Comments by "hugh mungus" (@hughmungus2760) on "Whatifalthist" channel.

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  49.  @delgado.adrian160  ships are alot bigger and slower than planes, and the ocean doesn't have alot of terrain cover so no. Antiship missiles are alot easier to aim. If anything the US attempting to fire back at land based launchers are going to struggle because the vast majority of them are mobile and well hidden. Finding and tracking US fleets off the coast of china won't be hard. China has no shortage of space based recon assets and over the horizon radars. As well as recon aircraft and drones. The only hope the US has is to stay well out of range of the majority of chinese missiles and hope the few that do get fired can be intercepted or aren't as accurate as they're advertised to be. Aka. Hope and pray. For the US to get into the taiwan straits with surface vessels, That is basically impossible. If anyone is going to have a jutland moment its the US foolhardily sailing into a swarm of chinese antiship missiles thinking its still the 90s Theres an off chance the US might get a sub or two into the straits but its unlikely they will survive when outnumbered 10:1 by chinese diesel electric subs lying in ambush Taiwan's resources will run out Much faster than the mainland because the mainland at least still produces about 1/3 of the fuel it consumes. With adequate stockpiles, rationing and pipelines to Russia, china could stretch that out for years Taiwan produces no fuel and the few fuel storage locations it has will likely be blown up early on. You can blockade the malacca straits for a while but you choke off the flow of oil to all of asia and countries like Japan and south korea will likely buckle before china does forcing you to lift the blockade eventually. especially if taiwan has already fallen and you're effectively hurting everyone friend or foe for a lost cause. Chinese bombers all have standoff weapons that outrange US destroyers. they can lob these at any US fleet from well out of their engagement range and fly back to do it again in 12 hours. Each chinese bomber can carry upto 6 supersonic antiship missiles or 2-4 hypersonic ones. And china has over 200 bombers. This is on top of the vast numbers of land based missiles and ship based missiles which range from subsonic sea skimmers to hypersonic glide weapons. Chinese land based missiles can reach the western shore of taiwan too. taiwan isn't very big.
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