Comments by "thomas grabkowski" (@thomasgrabkowski8283) on "KaiserBauch" channel.

  1. Which is ironic considering in Europe, birth rates are lowest in Catholic southern European countries like Italy, Spain and Portugal
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  2. Not to mention turning back to Islamic traditions after communism and its state atheism policy ended
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  3. In fact most of Western Europe has those things and their birth rates are even lower than the US
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  4. Religion, as well as educational and work culture also play a role. Firstly, Kazakhstan does not have such a intense education system that does not basically force parents to spend a huge amount of money on private tutoring for their kids. They don’t work very long hours to the point of barely being able to see your children if you even bother to have them. Finally religion, Kazakhs are Muslim with Islam heavily emphasising large families, in contrast to largely irreligious East Asia
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  5. Latin America has low birth rates now. They do a lot poorer job at boosting fertility rates in Spain and Portugal compared to France with their immigrants mostly from former African colonies
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  6. Going back to Islam after fall of state atheist USSR and mass exodus of low birth rate ethnic Russians who moved en masse to Russia since then definitely played a role
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  7. Like East Asia right now
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  8.  @filipninkovic9058  The communist/former communist countries like eastern Europe, Russia, China, North Korea, Cuba, hit hardest by get old before get rich phenomenon
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  9.  @qfpan6426  Furthermore, East Asian traditions are rooted in Buddhism, which doesn’t emphasize the importance of large families unlike Islam
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  10.  @PeruvianPotato Like New York and New Jersey. Those states used to have such a large Italian percentage. Now the Italian descent population in those states are old and declining and are also rapidly being replaced. Far larger percentage of elderly than young people in those states are of Italian descent, not to mention large percent of elderly people in Florida
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  11.  @ThePieMaster219 For people who like to both people watch and travel, many do notice a noticeable lack of young children in East Asia and Southern Europe
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  12. As for Africa, example of that is South Africa which is much more developed and westernized than the central African countries and have birth rates closer to that of the west than central Africa
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  13. What about Switzerland, Austria, Hungary, Serbia, Belarus, Czech Republic, etc. landlocked yet low fertility rate
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  14. No. Japan disproves that. When their population was still growing, every generation has gotten more prosperous than the last. Now that their population has started declining , what’s happened? The economy’s gotten worse and worse, they’ve started to get poorer and most young Japanese today feel hopeless. Same with young people in countries like Italy, Spain, Portugal and Greece, and now it’s happening now in China and South Korea too now their population is declining, with their economies once booming, now also getting worse. Declining population has proven time and time again to drag down the economy and hopes of the younger generation
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  15. A lot of dictatorships are failing to do so too. Good examples, China, Russia, Belarus, Cuba, Iran
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  16.  @nntflow7058 UAE, Qatar and Bahrain are cases where fertility rates are pulled down by them having lots of people from countries with low fertility rates living there
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  17. As for Israel, there are religious, cultural and political factors at play, like Jewish religion and culture promoting large families, sense of responsibility to replenish the Jewish population lost in Holocaust, and Israeli government also promoting giving birth in part so that Israel have a lot of young people that is essential for them building a large and strong military
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  18. A lot of it has to do with the trend of low fertility ethnic Russians increasingly moving out of Central Asia after fall of USSR
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  19. Germany and Scandinavia work the least amount of hours per week yet low birth rates. People in developing world tend to work extremely long hours actually and they have higher birth rates
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  20. Plus the fact that Africa is still largely rural, illiterate and without internet access. The developing countries that are already mostly urban, where most have internet access and where literacy rates exceed 90% already have birth rates just as low as developed countries
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  21. Other Chad country I guess is Israel
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  22.  @ChannelAnonymous Because Vietnam is a lot poorer and less developed economically than the countries facing this problem, which is largely a rich world problem
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  23. However, Romania’s population is shrinking due to 1.77 still being below replacement, negative migration rates and higher death rates with lower life expectancy than developed countries all mean that period between sub replacement rates and actual decline is significantly shorter than highly developed countries for example
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  24. Canada, Australia and Russia are some of the least densely populated countries, and yet they have low fertility rates
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  25. Fertility is higher in west compared to east Germany. Difference largely due to large number of non-western immigrants in west compared to east
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  26.  @Hasanaljadid Saudis are extremely religious
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  27. As for rise in fertility before Great Recession, another significant factor is the immigration boom from high birth rate developing nations post 1980s. Now that effect is also wearing off as those communities get more integrated into mainstream American society and there’s less high birth rate countries remaining as immigration sources to begin with. Same rise also happened in other countries that saw immigration boom from high birth rate developing nations over period like France and UK. The baby bump period also saw non-Hispanic white share of US population drop from 90% to 65% for example
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  28.  @strastoncalhoun Well now they have the lowest birth rates in the Middle East
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  29. Also their culture has been a lot slower to change than growth in economy and education levels
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  30. As for China, huge factor is one child policy, implemented in 1979, that collapsed their fertility rate soon after implementation and the country has had below replacement fertility since early 1980s, when it was still very poor
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  31.  @duduchannel6729  And being so wealthy
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  32. Western Europe-replaced with immigrants. Eastern Europe-decline without being replaced and further exacerbated by emigration
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  33. And that bump, is likely once again delivered by the surge in immigration from high birth rate Muslim countries into Nordics that coincided with the period and now the effect is dropping off
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  34. Well wealthy investors and corporations would likely step in and keep housing prices rising tbh by creating artificial demand
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  35.  @leonskyler9230 It could also be that many younger generation Amish are increasingly no longer living that lifestyle and following their values. Same is happening with the Mormons in Utah, which historically has consistently had highest fertility of any state, and by quite some margin, yet in recent years, have seen close to the fastest drop in fertility rate
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  36. Furthermore, urban design hostile to raising children(East Asian cities are just concrete jungles where people cram into tiny apartments) with no space to raise kids, nor places for them to play. Furthermore, culture behind level of development, eg culture still largely viewing choices for women as either motherhood or career, and not so accepting of them choosing both despite levels of education for women in East Asia being high, which results in young women in that region generally choosing career and thus forego having children
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  37. Generally countries in northwestern Europe have generous maternity leave policies, yet birth rates remain low
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  38.  @joshuat3686  Well before the 1960s-70s, birth rates in Germany and Scandinavia were also much higher than now, despite the more relaxed cultural shift
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  39. Denser, more walkable and more mixed use, and well served by commuter rail going into city. That said, northeast does have America’s lowest fertility rates though
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  40. Don’t forget modern non-Christian countries include Japan, China, Taiwan, Thailand, Turkey, Singapore, Iran, South Korea(still mostly non-Christian despite a significant Christian population)
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  41. Well Europe has immigration
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  42. And interesting fact. Poor countries with low birth rates(low gdp per capita, low tfr combo), seem to often have history of communism. They include Russia, most of Eastern Europe, China, North Korea, Cuba
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  43.  @andrewlechner6343  And in contrast with cultures of developing world, they have low religiosity(thus lack religious cause) and high levels of education(including among women), and living spaces in those countries tend to be extremely small and those 4 factors and furthermore stressful education and work schedules and those 5 factors create the perfect storm for ultra low birth rates
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  44.  @Heatwave9000 In fact communist countries have a tendency to reduce their birth rates to well below replacement well before they become wealthy and developed
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  45.  @JesusOrDestruction Eastern Europeans have low fertility rate though
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  46.  @horvatlovren7198 I guess Islam just does wonders for Kosovo
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  47. Also by automating jobs
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  48.  @szymonbaranowski8184 Especially in East Asia where the typical residence is tiny apartments
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  49.  @Idonthaveanythingtodo Europe depends on what part. Eastern Europe first option, as shown by their persistent resistance to immigration and popularity of anti-immigration policies despite population decline, western second option
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  50. Also boosted by the 15% of Bulgarians that are Muslim
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