Comments by "Carey\x27s Corner" (@careylymanjones) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

  1. Make China Poor Again.
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  2.  @mainepants  There are two kinds of people in the world. Avoid both of them.
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  3. China's population is NOT growing. Even the Chinese government admits it. You can't enforce One Child on your population for 40 years and not wreck your demographics. China has gutted its under-40 demographics. Demand is driven by 20-40 year-olds buying houses and cars, and raising children. Only China doesn't have enough 20-40 year-olds to absorb its industrial production, and they're not having enough children. This forces China to export to keep its factories running, which begs the question of who is going to buy China's exports. Currently the US does, but anti-Chinese sentiment in the US is growing, as Americans begin to recognize China as a strategic threat. American companies are moving away from China, due to rising Chinese wages, and a desire to be somewhere else when the US-China relationship comes apart and/or when the Chinese economy comes apart. And China really doesn't have an alternate market to replace the US. Europe's demographics are reducing their demand, and forcing European economies to become export-driven, too. Every other country in Asia is protectionist. And Africa is too poor to absorb China's exports. Which is a long and roundabout way of saying that China's long-term prospects are Very Bad.
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  4. Fewer imports means more jobs for Americans, which means fewer low income people.
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  5. I unsubscribed a while back. I occasionally come back to laugh at Peter's TDS.
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  6. He's been "telling us" for years, now.
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  7. Peter is like the Platte River. Six inches deep, and a mile wide, at the mouth.
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  8. A good start, would be getting FJB out of office. He's compromised by the Chinese, at least.
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  9. Works against ballistic missiles, which are pretty fast, when they descend.
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  10.  @WhiteBuffaloWakanGli  The date I've seen from Peter, is 2030. That date looks pretty good, to me. Numbers don't lie. And when you get beyond 2030, China's numbers don't add up. The 20-40 year-olds China will have, in 2030, were born from 1990-2010. We KNOW how few China has. We've known, since 2010, when the last of them were born. China will never have any more, and if China fv¢ks around and starts a war, it will have even fewer. A deflationary spiral is seriously bad mojo. The Great Depression pretty much lasted until WWII. But starting a war won't help China, because it doesn't have the 20-40 year-olds to spare. This could be the first pebbles of the avalanche.
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  11. Peter Zeihan, the voice of the Establishment, making excuses for FJB. Figures.
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  12. Any place with Aluminum or Zinc has these minerals.
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  13. "If you don't let me conquer Ukraine, I'll starve Africa." Reminds me of that National Lampoon cover with the dog.
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  14. Peter, this time, you're completely nuts. America isn't going to lose a war, because some brigadier doesn't get their second star. THAT'S what this is about - promotions for woke generals, who probably shouldn't BE generals. And what's disingenuous about this, is that the Senate can still confirm promotions. They just have to vote, and go on record about it. If Senators want to confirm the promotion of a woke dork who doesn't know men from women, they can still do it. They just have to vote, on the record, for it. Approval by Unanimous Consent is convenient, because it lets the Senate duck its responsibility to properly vet officers, before promoting them. Tuberville is just making the Senate do its job properly.
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  15.  @stararmory6994  That seems wasteful. Then you have to build a new prison. Maybe if they just burned the inmates?
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  16. Sending goods by train to a port, offloading them and loading them onto a ferry, sailing 15 miles, then offloading them and loading them onto a train is a major PITA, compared to simply driving the train across a bridge. And if you're using roll-on roll-off ferries, you're shipping stuff to the port by truck, which is less efficient than shipping by rail. This will reduce cargo throughput.
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  17. The question is why they EVER protected such supply chains. The answer is graft.
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  18. Russia has a bunch of Turkic minorities (Tatars, Kazaks, Turkmen, Chechens, etc.), that will eventually become the majority. Is Russia going to nuke itself to stop them from uprising? What if the rebels gain control of nuclear weapons storage facilities, and render them unusable? If Russia's troops are tied to guarding terrible borders, Russia could be hard pressed to deal with internal uprisings. Having better borders defended by fewer troops frees up troops for internal security duties.
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  19. The actual thought process behind Peter's argument is that Trump is bad, and Elon supports Trump. Therefore Elon and X are bad. X is the ONLY platform not completely dominated by anti-Trump propaganda. Therefore, it must be destroyed.
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  20.  @deja699  The largest ships don't even fit in the locks of the Panama Canal.
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  21. So you're saying that if you live in an area where Greens have jacked up energy prices, solar is less jacked-up than it is in states where government lets markets choose the best energy options? Sounds like the solution is to throw all the Greens out of office and let markets pick the most cost-effective power option.
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  22.  @markomak1  And killed their children.
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  23. The bridge is already in range of the ATACMS missile used by MLRS. If FJB would release them, Ukraine could take down the bridge easily. Likewise, the full-range version of Storm Shadow would work. But the Brits have only released the shorter-ranged "export version".
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  24.  @gameimprovements4347  "Proper regulation" - LOL.
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  25. If it's any consolation, his understanding of American politics is worse.
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  26. Biden drops out of Presidential race. Peter Zeihan hardest hit.
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  27. Which is a point Peter has made repeatedly. Whatever America's problems, we have it better than the rest of the world.
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  28. Recent polling suggests otherwise.
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  29. Based on his books, I don't think he worries about peak oil and gas, thanks to the shale revolution. We've figured out how to extract oil and gas from shale cheaply, and more importantly, quickly. Shale oil production can easily be expanded in times of high demand by extending existing horizontal drill runs, or drilling new horizontal runs from an existing well head. Shale oil fields are also inland, so they're not really affected by hurricanes the way offshore wells are.
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  30. Sanction any nation hiring Wagner Group? Maybe even military action against Wagner Group and/or their clients? Make hiring Wagner Group cost more than they're worth.
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  31. Mahan is not mocked. You wanna be a Great Power, you need a Great Power Navy.
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  32.  @seandepagnier  There's enough to last out the century. By that time, someone will have made fusion work, and petroleum products will be chemical feedstocks, only.
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  33. The Sakhalin LNG facility depends on foreign technical expertise, which is being increasingly withheld. Which basically means, "No boom, today. Boom tomorrow. There's always a boom tomorrow." - Commander Susan Ivanova, Babylon V.
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  34. "Your tone is semi-facetious, but you do not realize that Taco Bell was the only restaurant to survive the Franchise Wars... All restaurants are Taco Bell" - Demolition Man
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  35. If you're not serious about building nuclear power plants, you're not serious about climate change.
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  36.  @whigparty6180  Not lefty, Globalist. He's willing to let his business clients do pretty much whatever they want. He makes his living advising businesses how to move jobs to the cheapest places possible.
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  37.  @tonywilson4713  To use Plutonium in a gun-assembled device, the Plutonium has to be practically 100% pure Plutonium 239, If it's not, you get a fizzle. Refining Plutonium to 100% purity is EXTREMELY difficult, so no one uses it in gun-assembled weapons. The Manhattan Project looked at a Plutonium gun-assembled weapon, they couldn't get it to work. The Plutonium had to be too pure, and the casing had to be too long to give the "bullet" enough velocity to make contact before it could pre-detonate.
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  38.  @Ptolemy336VV  Ukraine didn't have the arming/launch codes. Could they have hacked them? Maybe. Would Russia and NATO have sat around and let them try? Probably not.
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  39. Peter is the Baghdad Bob of Globalism.
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  40. "Merchants have no country. The mere spot they stand on does not constitute so strong an attachment as that from which they draw their gains." - Thomas Jefferson Companies don't care about anything but this quarter's bottom line. Or as Lenin said, “The Capitalists will sell us the rope with which we will hang them.” Globalists go wherever the labor is cheapest. Unfortunately for China, Chinese labor ain't cheap, anymore. Chinese wages are about 15 times what they were, in 2000. As the global companies move to cheaper countries, China will lose its export dominance, just as the US did, decades ago.
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  41. And it's worth it, to the Establishment, to get their cheap immigrant labor back. If you work for a living, the establishment of BOTH political parties despises you. Republican or Democrat doesn't matter. Republicans want cheap immigrant labor. Democrats want cheap immigrant votes. You don't matter to them, anymore.
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  42. Fewer people affects both demand and labor supply. Whether the result is inflationary or deflationary depends on the delta of demand and labor supply. If the drop in available labor is greater than the drop in demand, you get inflation, as wages go up.
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  43.  @jimluebke3869  The developing world has made out like bandits, under globalization. Wages for workers have tripled, and more. Standards of living are up, life expectancy is up. China's wages have risen so much, it's starting to price China out of the market. If that's exploitation, it's the best thing that ever happened to the developing world. Or do you REALLY believe that letting developing countries remain as subsistence agricultural societies, with little or no medical care, periodic famine, and general crushing poverty is doing them a favor?
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  44.  @jimluebke3869  If you expect to see it happen in your lifetime, you're considerably younger than I am.
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  45. Then stay away. We'll get by just fine, without you.
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  46. In the words of Captain Jean-Luc Picard, "Make it so."
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  47. Water IS more economical for long-distance transport. But when you are only going 15 miles over water, moving cargo to a port, offloading it and loading it onto a ship to go 15 miles, and then offloading it from a ship and onto trucks or trains, is a PITA, compared to loading it onto a train, crossing directly over a bridge and going directly to a destination on the other side. Even with roll-on roll-off ferries, you shipped the cargo to the port by truck, which is less efficient than going directly by rail.
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  48.  @davidfirmino3829  The problem is that no one other than the US has much of a navy, nowadays. China has a lot of ships, but most of them are coastal-defense ships, with limited range. Japan has a good navy, but it's small, and Japan has legal issues acting as a "policeman". The Brits built a couple of carriers, but they don't have the escorts to support them. They normally operate with the US Navy providing escorts. The French have a carrier, but it's underpowered, and it needs a decent headwind, in order to launch aircraft. Russia? As if anyone would trust Russia to police anything. If the US Navy doesn't protect the world's maritime commerce, who do you suggest? I'm curious. Exactly where has the US Navy been "behaving as a pirate at sea"?
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  49. The problem is that "compromise" has come to mean doing it the Democrats' way, and yes, some House Republicans are tired of it.
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  50. Four years of FJB's misrule would make ANY sane voter look hard at ANY alternative.
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