Comments by "MarcosElMalo2" (@MarcosElMalo2) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

  1. That’s global thinking.
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  2. Pete isn’t doing state-by-state breakdowns, he’s doing quick portraits of recent presidents. The digression into Texas politics is necessary to understand Bush’s approach to governing.
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  3.  @gregoryrowley1739  He doesn’t say that Russia’s expansionist plans are realistic. Just that Russia has them. And Putin apparently thought that its invasion of Ukraine was realistic and would result in a quick win.
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  4.  @CoolDude-yp9jt It’s going to take time, but in the meantime you don’t think it should be discussed? Or you don’t want to discuss it personally. If it’s not discussed, there is no way to reach an understanding. Without understanding, no consensus can be reached. Without consensus, nothing will be done.
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  5. What’s your point exactly? Is it that you’re going to wash your hands and retreat because not everyone acts for the good of humanity? Or is it that you don’t believe the problem exists because not everyone takes it seriously? Or is it that until everyone else in the world behaves rationally, you’d be a fool to behave any differently?
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  6. It’s time to have a second look at Logan’s Run. Now hear me out . . .
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  7. I wouldn’t be surprised if domestic and international flights are regulated by different branches, or that the aviation agency needs sign off from different governmental agencies for each type of flight. There is a misperception that the CCP and the Chinese government are well coordinated and efficient. Nothing could be further from the truth. I’m not going to assume intentionality or aggression when it’s not in evidence. This is just a peek behind the curtain at a dictatorship’s major clusterf_ _k.
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  8.  @adeveloper6653  when he gets too far out of his lanes, he can sound like a doofus to domain experts. I don’t mind too much because when he makes mistakes in his explanations, they’re of the partial/imperfect understanding type. He’s at least wrestling the the material, and then testing his understanding by putting it out there for our criticism. Pete is pretty ballsy if you think of it that way. That said, he’s fallen into a very common misconception about general AI, probably because he’s trying to define it by a use-case. The problem is that general AI is undefinable because human intelligence is still undefined and not understood. Turing side stepped this with his concept of the Turing Test( testing for observable symptoms if human intelligence) but when one starts to think about the Test itself, oh boy. It’s a philosophical mine field. A general AI isn’t a machine that can replicate human intelligence (or even improve on it). A general AI can only create an appearance of human intelligence good enough to fool an observer. (Prompting questions about this observer testing the prospective AI, no?)
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  9.  @prsimoibn2710  That’s your projection.
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  10.  @olivesama Stormfront, probably.
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  11. I heard or read that Queretaro is the fastest growing city in the world. This was pre-pandemic. I never verified if it was true or not. If it was, I wonder if it is still the case. I do know that Qro is home to several top universities in STEM fields, so there’s already an educated workforce.
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  12.  @coonhound_pharoah  That’s not inflation, that’s overvaluation and betting “stonks go up” always and consistently. It’s a lot of people playing the “greater fool” game with the unrealistic expectation that they aren’t the fool. It’s VCs who should know better buying their own BS and buying the BS of the grifters selling “the next hot thing” because they want to own the next unicorn. It’s FOMO.
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  13. I can’t stand the Bernie cult, but I don’t think there are many of them. His economic policies would be disastrous if they were implemented, but I don’t think they can be effectively put into practice. Bernie would need a Congress just as radical as he is, so to get anything passed he would have to water down his proposals. My opinion: we could survive Bernie, the “Democratic Party Trump”. So I guess I’m going to vote for Biden. What a weird state of affairs. I voted for GOP presidential candidates for 24 years before Trump and was locally active in the GOP for most of the same period (probably longer because I was a big Reagan fan before I could even vote).
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  14. Not surprising. From day one of this operation, Russia has been shooting itself in the foot.
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  15. It’s a big if. Putin might have accumulated sufficient power to stay in power until he dies of old age. But let’s say it happens or he has a heart attack. The most likely faction to seize power will be his loyalists who will continue his policies. Second most likely are the more extremists ultranationalists who think Putin is not doing enough. They won’t just continue Putin’s policies, they will put the policies on steroids. There’s also a strong policy that no single faction (or sub faction) will be able to seize power, and will instead fight it out among themselves. This is the gang war scenario. The least likely scenario is that the anti-war pro-democracy faction will come to power. This is because their organizations have been destroyed and their leaders are dead or in prison. Maybe new leaders will arise if there was a general uprising, but that is unlikely with an apathetic center only vaguely aware that things are not going well in Ukraine. The slimmest possibility is that there is a mass mutiny in the Russian military, and a hundred thousand soldiers refuse to fight and march on Moscow. I hope this happens, but it’s really low probability.
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  16.  @NathansHVAC which is why SEAD will be one of the earlier roles for these aircraft.
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  17. It might, but nothing will be effective until the money laundering in the U.S. is addressed. If you want to kneecap the cartels, go after the money and the people who facilitate its movement. Sadly, that won’t happen because of the influence of the banking industry will protect those banking executives involved and/or accountable.
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  18. You’re not going to go back to 40 years ago. If this is what your politicians are offering, you’re being scammed. Here’s the thing that former colonial powers have to recognize. The blowback from centuries of imperialism can show up centuries after you gave up your exploitative activities. The various European colonial projects in Africa destabilized the continent and the countries of Africa suffer from that instability to this day. Holland played its role in creating the mess that is Africa. And since you’re not going to pay for even a fraction of the wealth extracted from your colonies, you pay for it by allowing refugees into your country. And if you did it right, your country would benefit from the influx of people. You just have to accept a multi-ethnic Holland. You have to turn what you call non-Dutch people into Dutch people. Even if it was possible to go back in time, how do you know you’ll hit your golden age of 40 years ago? What if you go back 64 years? Have fun with that.
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  19.  @danncorbit3623  why? Is that how optics works? Is depth of field dependent on sensor resolution? I don’t think it works like that, but I could be wrong.
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  20. There is a very humorous, provocative Marxist philosopher named Slavoj Žižek. He has suggested that the Fleshlight creates surplus value. I’m neither a Marxist nor a Socialist, but he makes an interesting point. 😂 It’s a 2 minute video extracted from some longer presentation: search “slavoj zizek fleshlight” and I bet you can find it. But anyway there’s your robot, pervert.
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  21. Canada would join as 10 or more states. That would give Canada 20 senators and a bunch of representatives. Canada could be the tie breaker in Congress, and basically call the legislative shots.
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  22. What do you mean by “rationing food”? Has the EU introduced a ration system? Do you need ration coupons to buy food?
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  23. The PRC was arguably concerned about the USSR and Stalin when it developed and built its own nuclear weapons. There’s a complicated history of the USSR backing the KMT and the CCP at the same time starting in the 30s.
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  24. You realize that China was not a participant in the TPP? Did you know that the purpose of the TPP was to freeze China out and hit it economically?
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  25. I wish more greenies would take a second and deeper look at fission. God bless the young generation of climate change activists, but they need to kick the asses of their hippie grandparents that keep donating to Greenpeace. Fission will tide us through until we get an engineering handle on fusion. That might be in ten years or it might be in 100 (Split the difference and say 50 years until we start seeing nearly free energy). We cant rely on wind or solar completely, so we will keep using NG medium term if we don’t embrace the cleaner intermediate alternative: fission. And if I’m overly optimistic about the fusion time frame, fission will get us off the carbon based energy while we are building out the wind farms.
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  26. What a weird comment. Did you intend to convey meaning with it? Is there a thought hidden in your words that can be unpacked?
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  27.  @renaissance17  Yup. Catcanair’s explanation seems almost tautological, because he’s placing all the value on an abstraction (currency). Value is more complicated than that. I’m not saying he’s full of shit, but I think it’s a bad and incomplete explanation without going into demand and utility.
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  28. I don’t know Pete’s thinking on this, but the first step is to go after the laundering and transfer of money. The agencies most suited to these sorts of investigations are the IRS, the financial crimes section of the FBI, and bank regulators. You don’t have to create a new government agency, you combine what we have into a task force and give them sufficient resources to hire a buttload of auditors and field agents. If you can interrupt the money flows of the cartels and other international criminals, you’ve taken away much of their power to corrupt. And then the traditional interdiction efforts stand a chance of working.
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  29.  @Head-ck4hu  Newt and Cruz? That doesn’t make you conservative. It makes you pro-Asshole. Did you also vote for Patrick Buchanan?
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  30. Sofa, so good. How good? Sofa king good.
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  31.  @hoilst265  If it were only that simple. Many of these regimes don’t want to improve infrastructure for the general welfare. They want cash. How do you propose to build schools in a country with leaders who have an eye on your building budget? (Not to mention, these leaders have their own patronage networks to tend.) They’ll rob you blind, and then repurpose the buildings as soon as you’ve moved on. Pretty much the only way to build schools and hospitals in a hostile or semi-hostile regime is to invade it first. That’s why we must think long and hard about either war or generous help.
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  32.  @garou5682  About that agility. To whatever degree an expert system can handle a customer request before it has to hand off to a human, customer service workers are made redundant. If the system can handle 60% of requests, the company can lay off 60% of that workforce. This has already been happening for decades. Does it make customer service worse? Yes, in many cases. But it improves the bottom line. Most customers put up with it in the end. Quick example: I was due to receive a package for which I needed to pay customs duty. I was able to track the package, but I was unable to determine the amount of the duty after it cleared customs. I couldn’t pay online, nor could I determine if the delivery driver could accept credit cards. In the end I was able to estimate the duty and make sure I had cash on hand. But the moral of the story is that the shipping company didn’t provide good customer service, saved money on payroll, and forced me to do the foot work (which was ultimately unsuccessful anyway). I’ll complain, which will create an infinitesimal pressure for them to improve their system which they were going to do in a few years anyway.
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  33.  @johnbuckner2828  An AIO 3-D printer? Meaning it can print, copy, scan, and fax? 😊
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  34. Why do you hate corn?
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  35. What good are A-10s without top cover and air defense suppression? A-10s operate well when you have the rest the the USAF watching your six. Independently against a military that does have an AF and lots and lots of SAMs? Not so much.
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  36. No, Pete is tracking them. He has a particular set of skills.
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  37.  @randolphr5074  That was dumb, but I’m sure you can be even dumber if you try. Does Pete have a bias? Sure, somewhat. He consults for (among other clients) energy companies. He speaks in a language they can understand. He provides the information they seek: opportunities in a changing environment. (And they don’t rely solely on his interpretations of the data. They hire other consultants.) If you watch any of his keynote addresses, take note of which industry associations he is addressing: mostly energy and some ag. This is his client base. These short videos are part of his marketing. Like any business, he wants more clients. Like any author, he wants more readers. To certain mindsets, anything optimistically pro-business is propaganda. Anything with a pro-democracy bias is propaganda. Such mindsets are usually anti-capitalist, anti-democracy, and anti-west. Often they work for kleptocracies. How well does that describe you?
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  38.  @lu544  I made a joke about video game violence, had my account frozen until I voluntarily deleted the joke (which was also hidden). To be honest it was only an OK joke, and deleting it wouldn’t have been a big deal. If they had just deleted it without requiring me to delete it, I would have grumbled and then forgotten about it. But the fact that they wanted me to delete it myself bugged me. I appealed and lost. I used that opportunity to “cure my Twitter addiction”. Best decision ever.
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  39. Poor Mexico, so far from heaven, so close to the U.S.A. 😜
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  40. Is grandma’s faucet some kind of double entendre? It sounds like a Jordan Peterson writing prompt for grandma erotica.
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  41. ⁠ @themakerofmagic  That doesn’t make it a good strategy. What you’re saying is that Russia is still using WWI & WWII tactics. And it doesn’t seem to be working.
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  42. S.P.E.C.T.R.E.
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  43.  @khovik  I plan on using a chatGPT type AI for 90% of my online social interactions. Deepfake yourself.
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  44. I’m pretty sure Poland’s got more than steers and queers.
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  45. True. It affects the entire world. And despite the wishes of the isolationists who think we can retreat into Fortress America, we are part of the world. The isolationists want a simple answer to a complicated problem, like the kid who takes the ball and goes home, yielding the playing field to others.
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  46.  @danielstockley5631  OK Ted
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  47. If the U.S. “would have done the same thing”, why are Canada and Mexico still sovereign nations?
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  48. I watch his videos like a hawk, looking for any evidence of a green screen. So far, nothing. 😆 Mind you, it’s possible, so I’ll keep looking, but I think it’s legit.
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  49.  @igordragicevic8835  religion is your coping mechanism, but opiates will last you longer.
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  50. Is there nothing that restrains “corps” from raising prices? Isn’t competition supposed to do that?
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