Comments by "Black Cat Dungeon Master\x27s Familiar" (@blackcatdungeonmastersfami5311) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

  1.  @EyeOfMagnus4E201  As for Poland wanting to fight the Russians ... i don't think so. Duda got recorded by those Russian prankster guys who keep pretending to the Poroshenko and he was really clear he didn't want a war with Russia. That's despite a lot of smack talk in public. The Polish military is struggling to recruit and retain guys since the war started because sane people don't want to be fighting a land war against Russia :P The narrative by Peter Zeihan is that the Russians are incredibly incompetent I'm just not seeing it. Earlier in 2022 yeah there was incompetence at times (not consistently) but it's getting pretty rare now that the Russians make obvious mistakes like having a couple of hundred guys in a barracks with their phones popping off giving away their location or sending fleets of tanks across minefields in unsuccessful attacks. Both sides were making those kind of mistakes, it's not so common now.
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  2. Stop worrying I think you are wrong. Things are bad right now but Europe is taking a turn back to sanity. Look at how Geert Wilders got elected. Sooner or later, Germany is going to have a AFD led government which builds nuclear power stations, restores relations with Russia, sorts out the feral immigrant invasion and eliminates the poisonous American foreign policy sycophancy.
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  3.  @JCrashB  What problems will the AfD cause do you think? Will it be so bad that they restart nuclear power, talk business with the Russians and shut down immigrant crime?
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  4. Zeihan is a clown but both pronunciations are acceptable.
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  5.  @paulkelly9250  LOL The guy's track record for predictions is a disaster. He knows nothing about Russia and can't get even get names right. It's war propaganda for morons.
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  6.  @TemirlanBaigon  Says a guy who calls himself Temirlan 🤡🤡🤡
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  7.  @jesan733  The people having the babies in France are not French. And many of them actually hate France.
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  8. If the UN could enforce anything, Israel would have to leave the West Bank and the Golan Heights. And the USA would have to get out of Syria.
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  9.  @edwardgiovannelli5191  Pretty sure neither of us watch Hannity
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  10.  @edwardgiovannelli5191  Hannity and Zeihan are both full of sh** but from different directions , is your strategy to triangulate somewhere in the middle:?
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  11. China doesn't care about the EU anymore have a look at Macron's last visit to China where he got treated well and Von der Leyen got totally ignored. China is betting on BRICS and the EU is declining in importance really quickly.
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  12. Florida is my bet :)
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  13. There's no evidence Patriot killed a hypersonic missile. Just the debunked claim from the Ukrainians.
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  14. And probably Odessa
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  15.  @Snipeyou1  In a nuclear war, most of the US population is dead in the first month. Most of the remainder is dead in the first year.
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  16.  @FedericoSantoro-yi5wv  What do you mean grow up? Don't you get it? If both sides keep escalating everyone dies. 100% chance that's the outcome.
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  17. ​ @ClownCarCoup  I don't know why you think the Russians are bluffing. Even Zeihan who is a pretty extreme anti-Russian propagandist admits this war is existential for Russia. Look at it from Russia's perspective. You don't have to agree 100% but look at how they see it. NATO kept expanding eastwards despite multiple pledges given to the Russians this would not happen. Minsk II accords was a fraud, even Hollande and Merkel and Poroshenko admit that. USA is stationing nuclear capable missiles (so Russia can't tell whether they're nuclear armed) in Poland. Soon before the war Zelensky was talking about Ukraine acquiring nuclear weapons. Kamala Harris explicitly said Ukraine would join NATO. It's one red line too many for the Russians. Now they've crossed the Rubicon they're not backing down, if they were actually losing somehow, they'd escalate. You can bet 100% certain they'd use tactical nukes if Crimea were seriously threatened. So what's the actual point of escalation for the USA? To kill a few more Russians? The Russians won't forgive or forget that, they'll return the favour next time the US is in some overseas war. For Ukraine to actually win? That's even more dangerous than Ukraine losing. That's the path to WWIII which is highly likely going to wipe out both sides. Do you want your family dead to stop Russia controlling Donetsk and Mariupol? Guess what the people who live in those cities would rather be part of Russia anyway. The only smart thing to do is negotiate seriously and in good faith and cut a deal with the Russians that recognises what Putin calls "facts on the ground". Don't force the Russias to fight all the way to Kiev and Odessa because the Ukrainians are going to run out of men and the Russians will manage it eventually
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  18. As usual he's lying about the communication links between Russia and China which have been rapidly improved over the past few years. Zeihan was predicting 500 million Chinese will starve to death even though they're allied with and neighbours with the world's biggest wheat exporter. Sure, the Chinese will have a bad recession but hundreds of millions of people starving to death is just a neocon fantasy.
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  19.  @orionstark  2014 you mean right? Not really surprising though was it. I mean the democratically elected president gets overthrown in what George Friedman called "the most blatant coup in history" to be replaced by anti-Russian nationalist extremists and anyone expected Russia to sit back and consent?
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  20. So one billion people in the world are sanctioning the other seven billion - how's that going to work out? Russia remains the world's biggest primary resource supplier. We're two and a half years into sanctioning Russia now and the Russian economy is growing faster than almost all the G8.
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  21.  @ce4062  Where is the Russian meddling?
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  22. Russian nukes are more modern than US nukes on average.
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  23.  @Lee-fc3yf  No the reason Germany is suffering is because of 1) mass immigration and 2) the USA ordering them to cut off their cheap energy supply so they can buy expensive LNG from America instead. Even to the extent of blowing up Nordstream2.
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  24.  @Targe0  That's true for sure but it's not the whole story. The CIA and Mossad have been deliberately stirring things up all over the Middle East for decades. Wesley Clark made public a plan to replace seven governments at the end of the Cold War, engineering chaos in Israel's neighbours is not an accident.
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  25. The only real impediment would Spain - the Spanish state is worried about Catalonia.
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  26.  @jontalbot1  I assume his attitude to Germany is influenced by his Jewish ancestry.
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  27.  @jontalbot1  Yeah could be a bad case of Imbissbauch. He's a Stratfor guy and a protoge of George Friedman so he probably got his dislike of Germany (and Russia.. and China) from him.
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  28.  @aceyage  How is the EU authoritarian? I'm not sure if that's a serious question. People in countries like France and Germany now have very little freedom of speech now. The EU itself is a big part of the reason. There's very little democratic accountability. Most laws come from people who are mainly anonymous and are not directly voted for. How much detail do you want? You want some books to read?
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  29.  @aceyage  Democracy is dying all over the West except maybe Switzerland but the USA has one huge advantage over everywhere else: freedom of speech in the constitution. As for the GOP aren't you aware of how the Biden administration has used the justice system to prosecute political opponents? Look into all the charges against Trump for a start but there are many other less famous examples.
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  30.  @arekkusub6877  The problem is those 82 million people aren't all Germans. Many millions of them are different ethnic groups which contribute only chaos and crime.
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  31. There's an obvious solution which doesn't suit Peter's narrative. Repair relations with Russia. German manufacturing and Russian natural resources are natural partners.
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  32. That's because Peter Zeihan is a political propagandist for whom every fact should be either ignored to spun to create the USA is awesome narrative.
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  33.  @paulwilson8061  Because he's not an analyst at all, he's a propagandist for the CIA
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  34.  @paulwilson8061  So did Yeltsin. When NATO seized Kosovo from Serbia all the way back in 1999, Yeltsin warned that doing so meant that European borders were up for grabs.
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  35. That applies to Ukraine, not to Russia. Russia is fighting the war with professionals and volunteers of all ages. As for Ukraine, there is a huge shortage of young people, so many weren't born and of those who were, so many have left the country already.
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  36.  @wcjones4079  No, a few hundred thousand Russians left but most returned after a few months when it became apparent the mobilisation was very limited in scope and affected reservists only. Millions of Ukrainians left. The Russians mobilised reserves after the Kharkov offensive defeat b ut since then they've been able to grow the army with volunteers only (yes, including convict cannon fodder). The Ukrainians have been pulling in more and more people. For the past year there have been vids of the Ukrainian army ambushing guys on the street to bundle them away into recruitment vans, even using an ambulance to ambush from. There have been battles with fists and even axes between guys trying to escape. The Ukrainian army even mined the western borders to prevent guys escaping into Romania.
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  37.  @anglaismoyen  America is falling apart. At the end of the Second World War, the USA had half's the world's manufacturing output. China has now surpassed the USA in manufacturing and has already surpassed the USA economically in PPP. I'm no fan of China but it's still rising, the USA is falling at least in relative terms.
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  38.  @wintermute-  The USA is financially overstretched, when was the last balanced budget? Look at the debt to GDP trajectory over the past few years. Diplomatically, the Ukraine war has been a total disaster for the USA, even Saudi Arabia is new defecting from the US orbit. Politically the USA is slipping into authoritarianism and it's not that far off open civil war. Crime is out of control and ever more people are living on the streets. China has big problems too but nothing that big. It's slowly and surely breaking free of the export junk to the West economic model. It's a technology leader now in a lot of important upcoming technologies. And most of all, because of moronic US foreign policy, it now has excellent relations with Russia, the world's biggest natural resource supplier. Economic and communication links with Russia are quickly improving. Lastly, the Chinese military is (obviously) building up pretty quickly. Pretty soon they'll outgun the USN in their own region and also, have the nuclear credibility to be prevent any nuclear intimidation by the USA.
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  39.  @gonebabygone4116  According to Ukraine... but actual evidence is missing. How many Russian aircraft were really lost? We don't know.
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  40.  @VisibilityFoggy  "I think the numbers have been fairly well-established" but why do you think this? The only reason we have for thinking that these aircraft have been shot down at all is because Ukraine told us so. Do you believe everything Ukraine claims? If you do then you still believe that two Polish farmers were killed by a Russian missile, not a Ukrainian missile even though there's strong evidence this is not so. You believe that 16 civilians in a Kramatorsk market were killed by a Russian missile not a Ukrainian missile even though we have video evidence that the missile came from the Ukrainian direction. You believe that Russia shelled civilians in Donetsk City even though they controlled the city for ten years and shell splashes show the shells came from the Ukrainian direction. The point is everyone in war time lies, if you only believe the enemy lies then you're not thinking very hard.
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  41. Plenty of people pointed out the oil price cap would backfire, all it did was antagonise oil producers. When he says not working as well as expected, he means as he expected.
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  42.  @ClownCarCoup  LOL So a price cap on a resource puts upward price pressure on the market! Have you heard of economics? You should look into it.
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  43.  @ClownCarCoup  I didn't really answer your question which oil producers did it antagonise. Well most of OPEC+ but most noticeably, Saudi Arabia. Which now looks to be permanently lost as a US ally. Look at the expansion of BRICS+. This is overwhelmingly the result of sanctions. For example the Indonesian government explicitly said the danger of sanctions is why they needed to move away from SWITCH.
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  44.  @kennyjohnson336  Russia doesn't tend to lose when it's invaded, it tends to win but sometimes suffers millions of deaths doing so. BTW the Japanese in 1905 and the Germans in 1917/18 did win outright on their own soil.
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  45.  @xlukas93  1) No evidence the FSB set off a bomb. Or better to say the evidence if fabricated. 2) Ukraine has admitted lots of terrorist attacks for example murdering journalists in Russia.
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  46. @ Do you mean Neville Chamberlain, the British prime minister who declared war on Germany? Is this the only war in history you ever heard about? The Ukraine situation has far more in common with the first rather than the second world war. A totally unnecessary blood bath caused by warmongers like your good self.
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  47. Far from the only wrong assumption in Zeihan's ridiculous narrative.
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  48. @ Except he doesn't. He's coitized Putin many times. You can;'t make a deal with someone you keep insulting.
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  49.  @robderich8533  After the Soviet collapse, Russia bounced back after Putin. Ukraine just stagnated. It has suffered massive brain drain, worse than Russia. The population now could be half of what it was at the end of the Soviet Union and it's a very old population. Yes Russia has these problems too but Ukraine suffers far worse.
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  50.  @maxpower3990  Check your numbers, the Russian army is now bigger than when the war started. The economy has grown, not collapsed as Zeihan predicted. Nor has their oil industry collapsed like he predicted.
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