Comments by "Jim Luebke" (@jimluebke3869) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics"
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"Climate change, which suggests what the Sahara will be marching south"
Except it isn't. The amount of green space in the world, particularly in arid regions, has increased by an acreage equivalent to the entire continental United States.
You see, with greater CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere, plants don't have to keep their stomata (pores in the surfaces of leaves) open as long as they used to, to take in CO2. This has the advantage of helping them lose less water while the stomata are open, making them hardier in drier areas.
The advantages of CO2's increase are making themselves felt, even as the hysterics regarding its downside continue to humiliate those clinging to conventional wisdom.
Guys, for decades now researchers have been paid by agenda-driven government agencies to confirm their priors. If you want to "follow the money", this is where it leads.
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@jeanlamb5026 Mostly it's just weird, because it has little or nothing to do with this conversation thread. Were you intending to reply to a different one?
As for its goodness or badness, trying to make every conversation about at best tangentially irrelevant historical grievances, is a bad thing.
We're probably going to see some rebalancing of "rights" in the near future. Most countries suffering from demographic collapse are heavily committed to prenatal infanticide.
The rights of those babies to live, are going to be prioritized. The cultural practices necessary to support that (advocating for strong marriages, continence, and the like) may look "Victorian" to some, but I don't think women are going to be denied credit cards or medical school acceptance on the basis that they're women, though.
The 1960's sexual revolution has been around long enough, chalked up so many failures, damaged so many people, and benefited so few, that we're going to see those "rights" disappear over the next few election cycles.
Into the recycling bin of history it goes!
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Interest in cleaning up "space junk" (including debris from shattered satellites) is climbing a bit, but apart from auxiliary propulsion units to haul end-of-life satellites into junkyard orbits, it seems to be mostly in the thinky-talky phase.
Imagine a B-17 raid over Germany. Imagine the flak, the fighters, etc. Now imagine that instead of all that debris crashing to the ground, it stays up there in the air for the next several centuries or more.
Now imagine that debris traveling from one airspace to another, shattering the planes in those airspaces, until all of the airspace over every country is full of flying debris.
This could easily happen in space, where you have satellites instead of aircraft. It's known as "Kessler Syndrome". People worry about a single satellite's destruction setting off this cascade.
Without a robust junk removal program in place, the United States stands to lose the most from any space warfare, be it in Low Earth Orbit (LEO), Medium Orbit (MEO, where GPS lives), or high orbit (Geostationary).
The worst part is, Russian spacecraft are in what's called a Molniya orbit, as Peter pointed out, which swings from Low to High so that it spends as much time as possible over high-latitude Russian territory.
This traversal means that any debris cloud from a shattered Russian satellite could potentially move through just about all of the orbits we care about.
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