just remember going meters to feet it will tend to give a bigger number than exact and going feet to meters will give a smaller number than actual BUT either way you will be close enough in most cases.
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@danielhutchinson6604 Yeah but don't forget who invented gunboat diplomacy and who were the first victims. Go look it up on Wikipedia.
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HEY SAL - Please don't say things like "Hurricane Milton targets Tampa!" when there's clowns like Marjorie Taylor Greene claiming that this and the previous Hurricane Helene are being control by the Deep State.
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HEY SAL a NEWS FLASH: People with functioning braincells have worked out that its easier to feed people when they aren't having 500lb, 1,000lb and 2,000lb bombs dropped on them. SECONDLY: Why did anyone think that this would work when there is a deep water port capable of ships up to 30,000tons at Arish 50km South-West along the coast? YES - it only took me a few minutes to look at Google Earth to find Arish and then check it out on Wikipedia and find that it not only has a deep water port but also an international grade airport. Since it can at least handle an Airbus A330 it should be able to handle most medium lift cargo jets.
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I just came back to review what Sal said a year ago. HOW DO YOU FEEL ABOUT COMPETENCY NOW IN APRIL 2025?
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AUSTRALIAN HERE: I am all in favor of Australia getting nuclear powered subs that are compatible with American systems because America is our principle security partner. HOWEVER I MAINTAIN that the AUKUS program as is is currently being done is an UNMITIGATED DISASTER for Australia. FIRST - Its insanely expensive and we are not guaranteed the delivery of 1 submarine. Former Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull who has been a very successful business man during hos life has been scathing in his critique of the program. MOST of the costing is still being kept secret from the Australian people. SECOND - Despite the Virginia-class being a fantastic submarine and I have no qualms that it is the leading technology. *IT IS FUNDAMENTALLY THE WRONG SUBMARINE for Australia. The Collins-class we currently have 6 of have a basic crew of 60. We have never been able to fully deploy all 6 because of crew shortages. The best we have had is 4. Despite having over 800 qualified submariners we only have an effective submariner corps of 240. The Virginia with a crew of 139 is simply more than we are capable of using. We just do not have enough submariners in our society to use the Virginia. Those are just the basics after that it gets more and more technical. Its a great sub for a nation of 340million people but its a bad sub for a nation of 28million people. AND Mark, despite his background, should not be praising anything about either of the LCS class boats as they have both been well documented as failures. They are the first ships in modern history where ships are being retired in a class while the class is still under construction.
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@Charlie-Oooooo Good way to put it "like a river" except modern media is like a river of sh*t that people just keep dumping more and more sh*t into. So the further down stream you are the more sh*t your being drowned in.
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Great comment below is a cut an paste of mine and the last line was inspired by your comment. If you want IGN0RANCE look no further than any and every economist on the planet. Look what the godfather of modern economics Milton Friedman says. "There is one and only one social responsibility of business–to use it resources and engage in activities designed to increase its profits so long as it stays within the rules of the game, which is to say, engages in open and free competition without deception or fraud" - Milton Friedman Does the great Milton Freidman say that CEOs, CFOs and other managers have to care about the effects of their decisions on other companies or society in general? Do these clowns think Elon Musk gave a damn about the future of America when he backed Donald Trump or was he looking after the juicy contracts SpaceX gets via NASA? Do these clowns think any of the Think Tanks funded by billionaires write reports and produce videos and do lectures doing anything other than promote what those billionaires funding them want? Does John Stossel (like all media these days) push any story other than those that help get attention and clicks and subscriptions and therefore EVERYTHING he does is in his own self interest?
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Hey Sal before you insult the French anymore than most Americans usually do. There's a video here on YouTube that tells you how to pronounce Languedoc and its titled "How to Pronounce Languedoc? French Region Pronunciation"
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@wgowshipping I'm Australian but went to college in American and I can safely ask: When did any American ever pronounce anything right???? Its almost like after you kicked the British out you collectively decided to insult their language as well and then got so good at it you went after ever other language on the planet.
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HEY SAL Did you really say $660 a month to be at seas for weeks on end? FARK - no wonder people like Bezos, The Møller family and others are Billionaires. And they all complain about what it costs to deliver stuff????
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@wgowshipping I thought you were joking at first which is why I asked. That means for those extra 7 days of double pay they'd get between an extra $150-160 for risking getting shot or hit by a missile. Its like a Mel Brooks skit. Do you remember in Blazing Saddles when the got into the quicksand and the railroad manager was worried they might lose the $400 trolley?? put "blazing saddles quicksand" into the YT search
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@wgowshipping AUSTRALIAN HERE As we got mentioned as one of the countries that has sold the rights to Ports to Chinese Companies I felt I should add to this. This all came form the Privatisation Ideology of our Economists who follow the same Chicago School economic ideology as is causing these problems all over the World. That ideology was part of what was called Reaganomics and Thatcherism in the 1980s. We called it Economic Rationalism and its now globally referred to as Neoliberal Economics or Chicago School Economics. 2 of the core ideologies of Neoliberal economics are privatisation of government assets and foreign investment. Australian economists are almost obsessed with foreign investment and will give any tax concession and any other concessions to foreign entities so long as money comes in. The problem is they never consider the money that subsequently leaves as profits. They also never consider the loss of security or soveriegnty. The sale/leasing of the Ports is in general HATED by the Australian people and it has NOTHING to do with it being Chinese. Its the simple fact we don't control our own points of entry.
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@ramrod9556 Actually Peter Zeihan has been quite accurate on many of his geopolitical predictions like the War in Ukraine. As I just pointed out in another comment, being right about some things doesn't make you an expert in others. Developing any level of expertise in any subject TAKES TIME and unfortunately we live in a time period where SUBJET EXPERTISE does not matter anymore and Subject Matter Experts (SMEs) are often told to sit in the corner and STFU. Where PZ is often terrible is on things OUTSIDE his expertise. I'm an engineer and have seen him make some utterly idiotic comments on engineering topics. Sal has several times pointed out he's NOT GOOD about shipping and maritime trade.
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@ewartmouton I'm not certain what wild ones you're talking about. The ones he got right about Ukraine was that it would happen. Peter's probably presented details about how the war has progressed that are wild BUT THEN I keep seeing heaps of videos titled "Russia Collapsing" "Russia Dominating" "Ukraine Collapsing" "Ukraine Dominating" AND THEY ARE ALL WILD AND GARBAGE I've watched Peter for a couple of years and there's been a change. He's switched his business model from prioritising information to getting as many clicks as possible.
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@olisk-jy9rz That's actually the method of MOST podcasters and MOST social media commentators.
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@davidgoodnow269 I'm an engineer and in 2016 I found out how badly Australia's power stations were being managed and when I went to find out why I found it was ECONOMISTS. They are a profession that's totally out of control. if you ever wondered why nothing seems to change no matter who gets elected ITS BECAUSE OF ECONOMISTS. Every politician is either an economists or has an economics advisor and the core education of economics is totally dominated by Chicago school ideology. I actually did Econ 101 as one of my humanities options and all they taught in that class was supply-v-demand curves for different types of markets so that you could recognise a market type and then understand the basics of how it worked. My view NOW, is that it's NOT what Econ 101 should be. It should be the basics of what economics actually is and how it can both explain an aspect of society but also be a means to shape society AND IMPORTANTLY Econ 101 needs to cover the history of economics, because that puts a lot of stuff into perspective. If your interested one of the best sources is the podcast Mark Blyth called the RCP (Rhodes Centre Podcast) at Brown U. Its mostly book talks with people who have written about Economics. Mark is also one of the only people who has actually described properly that there's been different versions of capitalism NOT JUST 1.
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@djinn666 Yeah if push comes to shove ANYTHING can happen. But I happen to be Australian and know exactly how it will go. We were stupid enough to let economists take over and sell everything. UNTIL we deal with the outright stupidity of economists nothing will change. Right now they control all the keys to all the doors.
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@jamesmann7411 Yeah we are well aware of Macquarie Group in Australia and Britain were fools for letting them into the country. In Australia they were caught with an amazing scam where they had 2 banks that they owned and 1 was run for a staggering loss to avoid tax while the other was a money making machine known as the millionaire factory. They never told the people who invested in these banks what their scheme was. Some made heaps and others made ZERO. They are hated by the general population of Australia because they are a pack of mongrels
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ENGINEER HERE: Sal it was the Americans who blew the Nordstream Pipeline. People like Larry Wilkerson and others with military backgrounds have pointed out the skill sets required. Once you realise what sort of pipe Nordstream was made from and what it would take to split open 50m sections you can discount the idea it was 4 Ukrainians on a rented fishing boat. I have worked in the oil & gas industry and can tell you that pipelines like Nordstream are NOT simply a pipe that sits on the bottom. They are coated in several inches of reinforced concrete. The concrete does 2 things. 1) It helps the pipe sink to the bottom and stay in place. If you just had a sealed pipe it would float the same way steel ships and submarines float when they pump all the water out of the ballast tanks with air. 2) It helps protect the pipe from the marine environment. There's several video's here on YouTube showing the construction of Nordstream and you can see this layer. They also talk about coating the welded area where they join sections but that only applies to the welded area. So to rip open 50m sections of that type of pipe requires specialised demolition explosives capable of first cutting through several inches of reinforced concrete and then cutting through several inched of steel pipe. Then it requires a specialised team who can do that in the darkness and cold of the Baltic at depths of 150feet or more. Larry Wilkerson (who was Colin Powell's 2IC at the State Department) in one of his interviews for the Analysis News channel here on YT explained how the only team in the World with that skill set is one of the American Seal teams that trains for underwater demolition. He said maybe the Brits could try it but they would need American assistance. My bet is the charge on the 4th pipe (which did not get blown up) failed for some unknown reason and the Swedes found it when they investigated. It should be noted that Sweden has NEVER released details of what they found.
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@3SpoiledDonkeys thanks
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@butchphillips873 I get what you are saying but you simply have it wrong. I have never heard of water or any other state change being described as a BLEVE and you are describing a state change from liquid to gas. The same could be said for when LNG meets water. Even with out an ignition it can be incredibly dangerous because of the rapid expansion as the LNG goes from liquid to gas. BUT IN BOTH CASES is a state change from liquid to gas NOT and ignited chemical reaction explosion. Yeah its splitting hairs and the definition needs to be better. The explosion in Beirut wasn't typical of a BLEVE either because the fuel wasn't stored as a liquid, but with the heat of the fire it became a liquid then went through a 2 stage event. So it wasn't typical but it was still a BLEVE because there was a chemical explosion where there was an expanding vapour cloud that used the oxygen in the air. What you've described is at best a BLEV with no 'E' on the end because there's no explosive reaction.
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@MYeahman SORRY BUT FARK-OFF I am NOT going through that argument again with yet another clown who doesn't know WTF they are talking about. There was a German explosives EXPERT on DW who explained what happened in Beirut and why it was so devastating and why it was classified as a BLEVE. WHY TF do people like you have to keep arguing things like this. Did you NOT farking read my comment and note the point where I said the definition of BLEVE needs to be made clearer. The guy who trained me as in FORMALLY TRAINED ME IN A FORMAL COURSE in FUNCTIONAL SAFETY where one of the first things we covered was BLEVEs is one of the top people in the world. He was one of the first 2 people ever certified as a Functional Safety Expert. When he speaks the entire engineering profession SHOULD shut its collective mouth and listen, BUT there's some clowns who think they know better. I really have had enough of clowns with fark-all knowledge of anything acting like farking experts in stuff they have no idea about.
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@Garythefireman66 Agreed. If its not obvious I come from a completely unrelated industry other than a lot of stuff I use or produce ends up on boats. Like a few others I got introduced to Sal via Ward Carroll (F14 RIO) and I haven't stopped watching. Gary Stevenson the young British Economist points out how he was once told if he wanted to understand how the economy was going was to walk down the street and ask people. The idea was you'd get a better idea of how the bulk of the general population felt and how they'd behave in the future. I think Sal is similar. I hear all this stuff about international trade and what various countries are doing. Most of its just some journalist filling a few minutes. You watch Sal an you actually understand how things ACTUALLY MOVE around the world without all the noise.
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@RonGroenestein Yeah lets go with the privateering model. That worked so well for the Brits, Spanish, French, Venetians and everyone else that tried it NOT! What sorts of flags do you think they need to fly. Are we still in the black and white or do we try some color this time? For reference everyone needs to go and watch Black Sails and or Play Assassins creed Black Flag. Do you think we'll need to reintroduce Keel Hauling?
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@mattwilliams3456 I think both of you are missing the point of what privateering has historically been. Its not been about trade or smuggling. Its been about disrupting supply lines with STATE sponsored pirating. Privateers in the past captured and stole cargo. Their reward was being allowed to sell the stolen cargo. It was a form of mercenary warfare against a declared enemy. What led to the golden age of pirates in the Caribbean and other places was the fact they had been engaged as privateers by the British against the Spanish who simply had more ships than the Brits. So the Brits instead of PAYING for the privately owned ships to work for them offered protection for acting as pirates and cutting of Spain from the resources of South America. The problems started when the war ended and those privateers went from being able to do whatever they liked to being unemployed but skilled sailors, brigands, thieves, murderers and pirates. What the Russians is doing isn't exactly legal but its not the same thing, but it might still be considered a form of privateering.
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@wgowshipping Sal in a crazy way you make these things seem almost sane. Just so you know Ward Carrol recommended your channel.
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@WallOfWalls Go back and listen to Sal's explanations on the Dali and dropping anchors. In one of them he explained all the parts of the anchor gear.
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@rhonda-my_honda_cb500x3 "If it flies, floats or f...s, RENT IT" Oh Dude. Do you know how much trouble a line that would cause here in Australia or a few other places??? But then again I'd say to any of the complainers "Why can't it apply both ways?"
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@kasperchristoffersen4266 VERY VERY SIMPLE Mayday is called by the people who are ACTUALLY in distress. Everyone else who's alerting people to the situation calls "pan pan." If the coast guard had called mayday then people would have started looking for them and NOT survivors in the water. FYI - I have a pilots (aircraft) license and this is one of the first things you learn when using the radio.
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Its not until you watch stuff like this that you start to realise what it takes to make the Global Economy actually work as well as how fragile it is.
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