Comments by "bighand69" (@bighands69) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

  1. Most of them are probably well meaning and just have an opinion on the topic but some of them probably are Russian puppets that have been bought and paid for. Democrats have the same issue but they were mostly purged during the 2016 election hysteria. There are also a proportion of republicans that believe a new conservative world order is coming about with Russia being at the forefront of that because Putin has put the idea in their heads that he is against woke policies when in fact he is just using it to stoke tensions. Nazi's did the same thing pre WW2 but the US tends to be very good as dealing with it in the long term.
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  2. Older people do not consume at the same levels as young people. That is a 100% economic fact that does not change no matter what country you travel to. Immigrants into canada are older and most will be in their thirties and will require several years to integrate economically. Most will not be buying homes and will be renting which will take away property from young canadians trying to get started in life and will push their opportunities of starting a family out further. The whole things is self feeding and will destroy parts of the economy you do not expect.
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  3. Germany will not be able to easily buy cheap natural gas for its industrial energy system no matter what deals it tries to cut.
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  4. it is impossible for the vast majority to be in age bracket of 25-29. The basic requirements for the visa is having qualifications such as a degree, several years work experience and professional membership. Realistically it is people that have attended college for 4 years, have 3 years vocational work training and then several years of professional work experience. One of the very few qualification sets that would not need to meet those types of requirements would be nursing as their 4 year college qualification is also their professional qualification.
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  5.  @ImHavingaCoronary  I would say very few of those students actually get to stay on because they do not meet the points requirements as part of a skills visa.
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  6. The young are not having children in Japan and they simply do not matter politically. They can whine all they want but it will make no difference. Many do not even understand that China would conquer them in heat beat if they could get away with it. They can fantasise all they want about America forcing them into this or that but it is all meaningless.
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  7. Let us guess you the expert are going to guide us with your tone?
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  8. The authorities only reacted because the protests were about to cause a civil war in China. Nothing to do with their leadership or local governments.
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  9.  @jonrolfson1686  That has zero impact on the market over all nor does it even have a solution.
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  10. There was nothing stopping Germany from having a defensive force and investing in NATO.
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  11. Pure nonsense.
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  12. I think market pressures will push things in that direction without it even being planned out.
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  13. @Apsoy Pike What has right to repair got to do with manufacturing.
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  14. India and US are major players but they will not be able to make up for the loss of Chinese Cotton. The video Peter just made is not about all the other countries but about the fall of China. Be lucky he was not talking about Indian production. US cotton production will be part of value added products which will be an opportunity for India as well. A US plant will massively out produce any asian plant even though it will be 10 times smaller.
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  15. SO you think his 70 year figure is wrong then?
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  16. They are doing it because of inflation that will later down the line cause further economic conditions.
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  17.  @korayven9255  Putin is not a conservative and people need to stop throwing these terms around just to suit their political attack labelling. Orban is not a conservative either so people need to stop throwing the term around him.
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  18. ECB is not like the Fed and has nowhere near the powers that the Fed has. The ECB is a collection of different countries that have pooled their banking resources together and as such the ECB has a series of limitations placed on them. Anything that the ECB has to implement has to be ratified through the commission which in effect is the leadership of every european country. They can do minor interest rate changes but if they do anything that causes an individual country to start crying it could cause the whole house to come crashing down.
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  19. Every average worker in America can afford a mortgage somewhere in America.
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  20. I do not think he omitted them but just wanted to discuss those countries in particular.
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  21. None of that will change the fact that German industrial production will become more expensive. LNG is more expensive.
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  22. Stealth fighters? Calling them stealth does not make them stealth. They may be able to source integrated circuits for a few hundred fighter jets but that will not help their industrial outputs.
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  23. You are talking crap at best.
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  24. The US is the only place in the world that can scale petrochemical products that are used in many nations industries.
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  25. Musk is going to turn Twitter into an everything app to include its current service but a string of other services. over bloated
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  26. @Iggy Swag I will be honest with you. If you are a medical doctor that has just finished medical school in Germany it is impossible for you take that Doctorate of medicine and start practising in the US. You would need to start all over again doing a 4 year science based degree in an American college, 4 years of medical school and then 3 to 4 years of residency. It is not impossible of you to do all of that and the reward would be immense at the very end as pay and standards of living in the US are very high. If you want it easier Switzerland would be an option for you, as would Ireland, Canada, Australia or New Zealand. Ireland and Switzerland would be the easy no visa options. Standard of living for a doctor in New Zealand and Canada would be very high and that would even be during a period of high inflation. If you are a women getting a visa through marriage to a US man would be easy if you want to do it. If you are a man doing the same would be very difficult. That is just the reality of biology.
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  27. If they get seized it will mean that nobody can trust that system of oil transport. Prices will shoot up world wide over night. Russia will respond and there will be a series of events economically world wide that will create trouble. You probably do not understand any of this. They are not going to be inspecting for food safety on those ships you can be sure.
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  28.  @oddvardmyrnes9040  "just as the Republicans & the Christian right in the U.S." That is just pure nonsense at best. There is no alliance in America between republicans and Christians.
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  29. That is not really news and is just the trend of China.
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  30. Nope it does not mean that at all. There is no getting around the fact that China has a population that is dominated by a retiring work force. Less people below that means they cannot be replaced. If it is an inverted demographic structure it means that decline is baked into the system.
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  31.  @joeking5679  You are living in a fantasy if you think aircraft carriers mean nothing. They were the back bone of WW2 in the pacific. They dominated naval battles. If you think a country can just fire a hypersonic missile from nowhere and track a US naval group you are in a fantasy world. None of the countries you are alluding has such hypersonic technology so what exactly are you referring to?
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  32.  @joeking5679  Britain was fighting with the Japanese in the pacific before the Americans got involved. Japan has a lose agreement with Germany hence why everybody understand its global consequences. FDR understood that and was desperate to get the US to make moves but the public mood at that point was not an aid to him politically it took Pearl Harbor for that to occur. FDR made it very clear to Churchill that his hands were tied politically but he understood the peril.
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  33.  @joeking5679  You are in a fantasy world if you think radar would easily track a carrier group.
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  34.  @joeking5679  China cannot even build microchips never mind a missile system that can operate in the pacific and Asia greater naval region. Carrier groups are extremely powerful and densely armed formations that can combat operate over a million square miles of ocean. Just the carrier a lone can combat operate a region of about 1 million square miles of ocean. Hypersonic glide missiles are not going to restrict any of that.
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  35.  @TheReferrer72  That $180 billion is for direct government granting and expenditure. My point was German as in the whole. The EEG has to date cost about €400 billion. The total cost to germany has to include taxation of energy, statuary energy requirements and so on. The projected cost of Energiewende is about €380 billion. In regards to that 40% electricity generation it is only a peak figure generation not total energy created. So that means there are special occasions when the 40% generation is created but there is no means of storing that energy.
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  36. What if that willing person is a serial killer, drug dealer or a wannabe terrorist. The vast majority are clearly not that but how would it be known. The American immigration system is too tough and so are most European countries. A child born in Germany even if they spent 10 years of their life being raised there is not German and is automatically classified by Germany as the nationality of the parents which is pretty extreme.
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  37. The US pre 911 would smash countries with armaments and unconventional warfare without even blinking. It does not need an invading force to conquer a country. If tomorrow the US decide to take down Iran it could do so with relative ease and by the way it may do that to send out a message to Russia and China of what happens when messing with the US. All it takes is for Iran to step out of line for the US to hit it really hard. The US may decide to target an iranian proxy to send a message to Iran.
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  38. So will the move mean that a person who moves to Canada will have to wait before buying a house?
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  39.  @beckyconstantinides2546  Canada does not build enough houses to meet the demand. 200,000 houses a year is not enough. There are currently 5 million Canadians between the ages of 20 to 30 in Canada. Your policy will not work.
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  40. There is no shortage of water in America only limitations of the distribution systems.
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  41. Maybe not yet because Russia is still fighting.
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  42.  @dark_fire_ice  As long as Russia is still fighting Putin will stay in power but if he loses this war that is when there could be a Coup d'état or Putin could just lose power.
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  43. It will not impact Tesla or Apple who assemble their product in China for the CHinese market and greater asian market. Most of the vehicles produced in China are for export.
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  44. No he is talking about the whole culture of intellectualism that is very city driven. It is why they all think they are experts at farming because they grow a little vegetable biodiversity patch in their local park. They actually think bee hotels actually save the planet.
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  45. Shotguns, flak systems and other tools would work as well. Nothing as sophisticated as C-Ram would be needed.
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  46.  @firstLast-sn3me  Those are all break through areas that I listed that are playing out right now. A science experiment on fusion that very few people understand is not something to get excited about. What you are seeing is nothing more than PR at play and media headlines designed to excite.
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  47. So you think the population of Tokyo lives in free standing houses? That is some fantasy thinking going on there.
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  48.  @DieFlabbergast  The Tokyo metro area has a size of 13000 square Kilometers and has a population of 40 million. Who exactly are you trying to kid with your little stories?
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  49. Nothing wrong with supporting Israel.
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  50. All costs have to be included in the production per barrel.
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