Comments by "" (@tomk3732) on "Balkan Mapper" channel.

  1. Russians are going to strangle Ukraine in Lugansk. Supposedly idiot Z wanted to hold on for PR reasons, despite general stuff telling him its a waste of pp.
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  2. Ukraine on the ropes, Russia going for knockout blow right now. As I said after 4 weeks of war, they should have taken deal offered by Moscow.
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  3.  @WelloBello  Its 1000s of little blows - just like in WWII. When allies landed in France it took many months to move - why expectation now is so much different?
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  4.  A Random Channel  Yeah I cannot believe people believed CNN so much that Ukraine will fall in days. Ignoring how long it took to take Iraq or how long city battles take - Grozny 5 weeks and Falujah 6 weeks.
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  5.  @crogmmp  Sure, why would it fall? Russia will take what it wants and the rest can exist just fine.
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  6. Including these from Wolyn?
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  7.  @gargamelvoeyt2137  EXACTLY! In Katyn people were buried, monument was erected, and people can come and pray for the dead. Wolyn? Nothing like that. In fact what you get is a monument to their murderer!
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  8. 1?
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  9. With recent Biden comments we may soon see this in real life. Then we can compare how accurate the prediction was.
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  10.  @gavinsunderland4392  Why would they hurry, they want minimal losses. Ukrainians are taking very heavy losses. They cannot take it forever. Eventually front will collapse and Russians will scoop it. Besides, war is in Ukraine not Russia. Ukraine already lost big time.
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  11.  @jakeleur3345  Easy, just use posted number of troops by CNN and use this map to see Russians move forward ==> heavy losses for Ukraine.
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  12.  @stephmod7434  If you looked at WWII it would be total stalemate. After D-day it took months to take all of France. Many months. Despite huge enormous allied advantage. I am sure you would say "stalemate" especially when looking at Montgomery not being able to move an inch for months.
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  13. Russians are on the slow move forward. Especially in Donbass Ukrainian forces are slowly disintegrating.
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  14. @TheLapster Nope. I bet there will be two winners this time around.
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  15. I still cannot figure out the goals of the operation - true ones. Kiev attack seems to be distraction. There does not seem to be intention of taking it. Almost all of Donbass soon will be under Russian control and soon Ukraine will be cut off from the sea. Is this the real goal?
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  16.  @crogmmp  Why sadly - people there do not want to be in Ukraine. Do you Croats want to be back in Yugoslavia? Did you sadly gained independence from Yugo dominated by Serbs?
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  17.  @commanderadam1835  No I am not high - there were only few BTGs deployed there in a large area. Screening force. So yeah, weak Russian forces. Ukraine had like 10:1 advantage in numbers.
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  18.  @Debre.  Nah I doubt they fail, they hold almost 100% of Lugansk, and like 55% of Donetsk. They are moving forward every day. Even if the war froze today, without whole Kiev, Chernihow etc. Russians would hold about 1/6 of Ukraine.
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  19. What encirclement? The only one in the making is in Donbass - small one.
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  20. They only have battalion up north to slow UA advance. They only will hold Kherson salient. This is till Donbass operation is over. Imagine UA has 4:1 advantage and just slowly pushes Russians out.
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  21. Oh I am sure they will claim loosing 1/3 of the country is a victory as they did not loose the other 2/3.
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  22. Relax, give them few days, they need to regroup in Donbass, they need to clear Mariupol, maybe next week.
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  23. Yeah, more fake news from UA. Why stop at 40km, make it 400km.
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  24.  @Steamprod  Not in Ukraine.
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  25. Izium has been taken for like 3 days now. Fighting been outside of it, but now Russians crossed the river on two bridges and have bridgeheads and are pushing huge Ukrainian force in front of them.
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  26.  @nicotri9722  "Institute for the Study of War" is as reliable as Russia Today website. Please provide proven footage and video of such destroyed equipment. Propaganda sites such as Oryx have been totally discredited with clear bias and fake numbers.
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  27.  @williamtrou7316  How can that be true with Russia clearly winning? Kiev bought into early western belief that Russia will collapse under sanctions. They were sold on Crimea in that scenario coming back to Ukraine. They were fooled. Russia has a strategy - and it is working & is sound. What Ukraine has is nothing. Twisting around now as telling the truth would be clearly admitting defeat. Russia has victory in hand - as long as they keep going & continue they have assured victory, they would had to make major mistake to loose the war now - multiple mistakes.
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  28. It is now clear that supplies given to Ukraine by the west are ... tiny. There is nothing to give. No more 100s of tanks. No more IFV. No more air defense.
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  29.  @jehandesains8674  Where are you getting this crazy idea from? Ukraine started the war with much stronger air defenses than Germany had. 100s of S-300 systems and 100s of medium range systems, not counting short range and small caliber artillery. Now a lot of systems have been lost. And west is not sending any replacements. Please sending one medium range system or two is a joke that will have no effect. The main question is economy of Russia trashing Ukraine this winter - i.e. is it worth it for Russia.
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  30.  @jehandesains8674  S-300 system is too expensive to engage drones but it can engage cruise missiles as well as ballistic missiles. With more emphasis on the later. Ukraine had 100s of Buk / Tor / etc. systems which are similar to IRIS-T. Ukraine also had 100s of Shilka systems or similar not to mention 1000s of towed systems similar to Geopard. What is provided to Ukraine is tiny to what it had.
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  31. Mariupol is like 90% taken. Probably announced by Monday or Tuesday. Yes, Kiev encirclement or rapid takeover government failed. So Russians are moving these troops to a different front.
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  32.  @mattc9598  It could as well been - it was certainly opportunistic - if they could encircle kiev, why not? But they failed. After a month nothing was accomplished other then fighting on fixed positions.
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  33.  @lunthang7453  It could not... they would need at least 5x as many troops if not more.
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  34. Both have been strong NATO partners with NATO exercises on their soil since 1994. So Putin did not exactly loose much.
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  35.  @EternalShadow1667  There is zero need and want for all of Ukraine. They did not want Kiev as well. You do not understand, in West Ukraine you have heavy Bandera presence - this is where Nazi come from. Any attempt to take that area would mean having to pacify Nazi for years. Right hand side of Dniepr and south Ukraine has large Russian presence. I.e. Russia can take a lot of land and there will be little opposition. I am not even talking about Donbass / Crimea where support for Russia by local population is like 80%. Heck, most of Russian force is from Donbass - they are doing most of the fighting. I expect few battalions to be taken up from Mariupol alone.
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  36. Russians withdrawn from around Kiev far more - this map does not show it but at least 50km. On some maps Russians are not even there!
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  37.  @muller1424  Maybe, Russian retreat has been very well organized. I think they actually moved out most of their troops some time ago! This would play nice with reports of them already being in a convoy - looks like Ukraine's intelligence did not notice this - maybe not even US.
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  38. US: Taiwan has the right to choose, also US: Donbas and Crimea do not have right to choose.
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  39. Then surrender or face defeat.
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  40. LOL.
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  41. Russia almost won. Things are looking up. There is already a lot of programs about lost war for Ukraine.
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  42.  @superyamky  Why would Putin want that - at most to Dniepr river. The rest can be like happy with Poland or something ;)
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  43. Its been taken 3 days ago. They are way south of it now.
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  44.  @Mattie11  I am very good at math - have grad degree in it. This means I have righter open mind that is able to think outside of the box.
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  45.  @ConservativeJuggaloPodcast  Who started with 265? Ukraine started with just under or about 300k. Russia started with about 100k plus about 70k DPR / LPR / others. Russia lost over 3000 soldiers, DPR and allies at least 7000, probably 8000, total losses around 12000. Ukraine lost around 2x or more then that, roughly 24 - 28k. This is killed, multiply by 3 for wounded. Currently Ukraine has around 500k troops, but most of these are of low quality - militia forces. However, due to epic losses Ukraine passed law (I think in the last 48h) that militia will be sent to the front lines. With such high numbers Russia will have no choice but to mobilize. Their current deployment is over 80k Russians and less then 70k allies for total of at most 150k. Very few militia units have been deployed to the front, but Ukraine has no choice, some army brigades are battalion sized.
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  46. Russians are even gone from Ivankov, 50km to the north of Hostomel. By tomorrow or day after they will fully cross the border.
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  47. Now they are at Serdotne and as craw flies Tetyanivka was just 20km from Sloviansk.
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  48.  @123J0KER123  I find that hard to believe given that Russians crossed the river on two bridges. Maybe there are some isolated pockets of resistance? As far as Russians are concerned and for operational purposes city is taken. Any stranglers will be wiped out later.
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  49.  @123J0KER123  I did. Its not that great. A lot of mapping is done without any info as to why. I have a strong feeling that livemap is run by Turkey.
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  50. But what would be long term military victory? Forces deployed by Russia were never enough to even occupy Ukraine. They were not really enough to even fight and occupy half of Ukraine. Maybe it was just opportunistic to take Zielinski out and Kiev, but that failed. Certainly Russia could mobilize and crush Ukraine at heavy cost - but what is the goal? Russia never planned to annex say Kiev - I think. Problem here is goal and what is the minimal goal. No Ukraine in NATO and Donbass++ in Russian hands seems like a minimal goal of the operation. We just don't know about the ++ part.
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