Comments by "Ivancho" (@ivancho5854) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

  1.  @Kapil__Lanjewar  I agree. A degree of Indian self-sufficiency serves India very well and most other countries should try to emulate this as much as possible. All the best. 🇮🇳🇬🇧
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  2. And Intel (and perhaps even AMD and Apple) engineers backdoors for the USA, let alone all the ARM based systems. 🤫
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  3. A moving target is harder to hit. 🎯😂
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  4. I have heard that German energy statistics are highly "creative". Do you trust your government to tell the truth? This is a genuine question. I wonder about that 63% claim. Here's why. Wind and solar power are not consistent. Some days there's no wind or sun and every single night there is no sun. Could it be that Germany has 63% CAPACITY in wind and solar? It would be very interesting to know. Thanks. 👍
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  5. Isolationism has always been a dream of the USA, but they have never managed to pull it off. Reality bites and the US gets involved in this war or that war. If the US goes home then eventually Russia will use nuclear weapons to take what it wants from Europe. Would the US be happy with nuclear war in Europe? Nope. Does the US want to let China take Taiwan, South Korea and Japan eventually? Nope. Like I said, reality bites. All the best.
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  6. ​ @bipl8989 As a Brit I am sure that the UK would not, at least not under the current government, defend anyone from a nuclear attack using her nuclear weapons and that includes defending herself. We have never had a government as weak. At least Chamberlain was re-arming.
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  7. ​ @phueal I could not envision the UK using nuclear weapons under ANY circumstances currently.
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  8. Norway and Finland will try to hide behind Sweden. Germany may talk, but won't act. Romania can't afford nuclear weapons and neither can Ukraine. That just leaves Poland and Sweden. Neither wants to be first to abandon the Non-Proliferation Treaty. No one knows what the political consequences would be of its abandonment. Would the US leave NATO? Would Russia attack? If either country did abandon the treaty, then ideally they would be able to show Russia that they had several hundred working and deliverable nuclear weapons ready to be used the next day. That's a tall order. It's a very tricky situation.
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  9. I agree. The US doesn't have Chinese billionaire generals. The USA is doomed!!! Run away.
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  10. Don't forget about Sweden.
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  11. From a geopolitical perspective is Syria important enough for anyone but direct neighbours to do anything about now that Russia isn't involved and can't be in the future? Probably not.
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  12.  @josephkozak9642  The US will never allow China to expand. They would become too much of a threat to the world. I'm quite sure that if China ever invaded a neighbouring country it would result in war. A war which China would inevitably loose at great cost. Unfortunately the benefits for China would be great as you stated and I don't think that they would be able to resist. All the best.
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  13.  @josephkozak9642  No, I totally disagree. The only reason that China is tolerated by the US is because China is extremely vulnerable to US power. The reason for this weakness is due to the limitations of Chinese geography. If this ever changed in China's favour then the US would have to react before China could consolidate. The US would not wait for China to become an actual super power, the US would fabricate a reason go to war over this in a heartbeat. Currently the USA could defeat China with a naval blockade to stop the flow of oil from the Middle East with extraordinary ease. Within a year due to starvation China as a state would not even exist and hundreds of millions of people there would die. And this would result in a much better outcome by any metric anyone cares to judge it by than letting China rise to parity or beyond with America and the resultant nuclear WW3. I sincerely doubt that there ever will be such a direct conflict between the two nations however, as I see China's power as already having peaked. China is turning inward in this decline as it always has.
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  14.  @JayPhelps-vt5qy  I actually like the seasonality of food. Nothing like pork roast with apple sauce to warm you up in the winter. 👍👍
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  15.  @ajc5479  Yes, you're right in many ways they are, but financially € count.
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  16.  @rob6927  Because it was in Western Europe's interest to have Eastern Europe stable and it provided a mobile workforce and The West was prepared to pay for that. None of that applies to Scotland.
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  17.  @secretname4190  You're not Spain. Spain is guaranteed to enforce a veto.
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  18.  @charmainelamont2020  If you believe that then I have a bridge to sell you. 🤣
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  19. Exactly.
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  20. SE Asia has a very bright future if they can secure enough energy IMHO.
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  21.  @ron88303  That's where my money is, followed closely by wind.
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  22.  @murgel2006  Nuclear Fusion has been a decade away from providing energy for all of my life and I would bet good money that it will continue to be just a decade away for all of my children's lives. It is pure fantasy. If you don't believe me ask a nuclear fission engineer like I have.
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  23. ​ @ron88303 But without aid from the West the USSR would have faired very differently. The USSR supplied the bodies, but much of the materiel came from the US. T34s and a lot of Russian aircraft would not have happened in the same quantities without US steel and tooling.
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  24.  @metingencturk4584  No, I don't think that the OP is a liar at all. Your family may have benefited from Ottoman rule, but it was in the minority among Bulgarians. I can guess why. If you doubt that the Ottomans were terrible then you should study history and the Devşirme system or "child tax" imposed by the Ottomans, which was utterly barbaric. It was slavery. Usually the sanitised version of Devşirme can be seen today on the internet (the boys could never be fathers and the girls went to the harems), but some of it can be read in the referenced article on Wikipedia, although this is downplayed there. Another referenced article there called Slavery in the Ottoman Empire spells out some of the horrors of the Ottomans. If it were not for the British Empire the slavery and deviant practices of the Ottomans would still happen openly. There's a reason why it was called living under the Ottoman yoke in Bulgaria.
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  25.  @bozeeke  🤔 Ya reckon? 🤣 All the best mate.
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  26. So let me get this right: US farmers are the most efficient in the world (but no mention of their subsidies), so the US system is heroic; whereas EU farmers are too subsidised and hence inefficient (but no mention that some pesticides are banned because they are dangerous) and that makes the EU demonic. The reality will be less extreme I'm sure Pinocchio. Either way subsidising agriculture makes absolutely no sense whatsoever... until you remember that food is critical and EU policies (at least originally) were designed to ensure that Europe wasn't reliant on food imports to survive. In this particular case I hope that the farmers triumph over idiotic EU bureaucrats pursuing a mental "We're all going to die!!!" Greenie agenda.
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  27. MBS controls SA. No question about it IMHO.
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  28. "Excess mortality" is most likely simply a function of demographics. 😮
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  29. ​ @MrJakeypakey  His people skills are almost non existent = he is an ass.
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  30. So did Peter just accidentally identify the one place that Russia could detonate a nuclear weapon with great effect and low risk? In space.
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  31.  @QuizmasterLaw  Agreed, lots of reasons for no nukes.
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  32.  @pigwank8234  That's a big carrot. I wonder if the stick will be the IMF being closed for business the next time Egypt comes begging?
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  33. No, he's talking geopolitics. You're talking peasant populism. Sometimes straight talking is needed, so I'm sorry if I err on the side of truth than diplomacy. You're living up to your name. 🤣👍 All the best. PS Well done Australia in voting against the inherently racist bill. 👍
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  34. Nope. Total fantasy. Ain't gonna happen. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  35. You'll learn and probably sooner than later.
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  36. No. Israel was only really important to the US because the Soviet Union was backing their Arab neighbours.
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  37.  @dan2304  The UK still has large reserves and hasn't been mining anything in decades. I suspect that this is the case for France too. Scandinavian reserves are large too. I know that Eastern Europe currently mines coal, but I don't know about their reserves.
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  38.  @dan2304  Wow, gone by the end of the century? Could that maybe be classified as "tomorrow's problem"?
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  39. The one and only time states wanted to leave the Union it led to the American Civil War, the bloodiest war which the US ever experienced. In a Federal EU would a state seceding lead to war? Personally I don't think that a truly unified EU is possible without a common language and that's never going to happen now that the UK is a member. 🤣 Sorry, I couldn't resist.
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  40. Yup.
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  41. I just looked this Serguei up - he's a nut job of the first order. If you think that he gives "informed commentary" then I have a bridge you'd be interested in. 🤦
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  42. A reference please.
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  43. ​ @elektrotehnik94 No, the EU would NOT accept Scotland as we don't meet the entry requirements for the EU, let alone the Euro. Politically the EU absolutely will not accept another poor nation which will be a net drain on the EU for many decades to come with nothing to benefit the EU like increased stability. The only reason that the EU hasn't ever come out and said this is that they absolutely hate the UK for leaving the EU and want the UK to fail. Get real.
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  44. I don't like China. They're genocidal, bully all of their neighbours and point nuclear weapons at the West. Think about it for a moment.
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  45. Commercial shipping cannot operate without insurance. Attacks of any kind eventually make a hostile region uninsurable. The reason why the US is pulling out of the business of guaranteeing the security of the region is that now the US is a hydrocarbon exporter it does not want to subsidize it's competition at great cost to itself. The US will continue to guarantee its maritime trade routes only. No anti drone technology is going to make this region insurable. It's either safe because no one is trying to attack the ships or it isn't. All the best.
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  46. ​ @dixonhill1108  Exactly. You should post this comment on each one of his videos where geography isn't important.
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  47. I think that Biden should pardon Trump after the election (as long as they both haven't died of old age).
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  48.  @killjoy1887  True. The USA doesn't lose wars, it gets bored. I remember the Cold War well. Americans were the best anti-communists. In ways it was great, but growing up under the mushroom cloud wasn't. Yesterday we were lucky. Today we're in Cold War 2. I'm sure that we will support Ukraine. They will join NATO and the EU (if it doesn't break up). Why? Simple: Russia is a loose cannon with nuclear weapons. At the moment the West is tearing itself apart. One of the good things about being in a fight is that people come together. You're also reminded who your friends are. The game is back on! Look after yourself my friend. 👍
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  49. He has a great plan: Get re-elected.
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  50. China is a dystopian surveillance state with a digital currency which can monitor and control every single transaction and total control of the information space. Even Mao could not dream of monitoring and controlling his people so well. Under Mao the government could not control the fervour of the people and denouncements were routinely made against people critical to the state despite the government being against this. eg nuclear scientists working on government projects and having to be rescued from kangaroo courts. Mao's China was utter chaos. Xi has much more control, though due to him killing competent people in his government because they are a potential threat, Xi now is slowly losing control because there is no one in charge who is able to make decisions.
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