Comments by "David Himmelsbach" (@davidhimmelsbach557) on "RFU News — Reporting from Ukraine" channel.

@harissuta1280 The Kremlin is now bragging about counter-attacks retaking villages that -- yesterday -- the Kremlin asserted had never been lost. So much for Moscow credibility. It's in shreds -- on the floor. Now just cope. As for UA casualties -- they must surely be up... right along with RA casualties. The kicker is that the RA is still isolated in the Kherson oblast. The UA is having a field day shooting up bridges and ferries. EIghty-years ago the Luftwaffe was shredded as it attempted to supply 6th Army. For at least the first four-weeks, the Krauts hung tough, thinking that 57th Corps would punch through. It never did -- of course. Then the 6th Army hung on in despair. The bottom finally fell out nine-weeks into the campaign. In the tenth-week, the Krauts were out of horses, out of luck, out of time. Done. That epic defeat is seen by all historians as THE critical reversal for the Nazis. Well, Putin has gone Adolf. There's no doubting that. And like his mentor, he's taken over command of his invasion -- rather directly. It shows. Ahh... the master's touch. Putin is frantically training a new corps -- some place east of Moscow. Let's say it's 20,000 strong. If so, it'll barely be enough to replace the souls lost in the pocket. Some coincidence, no ? Putin has not choice but to replace the lost corps trapped in the pocket. That's what the new trainees are all about. They'll be either sent to the southeast bank of the Dnipro -- or -- (Putin's fantasy) to Donetz. Either way, figure on these boys arriving just in time for the rain to turn Ukraine into a mud bath. The UA needs to do it's thing by early October, too. So, I'd say they are motivated. The buzz is that the RA has lost 3,000 men as casualties, POWs and KIA... so far. NASA heat maps show UA counter-battery fires lighting up the RA -- especially up north. The UA is now claiming ~80 freshly dead tanks. Somehow, that stat seems low. That's only two BTGs worth.
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@harissuta1280 The photos are simply all over social media. The Russians are low on INFANTRY. That's Putin's big hang up: infantry. BTW, when the Krauts were bagged at Stalingrad, Berlin didn't rush out and deliver the bad news. The fact remains -- ever -- that the Kherson pocket is out of communication (military speak) with its support. A few ferry trips are totally insufficient. Now, just cope. Putin is raising a new corps -- because he has to.
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That helicopter photo is a Kremlin con job. It's been debunked on Polish TV. Note the total lack of troops or equipment anywhere around the machines -- both of them. From another angle, it becomes obvious that this is stock footage -- or a scene fabricated in Mother Russia -- far from the front. The Russians don't DARE use such a magnificent machine anywhere near UA ManPADs. An MI-26 goes for Big Bucks, too.
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@romeufrancisco7041 Yet, weirdly, this is the Rainy Season. The Dnipro is getting recharged at a tremendous rate by Mother Nature. The moment of decision: when the UA can get within artillery range of the Dnipro -- with conventional tube artillery -- not just GMLRS. Moscow has figured -- as anyone would -- that the boys will totally crack when that happens. The UA is shattering Putin's veteran formations -- who are now just shadows of their original TO&E. It is FALSE that Putin has steady formations northwest of the Dnipro.
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You skipped past the fact that the Kherson oblast pocket can't last long enough for Putin's boys to arrive. It's entirely likely that the front will collapse before any serious numbers show up. Putin's 3rd Corps seems to have evaporated -- it was supposed to change everything. It was the last gasp of first rate Russian military equipment. Now, everything will be ex-Soviet iron.
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That's my 'take.' The dispositions available to us can't be honest. Nothing is in war. I could imagine a token force holding the fort while the brigade displaces. That's standard military practice. In such a case, the Russians would be (rightly) afraid to take the hill -- because they're right under M-777 guns -- directed and corrected by observation -- drone or long eyes. Someone is messing with YT code. My post belongs to gojokid 24 not sipan yin. Yet it repeatedly miss-posts -- corn fusing any reader.
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@gjk282 It's official. They're OUT.
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@moshdude8444 They've been pulling guys out, day by day. That's how it's done. As for moving a reduced brigade over night -- you must be kidding. Military history is FULL of such shifts. If you think that noise will give the game away -- it doesn't. All of the shelling ruins every trooper's hearing.
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@josephkush1032 Zelenskyy had called for a general retreat DAYS ago. Putin's nightmare is that he has no path to victory. Absolutely no-one will negotiate with him. He's talking to the wind -- and breaking it.
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@pepito281scorpion9 To me, the war is in a total state of flux. Other than Putin has blown it -- totally -- I don't have a 'fix' on how things will play out. I do know that all dictators have glass jaws. They can deal out punishment -- but cannot take any. That's why Putin & Coy went ballistic over Kaliningrad. Lithuania was hurting his pride. Remember, at all times, Putin is so narcissistic that no morals apply to him. Like a two-year-old, what's his -- is his; what's yours -- is his. There are simply no end of posters who agree with his strong-arm conqueror ethos. They don't have enough brain or study to realize that in the 21st Century an aggressor nation has to get the assent of all critical counter-parties. Otherwise, they'll co-ordinate against him. Napoleon was the first tyrant to establish the dynamic in modern times. He was the first to put an entire nation under arms. (Levée en Masse) He could do this because French mathematicians had solved statistics as a discipline. Previously, monarchs did not how many boys were hiding from the draft in this or that village or county/shire. Now, Napoleon did. It's my belief that at some point, Putin is quite likely to take his escalation all the way up the scale -- Nikita, style. He's figuring on Biden to blink, to cave. But, Biden is not the decision maker. What Putin clearly does not know is that the USA runs best when its president is on automatic pilot. FDR had suffered so many micro-strokes that he was a dead-man-rolling from late 1943 until he died. All during that period, the US was run by a collective leadership -- with the Pentagon in almost total control of policy. It was George Marshall who selected the stop line for Eisenhower's armies... not any civilian authority. Biden is walking -- but a bigger basket case than FDR. Putin should really be terrified. The Big Decision won't come from Biden. It'll be made by the Pentagon, itself. (Based on the historical record) Unlike Nikita, I seriously question Putin's ability to crawl back down in the face of doom. Like Adolf, he's the kind of fellow who'll crack-up first. You KNOW he has a very, very dark view of the World, and everyone in it. He has all the levity of a mortician. No wonder his skin crawls thinking about Zelenskyy.
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@josephkush1032 You need spell check in a major way. As to why you're cross-posting from your gardening blog -- 'tis hard to figure.
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@josephkush1032 Sheesh. LOL.
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@denismorgan9742 Such a blockade can't be underway -- as such a naval blockade would be a casus belli -- Putin would howling to his nation -- and open warfare would've commenced. Why blockade Kaliningrad and not St. Petersburg -- or Vladivostok ? Your assertion can't be correct. WWV would already be escalating away. Further, Lithuania wouldn't be allowing ANY rail transport under your scenario.
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Putin has a glass jaw. You'd know that if you'd studied Dictators 101 in college. A dictator has to win BIG to win at all. Small victories actually amount to defeats. Napoleon brought this up more than once. For him, Borodino (1812) was a disaster. He needed another Austerlitz.(1805) Oops! Adolf was in the same boat. France 1940 was terrific. Britain in 1940 stunk. Then he jumped off the deep end: Barbarossa 1941. Barbarossa WAS an attempt to Win Big... and compensate for the fiasco over Britain. But he didn't win BIG. Typhoon blew back on him. (December, 1941)
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@relaxingsounds4821 We are the USA. We bail Europeans out of fiascos with one tyrant after another -- decade after decade. Europe has never known peace until the US Army arrived. As for hatred: Europeans STILL hold animus towards the folks right over the hill. The Genovese still hate the Venicians, Florentines, et. al -- and vice versa. You are a quite the oracle of Moscow Central -- I'll give you that.
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@Mister_Greek-q8w If Kyiv high command can drive Putin away from his southern sweep -- it will be the end for him -- politically -- back in Moscow. His political castration is how Ukraine wins its war. Kharkiv is a first class fiasco for Putin. He simply does not have enough infantry to conquer major cities. EVERY single time Putin ratchets up his aggression, the West ratchets up its response. Previously, the West was not sending Kyiv the latest and best -- taking the trick digital electronics off of M777s -- for example. Now, all of that stuff is being provided. The flow of aid is so great that it can't travel by air. So, there's a lag as it floats across the pond. Today's ships carry as much cargo as an entire WWII convoy. (When speed is factored in.) In the meantime, Putin's two largest tank factories are on hiatus. Yup. No Western imports. No wonder T-62s start to look 'modern' - heh.
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@moshdude8444 AND... they surrendered unconditionally to the United Nations. But, they STILL want it back. When the RF breaks apart -- something that Putin has made inevitable -- the Japanese will leap north even quicker than Red China. Red China will, of course, take back Siberia. Indeed, the PLA has ALREADY been war gaming such a move. Putin was notified. He was furious. Xi was just not clever enough to hide the exercise. Those two are just a load of laughs.
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@hudhinton1880 You're crazy. Congress LOVES to spend money. $40,000,000,000 is chicken feed for the US Congress. That money is going to be spent -- overwhelmingly -- inside the USA. Lend-Lease is destined to expand exponentially. Berlin pledges to spend $100,000,000,000 -- to the US -- that's almost a rounding error. That's how staggeringly large the US is -- how wealthy it is. It's the global superpower many reasons. This is one of them.
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The UA is just picking the RA apart. That's the game plan. Movement is secondary to destructive fires. This is the dynamic of drone warfare -- an echo of World War One, the stationary slaughter.
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The Krauts were able to hang-up the Anglo-American offensive across the Rhine for WEEKS -- by playing the river level card. It didn't change anything, of course. All during the hiatus, the Anglo-Americans simply piled up equipment, ammo, troops. Putin is racing against Mud Season. The RA psychology has totally changed. Now, Putin is trying to stave off a total fiasco. But, the loss of an entire corps, 25,000 men, is certain. Putin won't even allow the boys to flee. If history is any guide, the total count will exceed all expectation.
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@skromee The S400 is mobile -- but not THAT mobile.
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The highway bridge is only 30 kilometers from the front line. This means that it's in range of Caesar and PH2000 howitzers. Rockets are thus, a waste. If the Russians really CAN hit anything with their S-400 system -- they'll go broke shooting at 155m rounds. The Russians have lied so often that I can't accept ANY of Moscow's assertions. Verification is required. IMHO, they are lying -- again. The radar returns from any American MLRS missile will be tiny, too tiny to deal with via a SAM. The only Russian defense asset that could possibly work would be a CIWS type Gatling gun. I've read that the Russians have their version of this war machine. It would be firing blind into a pre-calculated arc of descent. (Spent slugs would be raining down all over Kherson, so... stay indoors.) The Russians would have to cobble up some anti-artillery radars to dope out whence the rockets came. The Ukrainian style is to launch missiles, one after the other. By missile three, the arc, and the timing, would be evident to counter-battery radars. I seriously doubt that the Russians can stop the first rockets. As stated, the UA is going to have to shift to Caesar. Two-rounds, and its gone.
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@viktorviktorski183 It's 1,300 meters wide at Kherson.
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Nope. Totally wrong. Kyiv is practicing fluid defense. BTW, Zelenskyy is raising a million man army. Even the loss of 5,000 men is actually nothing compared to the stakes... And Russia is actually capturing empty space. The UA has left the salient. The heavy equipment left days ago. That's exactly why the salient collapsed so quickly. The UA simply left -- mostly overnight.
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Moscow Command has to be blindingly optimistic. The Dnipro effectively cuts off the Russians -- same as if they were encircled -- almost. Drone warfare means that it's logistically impossible to send materials across the Dnipro without drawing Ukrainian fires. Kherson is lost. This reversal of fortune is sure to have repercussions back in Moscow. Putin is gaining inches -- and losing yards. His entire 'victory-on-the-slow' narrative will collapse.
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Putin's crisis is in INFANTRY -- and not much else. But this is a critical deficiency. Without infantry, no army can hold a front, no army can clear complex ground. Putin's infantry shortage is so extreme that he's brought in // bought in mercs and fools. The UA keeps claiming astounding enemy (infantry) losses -- which outsiders find hard to believe. But, they should. Said losses are among Separatist infantry who face compelled conscription back home. They are cannon fodder// bullet stoppers. Putin is using Ukrainians to fight Ukrainians -> straight out of Stalin's playbook. ( See: penal battalion function, WWII - Suvorov, et. al. )
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GT500 CNN is a joke -- same as TASS or Pravda. Everyone knows it.
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@meshzzizk Putin's boys ARE using Western microchips -- commercial grade microchips -- typically from Siemens -- who has cut Putin off. No-one disputes that Putin has a staggering stash of dumb munitions. It's the reason that his artillery is firing off so intensely. His crisis is in infantry. You can visit Perun here on YT to get a one-hour, blow-by-blow on how Putin's infantry crisis is playing out. Forget the talking-head idiots on the small screen. It's gotten to the point that young women are proffered as military experts. (!!!) Yes, that's actually happened. The Western MSM is that 'woke.' I expect teenagers to be sourced as a fount of wisdom any day, now. RAND Corp. is on record that 80% of Putin's stash of smart weapons have been expended. Putin's crew is now down to improvising solutions -- like slapping a TOR SAM onto the helipad of a cruiser. Cute. All in all, too much for Putin's bots and boys.
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@jeff-sp1fy Why? Lend-Lease means that a LOT more money will be on the way. So, abandoning Kyiv is not ever going to happen. BTW, American politicians ALWAYS get their 'cut.' So, their grifting does not affect policy. It is Macron and Scholz that wish to cut and run. The very thought of subsidizing Kyiv for the next five-decades -- upon its entry into the EU -- has them gagging. For the UK and US, EU membership for Ukraine does not touch their purses. As for NATO, now that Putin has invaded for conquest, the financial floodgates have gone full-open. Keep in mind, that the vast bulk of Lend-Lease aid is spent inside the USA. It just becomes a bump in America's DoD budget -- as a practical manner. American military gear is sourced across the entire nation -- as a matter of politics and grift. As long as Putin is shooting and raping civilians in Ukraine, there is no chance that Lend-Lease funding will be curtailed. It will ONLY ramp up. The weapons permitted will ONLY ramp up. The quantity permitted will ONLY ramp up. And then, totally new stuff will be engineered. The Latin-Cyrillic monogram business is about to explode. So many weapons, so many labels.
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@andrehunter1295 You've totally lost Putin's script. Putin DOES NOT RECOGNIZE UKRAINE. Period. He ONLY wants a deal that leaves Zelenskyy on the sidelines... as in not involved at all. Meresheimer's thesis has blown up all around him... and Putin held the plunger. You need to start an alt-history channel. With your current post, you're off to a its start.
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@Feffdc You're stating the obvious. Both Putin and Zelenskyy have been chasing after more troops since the beginning. Putin has had to shift entire mechanized corps from north to east -- something advertised globally. During WWII, Germany and the USSR sent new battalions into the fight everyday, sometimes entire divisions, corps. Zelenskyy is building (rapidly) towards a 1,000,000 man army. He has the numbers to do it. He has invoked levée en masse. Putin dares not invoke levée en masse... even though Moscow fanatics have been begging him to do so for weeks. Putin is savvy enough to know that if he did so, he'd spark a revolution -- in Moscow -- not Kyiv. Putin is Adolf, here.
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Here and there, it comes out through social media, that the UA is using local boys to bird-dog the advance of UA formations. The local boys, born and bred in just this area, know the terrain like no others. This is an impossible situation for the Russians. I have to believe that scouts// partisans are operating well to the east of the zone of active combat -- so that Kyiv high command is very well informed. The front is actually fluid. Further, the RA can't function in the existing mud -- lacking anywhere near enough full-wheel drive military trucks. The (conventional) trucks they do have -- need decent roads -- and the back roads are now turning to mush -- with videos to prove it already up on the WWW. In two more weeks, even the UA will become paralyzed. Deep mud demands helicopters or hovercraft... and neither army has any hovercraft. The UA goal at this time is to grab as many nodes as possible -- while the RA is engaged in cluster f&&k operations. At any point, the Russians up in Moscow can begin the next Revolution. It's over-due.
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@theProntoDuring WWI the solution was water jacketed barrels. Google around for photos of them. Rapid change, air-cooled, barrels were a 'new-thing' from the 1920s... the M2 Browning being a classic example. With water cooling, you do have to supply ever more water, so nothing's perfect.
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Someone has hacked -- subtly -- your YT thread. Stuff is not posting correctly.
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Zelenskyy is raising a 1,000,000 man army. He has more volunteers than he can equip. The Ukrainians are fired up. Protecting Mom, Dad, Sister, Brother and Grandparents will do that. Then throw in their girl friends -- sheesh -- the boys are fired up. Napoleon and Adolf ran into the same dynamic. No-one would surrender; no-one would negotiate; the tyrants were mobbed into defeat.
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The RA moved fast -- because the UA was retreating wholesale. I seriously doubt Moscow's claims - - any of them. Moscow has over-claimed success for every stage of their campaign. 700 heavy weapons may again prove to be a dartboard estimate. At this point, the UA has to stay with a fluid defense. Fresh brigades from the west will have to be brought up. Putin will surely bring re-built BTGs from the east. Putin clearly has an ammo problem. The UA is now hitting his dumps rather chronically.
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