Comments by "" (@tomk3732) on "Balkan Mapper" channel.

  1.  @gheorgheionut3783  I see you know better then Ukraine how many tanks they had! Ukraine claimed over 3000 tanks in front line and storage at the start of the war. Using 50% availability (taken from Russia BTW) of storage tanks we have between 2000 and 2400 tanks for Ukraine. It is hard to imagine them having less then 1000 of these in front line. They also destroyed almost 200% MiG-29s. So what? Ukraine does get extras you know. Turkey sends new drones every few weeks.
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  2. When Ukraine tried to give concessions they got a call from UK saying - no concessions or no guns.
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  3.  @Костя2-к9к  I doubt it. Z did not want to go back to Minsk. Also Z did not want to remove NATO. What did Z exactly negotiate?
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  4. I still cannot figure out the goal of Russian operation - true goal. Look at the southern front - where are they going exactly? What about northern front - they seem to be playing with the capital - it feels like they never intend to take Kiev, they are just blocking it.
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  5. LOL, from where?
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  6. Why not show bombing of Donetsk by Ukrainian forces? Show that they killed women, children, even babies! Somehow bombing one hospital bad, bombing other hospital good?
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  7. Ukrainian losses must be higher as otherwise they would have regained all land and invaded Russia.
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  8.  @xijinping6738  Source its encircled is from the authorities of the city.
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  9. Wow, Russians are advancing now on all fronts! If they continue like this for a week whole Donbas will be taken and they will be close to Mikolayev. Looks like Ukrainian forces are close to breaking point.
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  10. Oh come on, Russians just took Croatian playbook in Ukraine - wasn't it you guys that "pushed" around 1/2 million Serbs out of "your" land so you have no minority issues?
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  11. When they get to 50k Ukraine will collapse and surrender. They cannot take such heavy losses.
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  12.  @jiayangshao4736  Nope. Russia will make border on the river. Ukraine can attack and take their 10x casualties. Not sure I would call that "war" just banging your head on a wall. So yeah, for someone in US war may continue. I just congratulate Russia on victory as I do not consider banging head on wall a war strategy.
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  13.  @Mandrak789  Ukraine almost lost the war. If Russians start attack to encircle Donbass then the war is fully over. There is little Ukraine can do now. I think the best action is full surrender now, while they can. Full. Accept Crimea is Russia and entire Donbass is Russia etc. Even offer more then asked. I wonder what Putin would do. Operation in the north was either full success or almost full success. Same as faint near Odessa. If all goes well for Russia in coming weeks this will be one of the greatest maneuvers in human history.
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  14.  @gigachaduneli1121  Good, how else?
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  15.  @thepuppie0998  Not really - remember that we have something called a collapse. Ukraine is heading in that direction. Also soon they will be out of fortified area. This is why Ukraine defense in depth is on Dniepr river. But Putin does not seem to want Ukraine past that river. So I guess war will end (active phase) at the river.
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  16.  @arty5876  Ukraine has well under 30m population, maybe 27? They started with 37m and a lot of people left. Also a lot of terrain is not under Russian control.
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  17. Adolf Hitler may have had Jewish blood. There is no definitive proof for or against. This was solved by Hitler by simply legislating that by law he was not subject to racial laws, same a Jesus Christ.
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  18. Yep, they getting their ass kicked hard now. I expect by May 9th whole Donbass will be taken.
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  19. Yep, 9km. With like 10 APCs. But Russians cut them off ;) Come on, are we going to report every little fight by like less then 100 men?
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  20.  @Sveta7  Yes these poor guys get even like 1960s helmets! Its sad look. So now 1960s tanks. I seen them on video - these 40-50 year old conscripts.
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  21. We see how you play once cut off from Poland!
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  22.  @_rakshas_  Not really - most of the best units are not in the cities - see Izium front and area where more then 50% of Ukrainian army is. Cities have national guard light infantry as they can fight there better. But sticking to cities only means slow defeat.
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  23.  @JakubWojciechowski933  Not really - Russia captured area and is holding and expanding. Sure its inching by few km per day - but its relentless. There is not stopping it. Ukraine can capture then loose few villages on other fronts - like Kherson - there its stagnant. But not in Donbass were Russians are slowly grinding Ukrainians away.
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  24.  @vaskarghosh8543  They taken Rubizne few days ago and Popasna as well. Not sure about other one. I think like 98%of lugansk is taken, maybe 100%. about 60% of Donetsk. Count 3km per day and see how much they gain in 10 days. Unless UA defenses collapse before then - which is likely.
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  25.  @JakubWojciechowski933  they are advancing. Ukraine cannot stop them. And what do you mean, no profit, war is huge profit. Yes, Ukraine may have morale issue. I mean they are being pushed by tiny Russian force. Either Russians are super human or Ukrainians are weak.
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  26.  @JakubWojciechowski933  Do you think all these companies that moved out will just gift stuff to Russia or will they sell assets at maybe 5%? That is huge money making opportunity right here - some US companies due to sanctions lost tens of billions of USD! This loss is someone's gain. I.e. whole Asia is salivating to buy this stuff. This is why Marcon did not want French companies to move out of Russia. Russia has no issue making new tanks. These do not contain any components that are west dependent. Same with upgrades to existing tanks. Russia has now deployed just 92 BTGs. At no point Russian force numbered much more then 100k. Russia can simply add more troops, either through placing more conscripts in the far east or through partial mobilization. Clearly so far Russia is fine with inching in the south east. Russian morale must be very high or they use magic - how else do you explain huge Ukrainian force, tiny Russian force and Russians still attacking? Well?
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  27.  @JakubWojciechowski933  They have lost single village that was on a front line on a front that is currently not important. They cannot have low morale as they are attacking despite being out numbered and pushing the enemy off.
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  28.  @vaskarghosh8543  Even super western leaning maps have these in Russian control. I.e. confirmed by Ukraine. There is little "blitzkreig" in modern war. Russia tried it during first three days and run into a lot of issues for little gain. Of course by 9th whole giant army group of Donbass will not be destroyed. But they should be in far worse shape then today.
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  29.  @JakubWojciechowski933  Why US is using M1 still? Why Germany takes decades to develop Leo 3? Why such high expectation of Russia yet so low of the west? How many Leo 2PL were made in Poland? Well? Years passed.... how many did they upgrade? What about that patrol ship - I mean failed corvette - how long did it take to put hull together - 10 years? But if it took Russia 6 months you would complain they are slow and total loosers. This refers to T-14. They made a short run. Realized tank may need more upgrades, more refinement and its cost above 8m USD is high. So its in short rate production. I mean they can upgrade 4 T-72s for price of one T-14. At least. Sanctions as you can see do nothing much - Russia has around 86% of the planet that did not sanction them. So I doubt that 14% you talk about is such a big deal. We no longer live in western dominated world. They tried quick capture, they did capture a lot, but nothing of huge value. So they moved back. Now they are trying grinder and it works. Since it works they continue with it. War of attrition is fine for the Russians - they love it. It was not Russians looting - at least not on any video I saw, it was DPR / LPR and I also hear about some Chechen looting. If your low morale was true, no magic, low numbers, then either a) morale on Ukrainian side is uber low b) Ukraine has no equipment left c) your assumption is false. Pick one or any combination of the 3. Ukraine already stated they will continue the fight after loosing Donbass - so they admit they will loose it.
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  30.  @BelisariuSF  They established air superiority after about a week. Its just CNN claims air superiority is 100% not like 98%.
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  31. If you support Russia, yes. They are taking more Donbass and defeat there is certain.
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  32. Poland has also 50k national guard.
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  33.  @cyndytung7477  LOL, Ukraine could do nothing in Zaporozia without 1 mile wide river but they sure will do a major break through with a mile wide river ;) I have a feeling this is only to stretch Russians at great cost. Nothing will come of it other then buying time. I mean look at the map - where can Ukraine go after crossing the river? They cannot deploy a lot of troops as they have no logistic capability. I see massive UA losses not so much Russian - look at Adivka - this is yet another Bakhmut Russia has in stock for Ukraine - massive losses incoming.
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  34. Well, they do not need to stage anything at all - heck they can have EU observers there if the EU wanted to be there. It will not change the fact that most pp left there support Russia now. So no need to cheat at all. You can have fair elections if you know you are going to win.
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  35. Nah, total loss of tanks will be less then 200. Probably around 200 as well for Donbass militias but they have old junk. Airplanes about 70-80. Helicopters I predict same as aircraft. IFVs including APCS and similar + wheeled I expect over 1000. Also maybe as much as 2000 trucks. I am unsure if Russia wants to take all of Ukraine. Its a mystery.
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  36. What do you mean? They are winning all over the place in Donbass so much so that US asked Russia for ceasefire.
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  37. Looks mostly UA and western sources.
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  38.  @dimitrisamborski3776  I watch defense news Asia from Singapore. They can say all they want at ZSU but their reliability is like 10% of Moscow. Which itself is very unreliable. So anything coming out of Ukraine is like - proof or did not happen. Its 95% lies. Or more. I mean there are so many propaganda fails its a joke.
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  39.  @scatscatmilestails6007  Any major news network? All over the planet?
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  40. Now we are in the slow phase of the war. I wonder when Putin will deploy some additional units to take out Donbass pocket & why he is saving his air-force so much. Come on, army is to be used. It all feels like they are not fighting to win but fighting to get better position for negotiations.
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  41. Nah, Russia has heavy forces in the salient. There is no chance of them being cut off. Also Russia so far did not have a single instance of being cut off.
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  42.  @b3ygghsas  Sure they are - main road is cut. What are they going to do, run across fields?
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  43.  @moist_ointment  I hope you are not looking at history too much - may I remind you of things such as: - WWI - WWII - Vietnam - Korean war In all of above it was stalemate - heck, by WWI standards Russia is moving lighting fast. Russia has not lost any territory in Donbass for over two weeks, maybe 3. So they are moving forward only. Again, no one had such fast movement in say WWI. This is amazing by later Korean War. It is roughly as fast as WWII - say middle of 1944, Ukraine is Germany and Russia is Soviet Union. I think pp forgot how long wars take - God, you forgot about 20 years in Afghanistan already? Or maybe Vietnam, I guess US threw all it got and only got small movement out of it, loosing in the end. Come on, think a bit. Or more modern US, it took them like 6 weeks to take Falujah with 10x the numbers against some poorly armed and not trained insurgents. Guess US is weaker then Russia.
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  44.  @moist_ointment  LOL, no. Speed may mean more losses. Russians did fastest advance in any campaign, but they took losses. Now they slowed down to a crawl - but so did the losses! So fast offensive === huge losses, but what if you want to take land and take minimal losses? Come on.
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  45. Wait, so you support people's right to choose?
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  46. But Russians are attacking when out numbered 2:1 and pushing Ukrainians off. For Ukraine to attack they need at least 4:1 preferably 5:1. If Putin does partial mobilization it would be 1:1 and Ukraine is toast.
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  47.  @DrownedO  God, no, losses are at least twice as high for Ukraine as for Russia. If Russia does not declare war on May 9th then losses could be 3x as high. This is from simple math - if we assume stalemate proportions need to stay constant to ensure that stalemate - so if we know Ukraine has 2x plus as many troops deployed as Russia they need to loose exactly 2x plus as much as Russia. Any other way and situation would no longer be stable. Ratio needs to stay the same.
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  48.  @Debre.  Well, I guess you are right - he could be angry they did not fulfill their objective - we never know how "hard" was that objective - i.e. was it "opportunistic" or "mandatory".
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  49.  @MarsRedSky9  LOL!
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  50. They did - they even brought in T-62 tanks for DPR forces. Also Russian command structure, commanders, coms etc. are vastly superior to UA. UA has the numbers but not the brains.
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