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Daniel Larson
Zeihan on Geopolitics
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Comments by "Daniel Larson" (@daniellarson3068) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.
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Is it really that bad to have less people? Less crowds. More room in the parks. Less pollution. Maybe, places will have less of that big city stress. Things may actually have a turn for the better. I mean this ever increasing production thing has actually seemed to diminish the quality of life of ever so many.
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Either that was filmed last Summer or Colorado is even better than portrayed by John Denver. Green and warm - nice. Some people sit and think while some people just sit. Some people just walk, but Peter walks and thinks. There is the world of geopolitics and the world of nature. Nature will still be here long after these geopolitical issues have faded away.
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Good talk - I guess having gone to an engineering school that featured both metallurgical and mining, it's not obvious to me that a lot of people don't know about the things that Peter is attempting to educate us. To a lot of people these things are out of sight and out of mind. It's a good thing that this bearded figure appears in the Colorado sunshine and reminds us of this aspect of our reality.
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I liked the hat. I hope his back is better. When I've had back strain, it's usually took about a week to get better. India landed a probe on the moon a few months back. It's pretty amazing. As tech companies build factories in India, they will assimilate the tech. The rise of India will lift their people out of poverty. Most of us see this as a good thing.
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Lots of scenery in this one. I really liked the little lake. The opening scene with the twisted roots seemed like a good visual metaphor for this BRICS thing. Some of those roots didn't look too healthy and healthy growth may not be expected. Perhaps the same could be said about BRICS. In fact, I think peter did just that.
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Wow! I always liked the stories of Pirates in the Caribbean, but never thought I would live in an age where piracy will disrupt commerce. Those huge cargo ships loaded with shipping containers could represent a great amount of money. Insurance would need to be higher. Prices of imported goods would be higher. Maybe - it is time to build stuff in the Americas again.
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You know - The generation before mine was the World War 2 generation. They went through the Great Depression and World War 2. They invented the atomic bomb, went to the moon and stopped starvation in large countries. Diseases that had plagued mankind since the dawn of time were virtually eliminated. Don't give up. My grandfather worked in the mines at 12 years old. His generation essentially built a country. The country was not electrified when he arrived at these shores. People did not have indoor plumbing. They put it in. Don't give up. Yeh - Sometimes I wonder about my generation. They gave us Reaganomics and neo-liberalism. They won't even vote to give folks health care. I'll be gone in a few years. Do better.
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Allah and God are working together on this one. It's the holy quaternary.
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Amazing - They don't want to let their people free of their clutches. My ancestors all came from Finland around 1900. Stories were still told of the Russians to me when I grew up. They were stories that did not make the Russians seem like good people.
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@TimoHHH Big centralized plants take advantage of something called the economy of scale.. Big nuke plants need materials to run. They need fuel every couple of years, gaskets and filters, etc. Then they work. they produce pretty good paying jobs, safe reliable power and don't clutter up too much landscape. They can be out of sight and out of mind. You don't need an extra facility to store energy for you during your short down times. It can take a while to build them or some get built in 3-4 years. Once they are there they seem to serve the needs of people quite well. Just do what works. It's the sensible thing.
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Gotta wonder if this guy is a part time geologist. He goes all over the world to beautiful sites. Then he tells us about the energy market in these places. His talks have certainly driven home that countries need a good base of the rule of law without corruption. It seems like so many countries are screwed up for their people by lacking this. Corruption is like a parasite that infects a culture making life worse for the ordinary people. Too bad Mexico can't do like Norway, invest in their oil fields and invest the profits in a sovereign wealth fund.
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Just seems to an outsider that this EU thing makes Europe more and more linked which means what happens to Germany kind of happens to all of the EU. All those people need to make a living so they'll think of some products to make for the world. I think they will do OK. Germany has always had some of the best engineers on Earth.
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Nice background - Peter says, "Wind is great." There certainly is a mystique about the great sailing ships of the past. "And all I ask is a tall ship and a star to steer her by; And the wheel's kick and the wind's song and the white sail's shaking, And a grey mist on the sea's face, and a grey dawn breaking." Some day they may write poetry about old wind generators. I think the options that can be built any where and take little space will overtake wind in the next iteration.
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When you begin to see it with your own eyes, you've got to really wonder about these climate change deniers. I talk to old timers that have lived where I live their entire lives. They say Winters are milder. Maybe you even like it, but to pretend it isn't there is just weird.
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It's sort of a Republican thing. Remember Nancy Reagan with "Just Say No." I guess it didn't work too well. Republicans don't have a very good track record with social programs.
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As long as the winds blow and the waters flow, we should be able to get some green energy. This looks like a good thing. There's got to be a lot of metal needed to augment the transmission lines. There will be tons and tons of Aluminum Conductor Steel Reinforced (ACSR) cables to cover that vast distance. There will be a lots of steel for the towers. There will be concrete for the foundations of the towers. The new circuit breakers will need to handle huge amounts of current. The protective equipment in the substation will have high tech protection for various electrical problems and communication back to the dispatcher. Good jobs will be had. I believe a project like this will still face opposition from some of the "Green" folks. These "Green" folks don't want anything new built. They do not compromise.
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@StockSpotlightPicks369 non factual comment. Neither backed up by facts or anticipated reality.
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This was good. Ever so many people don't give a thought to where stuff comes from. Some of them want to close down all the mines again without a thought to where stuff comes from. I think Peter's talks in front of the trees and the rocks make people more cognizant of stuff like this.
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There will always be a demand for buggy whips too. Just not all that much.
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Sewage treatment may be considered a miracle. Flowers can be grown from you know what.
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It's nice to see that the back strain has alleviated. Colorado looks nice any time of the year. Crazy Comment - Egypt needs a big project using nuclear or maybe solar power to desalinate water from the Mediterranean and pump it onto their hungry land. Then they can grow anything in that sunny climate. Sure, it'll cost some money but it would give food independence and prevent the future starvation predicted by Peter.
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Is there oil there? Are there resources that the US needs? Does one party have a distinct moral superiority over the other party? Is it really the Unted State's fight? Where is the UN is a conflict like this? It seems like these countries are small enough that the UN could do some good.
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Sounds like a win-win. That's the way business is supposed to work.
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Beautiful Scenery - I never liked Summer humidity. It's nice to hear there is something good about it. Is it possible that growing seasons of some more Northerly places will get longer and maybe increase the yields? Maybe things will balance out somehow.
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Yeh - You can tell that Peter has little experience in the utility industry. It seems not to have occurred to him that all the power from these individual wind turbines comes together at a big substation. At that point there are these big transformers. They can have thousands of gallons of flammable oil within their big insulating tank. Sure, there is redundancy, but maybe not all that much because these things aren't cheap. Plenty of voltage for an ignition spark. Then there's the towers. A few years back in Milwaukee, some guy took all the bolts out of a high voltage transmission line tower. It fell down. I did like the Ocean behind him.
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You are a smart man. These corporations brand the same stuff under different names. You think there is brand differentiation, but you are wrong. These guys also present awesome barriers to new entrants into the market.
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Beautiful green country he walks through. Someone should take the time to give Peter a full rebuttal on this complex issue. Even a guy like me recognizes that there is great error in this talk. There is also some obfuscation. I like this guy's other videos and think neither are intentional and there is no ill intent intended in this one. Thorium could be a great energy source for the future.
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I hope when the US elects the next president that we won't have to apologize for him. Trump is a bit like a crazy old Uncle who says crazy stuff and drools at the table. You sort of have to work around the crazy Uncle's mess.
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How do unions decide what to do? They vote on stuff. Big business doesn't like unions. They like to decide for people rather than people having voices in their workplace. Seems like if the country is going back to this democratic thing of giving people a voice, it's an OK thing.
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Why not think of what it can still be? There's still iron ore to be turned into steel. There's a housing shortage that could use that steel. New factories could use that steel for both the machinery in the factories and to build something from that steel. Jobs could be created. Products could be exported. The middle class could once again grow. Old houses in Detroit could be renovated.
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Those pine trees behind him remind me a bit of my grandma's old farm. She used to "put up" a lot of canned vegetables. This was added to the potatoes and rutabagas kept in the Root house to provide sustainance through Winter. Maybe, it's going to be time to hoard food. Peter certainly did sound certain that he knew what the future held.
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Just what is all this stuff they will build here? Will it be electronics? Will the manufacture of the TVs, computers, and electronic gadgets here again? Somehow, I don't think so. Will they be making electric cars? Seems like China is starting to make some cheap ones. Will the great steel works see a resurgence? Will we be opening new mines? Will we see high speed rail to help empty crowded airports and crowded freeways? Will textiles return to North America? Seems like history shows us that people who run factories like to have poor people working for them as they are much easier to control. I'm not sure people will really want to be like the immigrants of the year 1900 again.
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@Cthomas5678 Sometimes the older stuff holds up better and when they do break - one can get parts. This may not be true for appliances that are "smart." I learned that when I fixed my simple fridge last Summer. I wonder if people are wising up to the stainless steel scam. Paint seems a whole lot easier to keep clean.
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Methane is a greenhouse gas worse than Carbon Dioxide. To waste a viable fuel like that by venting does seem dumb.
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I'm in my late sixties. They said that when I was young too. My dad told me that they said the same thing when he was young. I never had the discussion with my grandfather. He was an immigrant and began work in a mine at 12 years of age. In his youth, he probably didn't want to work either. Funny thing about the discussion of lazy youth - They never mention pay.
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Proof - Even a broken clock is right twice a day.
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@smithb0134 A little less profit for the stockholders, barely discernible will cover it. A little more automation to boost efficiency. Companies used to pay living wages with benefits. If they did it in the 1960s, they can do it now.
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Russian truck drivers shouldn't smoke.
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Great Background - Despite the background and the discussion, I still like the idea of electric bicycles. A lot of the desired outcomes could come about if the roads were set up to make it easier for people to get around on a bike. Besides the environmental stuff, I think it would be healthier. Often you see one person in a car or a big pickup truck. Electric bikes would take a lot less space. Yeh - you couldn't use them all year but,......
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I like those mirrored glasses. With the bright mountain sun, they must really help. It's good that the government is protecting the industries and workers for a change. For too many years there have been these libertarian folks making policies that told us the magical hand of the market would take care of all our economic woes. It's good to see realism.
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He's back in Colorado. I think Pete is kind of like me. He is ethnocentric. He comes from Iowa. That's not quite smack dab in the middle of the US, but almost. So, he views everything from a US perspective. There are 50 or so countries helping Ukraine and so against the actions of Russia. I'll bet there is more than the US that Egypt thought, "We better not piss them off." Egypt buys food. Canada and Australia both sell a lot of food. Perhaps, the Egyptians didn't want to anger the Canadians.
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@danis8455 Wikipedia says this: "According to the Finland official census (2021), there are 20,876 people in Finland belonging to registered Muslim communities, representing 0.37% of the total population.[3] However, majority of Muslims in Finland do not belong to any registered communities. It is estimated that there are between 120,000 and 130,000 Muslims in Finland (2.3%).[4]" Even in these times, I bet there are more Lutherans in Finland. Perhaps there are even more pagans. However, I don't live there.
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Right - Who would expect a military horde in this day and age?
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I saw one video that showed grenades being dropped on Russians in a trench. They seemed sluggish. The narrator said the Russians were suffering from hypothermia. Perhaps, the cold may affect the Russians.
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Looks like an opportunity for mining companies to develop other deposits of needed metals.
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Cheap electricity makes aluminum. If a grant could be obtained to build a dedicated nuke plant jobs could be created for the next sixty years making alumunum. This is provided the alumina and recycled aluminum could be obtained.
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What's he ever really done for the average US citizen? Not much.
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Other nations and US manufacturing should fill that gap. Perhaps the time of these dollar chains is coming to an end. They will join the great "dime" stores of my youth, Woolworths, Ben Franklin and Jupiter to become memories of stores past.
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That looked like a nice car. He wants the people in the US to develop more metals processing. Good Luck! The anti mining groups seem to have a lot of clout. I think a lot of people don't realize that we need this stuff. There are a lot of ore bodies in North America that can't be touched because of anti mining clout.
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You know - A guy can even get to be president of the US being sort of like that.
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