Comments by "" (@tomk3732) on "Defense Politics Asia (DPA)" channel.

  1. They are not flag officers - they are field grade.
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  2. The atrition math is aimed at simply getting Kiev to run out of troops. Also west pays a lot of $$$ for this war - this may not last forever.
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  3.  @jade59230  Not too many - maybe few 1000s.
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  4.  @j.dasilva4567  I doubt casualties are the same - Ukraine is running low on tanks and APCs etc. There are whole units moving by civilian vehicles. They are certainly low on ammo. Population has nothing to do with it. The AT missiles are for last resort fighting - the whole thing is about heavy equipment, such as tanks, artillery, APCs etc. Once you run out of that stuff you are done.
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  5.  @j.dasilva4567  Nothing is different. Missiles have been used, guided since like 1960s. Advanced models such as Tow 2 etc. have been used for like 20 years in combat as well. Russia has same systems. Spike was used extensively in AM-AZ conflict. Nothing special here.
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  6.  @jasonbrittain3316  Well, I don't know. Maybe. I recon that there are a lot of troops. There were supposedly 2500 Nazi Azov troops and 1500 regular Ukrainians at the beginning. Maybe. Russians claim "thousands". How many Russians? I recon up to 20k. If it was all DPR and LPR that would be like half of their regular force - so a bit extreme. Info is both republics have 40k regular and 30k conscript - so total of 70k. All fog of war.
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  7. But what is it that Ukraine attacks that Russia holds dear? They don't care too much about Kharkiv now - so it feels like Ukraine is attack something not important to Russia.
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  8.  @Khasidon  LOL, yet they had no more then a brigade there? And that brigade could not loose all of its equipment - I mean they did drive out somehow?!
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  9.  @dennisg1460  There were only two Russian brigades there - its a myth they captured much as there was not much. Other than land. This prompted Russia to mobilize 300k new troops - so there are no more areas with almost no Russian defenders. You will see how in a month we see a lot of dead Ukrainians and maybe modest gains in land. The war is clearly lost for Ukraine. They should negotiate out or they simply will loose more people. And maybe even more land.
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  10.  @beastmode6225  Not at all - Russians are also defending their land in Donbass. What about what Ukraine is doing to Russia? Have you considered that? Invaders will be crushed - Kiev regime troops will run back to Ukraine proper where they came from.
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  11.  @dennisg1460  Maybe tell me how that million (!!!) of super duper best in the world Ukies lost Bakhmut? Cheers. Also VDV did not participate in Vulhedar ;)
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  12.  @dennisg1460  Umm, no VDV did not participate at all. Russia had two brigades - that is 8000 troops or so. 6 BTGs is about 4000 people.
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  13.  @dennisg1460  why just 50,000, why not 500,000? I heard it was 500,000 from Ghost of Kiev.
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  14.  @dennisg1460  NATO has been helping Ukraine since 2014. Both sides had losses but we know Russian losses quite well and they were not very high during first month of the war, nor are they high now. Donbass militia was stealing a lot. So according to you it was Ukrainian stealing.
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  15. Well, it will still take many weeks - depends on Ukrainian will to fight to the last man - it could even be months.
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  16.  @evan6034  Turkey is on Turkish side - i.e. they will protect their interests. If Ukraine attacks ship with their oil they will certainly answer very harshly. Why? Well, it is their oil and b) Ukraine can easily get its nose to bleed without much repercussions. Main counter to this is Turkey could not be peacemaker.
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  17. Northern Kherson region is only delaying tactics by less then 1000 Russians, maybe as little as 600. The main forces are holding the city and the river crossings.
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  18.  @Zenny1220  Old and short range is 40km or so. They have much newer 80km stuff. So they have latest missile used by the system. They may have some older stuff as well for short range work.
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  19.  @Zenny1220  Sure, but that is not happening for political reasons. Same as no aircraft etc.
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  20. Lol.
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  21. Lugansk is easy - they control all but a part of a forest and one village. Donetsk is more interesting.
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  22. What could have occurred is that Nationalist Units asked "loyal" citizens whom collaborated (like bought food from) with Russians and executed them all. This may seem like fantasy BUT there is no investigation! Shocking! No one is investigating how and when these people died! they are just bagged and shipped off!
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  23.  @ericvandet8517  If the west was so sure of Russian war crimes, why hide? Why HIDE? Why no UN? Why no ICC? Strange no?
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  24.  @ericvandet8517  why delay? Why no forensics? Why they waited? Strange.
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  25.  @ericvandet8517  They removed the bodies, no investigation and put them in bags. Heck, will not be shocked if some got cremated. UK delayed sending UN - I am unsure if even UN investigative team was dispatched yet or not. Sat photos are of no huge value. There was no forensic investigation of crime scene as crime scene was removed. First thing you do when you investigate crime scene you make sure it is not disturbed. Here it was... removed. How do you explain this???? Why did they remove crime scene not waiting for UN - why did UK delay UN dispatch????
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  26. They may think of forming a new border over a river. Look at rivers for new borders.
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  27. It can be diversionary attacks - by few highly trained soldiers and with a lot of poor conscript behind for the show.
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  28. Yes, some, some were taken POW - I seen on video. I think in National Guard.
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  29. That map has been shown time and time again to be unreliable. So I would not really trust it much - I no longer even look at it.
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  30. Speeding up == more losses, less Russian performance jokes; Going slow == less losses, far greater damage to Ukraine. One has to realize that Russians are destroying much more heavy equipment per day in Ukraine then Ukraine does received (if it actually gets any). Also a lot of other damage. 100s of sorties per day do their job.
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  31.  @DeclinedMercy  LOL, there are no conscripts - there will be in 2 or 3 days - but they will be all after months of training. Russia has millions of working rifles. I would assume at least 10 million if not more. Relax, I bet by end of this year Ukraine will claim victory and try to restart talks. If they succeed, Ukraine will lose Donbas and Crimea... and call it victory.
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  32.  @hallgeirtveit5553  Or they guys that claimed they have destroyed more tanks then Russia had! Shamelessly they are now at what, 120% or 130% of total?
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  33.  @hallgeirtveit5553  Where did you see T-55 - only Ukraine uses T-55. There is not much photo evidence of anything. I assume Ukraine lost a bit more tanks than Russia did.
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  34.  @hallgeirtveit5553  Really, I have seen zero evidence of any T-55 use - if there was any evidence I would have seen it. All there was is a video of T-55s on a train two months ago.... nothing more than that.
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  35.  @hallgeirtveit5553  Nope, just checked and no such image can be found. There also have not been trainloads of them but a single train. There cannot be train loads of them as Russia does not actually have a lot of T-55s.
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  36. Nah, Davydiv Brid not taken. Just fighting there. We see more in few days - this whole front is relatively quiet. Small forces.
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  37.  @InfoSopher  Are you shitting me? There are like 100s of things Ukraine lied about. Ghost of Kiev, Snake Island just at the start. Then at least 10 cities that they have retaken - every week we have new city "retaken" that was never claimed to be taken by other side, some cities never even saw a single Russian soldier. Then there is "counter attack" and "encirclement" I mean at least dozen times they "counterattacked" and "encircled" the enemy. And this is only things that can be shown. Ukraine arrested its opposition. They even arrested it before the war, any one of them not in jail is in there right now. You clearly don't know what is going on.
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  38.  @banger2998  As per Ukraine, before the war Kiev regime had 37m people. I assume they know how many tax payers they have. Now its probably well under 30m.
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  39. Push whom out? Ukrainians? Yeah, Russia is using massive amounts of artillery but mostly short - mid range to push Ukrainians out in Izium front.
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  40.  @mattiasdahlstrom2024  You are not the only one. I also think a lot of pp think "Russians" and add to this Czechens / DPR / LPR. There I can see some heavy losses in say DPR conscript troops.
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  41. No, Russia cannot handle so many poor people - they may create East Ukraine.
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  42. Remember Jews were Polish citizens as well - so the number is over a million Poles, not just 100k. Also the 100k seems low - for example, over 4000 towns and villages were removed from the map. It seems a low number to say only on average 25 were killed!
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  43.  @termopylae5506  But they cannot go to Crimea without epic level of supplies. How can they get such supplies across the river when Russians, with fewer troops and with actual bridges had issues?
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  44.  @Arniac1  Sure they would - they supplied a lot of weapons in wars that their puppets have lost - so did the Soviets. West did not supply many tanks - less than 100 were delivered which is next to nothing. Its a joke. Never underestimate your enemy - but also do not think NATO military planners are some Gods. Remember west lost with Soviet Union - Berlin was taken - and it had the best western commanders on earth. The war for Ukraine is lost. Even if by some miracle they manage to gain a lot of land - they still lost the war. Especially when everyone knows that this is their last hurrah.
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  45. It feels like Ukraine is starting an offensive where they will pretend to have a success without actually using up too many forces. This way they can say "well look, we attacked, we took a lot of land (say 10 villages) and now we are waiting for more US aid. I could be wrong, but so far it does not look big.
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  46.  @DWandtheenablers  So why no investigation? Why did UK block Russian attempt to get UN involved? You against crime scene investigation? Why is that? Why cannot international experts investigate the man on the bike? Why NOT?
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  47.  @DWandtheenablers  Demanding cell phones is 100% valid strategy. Apparently this was not done in Bucha. Many interviews, Ukrainians killed my neighbors. LOTS. So what? Maybe you should watch the other side videos of people showing all dead bodies executed by Azov. But that does not mean Azov did it. We need concreate investigation. For Bucha it was blocked at UN by UK. WHY???? So far we only have two videos of Ukrainian war crimes where Ukrainians are executing POWs. It would not be rocket science to check time of death of these people killed. But this was not done. Bodies were quickly removed and no investigation of crime scene was allowed. I wonder why.
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  48.  @DWandtheenablers  But Russia could not investigate the crime on territory it cannot control and Russia is not UN. Russia asked ** United Nations ** to investigate. So why no investigation? Heck why didn't UK ask for UN investigation? Why no ICC investigation? WHY NO INVESTIGATION BY ANYONE? Answer that one.
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  49. I prefer that any Ukrainians left pack up and leave for Ukraine - if they like it so much.
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  50. ****** Note geo location of latest Patrick L video - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9sZuz4dlVAo They are filming in the center of Mariupol - so one can add a 1km+ bubble there.
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