Comments by "Jim Luebke" (@jimluebke3869) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

  1.  @kevinwelsh7490  Peter is presenting a fairly novel set of ideas based on factual data. It's close enough to what people have observed before and know to be true that it's going to be believed, and there's enough of a distinction between his conclusions and conventional wisdom, that it's going to make a difference. What that difference will be -- what typhoons, if any, are spawned by the flapping of his jaws -- remains to be seen.
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  2. "Never" is a very long time. There aren't enough Ukrainians for this war to last much longer.
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  3.  @theliato3809  To be fair, the armed camps were looking to the Somalian pirate problem. I have to wonder -- if this system is so fragile, why didn't the Somali pirates shatter it?
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  4. "For those synergies to happen, India will have to work with itself" -- Isn't there enough differentiation within the Indian system, to make that work though? Seriously, the more I look at Indian history -- and I've barely scratched the surface -- saying "India" is more like saying "Europe" than it is like saying "The United States".
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  5.  @damianm-nordhorn116  Not if there's competition from new construction. Texas has the space to expand, which keeps prices from climbing too high without falling again.
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  6.  @Memfys  Hard for someone with his eye for data NOT to know. Something's pushing him to try to be an "influencer" here, whether that's internal or external pressure I couldn't say. The problem is, his audience is by nature made up of people who like data, and when his political broadsides are not based on data, his audience pretty thoroughly rejects them.
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  7.  @jughead88  Yeah, the alien stuff gets to be a bit much, sometimes. The fact that I filter his stuff fairly heavily and mostly listen to the people I recognize who aren't cranks, gives me a pretty high signal-to-noise. He's pretty good at "hold on, I thought you said" kind of questions to try to keep people consistent though, or to figure out the actual depth of their expertise, which is cool.
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  8. Why does it "need" that? Wide open spaces and nice sized suburban housing lots (i.e., good quality of life) just doesn't fit with trains or mass transit. Density destroys families and causes demographic collapse, as Peter has pointed out. Texas is doing just fine with low density. Very sustainable, very enjoyable. =)
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  9. This is why the English are so polite. And so damned effective as spies.
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  10. Is Vivek Ramaswamy an Indian intelligence asset pushing for the United States to mind its own d**n business?
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  11.  @esquiredan2702  Oddly, no unanimity about (or even bothering to prove) what the underlying crime was, though. It's almost as if this is all trumped-up bulls**t, if you'll pardon the pun.
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  12.  @DrakonPhD  Yup, there's a clear precedent for a conviction like this getting overturned on appeal for exactly this problem.
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  13. Are you sure he's home? From the background it looks like he's in a Molniya orbit.
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  14.  @screddot7074  [Psst: it's what you'd call a "running gag" in this comments section...]
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  15.  @bloodgout  Wow, YouTube doesn't allow criticism and corrections of comments like this. This kind of bias is going to destroy the platform.
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  16. "If there are two European countries who tend to be on the opposite side of any question, it's Britain and Germany" At least, after the days of Blucher, Wellington, and Frederick the Great. Unless you count, oh maybe the four decades of Cold War.
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  17.  @bmccollneb1  So Roosevelt was acting as a spoiler? Sounds like this analogy would have only been appropriate if RFK Jr had been the one to have an unfortunate incident at a campaign rally.
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  18. Or fracking. Peter is getting taken over by the Establishment and The Narrative(TM).
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  19. The only thing I believe about Peter's commentary on the odds for this war, is "it's still, and always has been, Russia's war to lose".
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  20. We're two months on. Have we seen any action on bringing Lukashenko up on war crimes charges, or on Moldova re-incorporating Transnistria?
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  21. How does this situation compare to Libya?
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  22. But muh global warming!
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  23. Neat. We can expect to see the old KGB archives on CIA's activities to be released into the public domain now, eh?
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  24. Yeah, the fact that both Russia and Ukraine have collapsing demographics make it a bit puzzling to me, as to why demographic collapse in Russia would affect their contest with Ukraine.
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  25. The experience of the average American?
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  26. I really wish the American government could accept reality and honestly deal with what's before us.
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  27. But that doesn't matter to Peter, so that doesn't matter to anyone. Obviously.
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  28.  @ruckin3  He tends to hedge a bit, though. "This has always been Russia's war to lose" is not something you would ever hear from someone totally dedicated to Information War. He knows when he stops being credible, he stops being useful to his non-government customers. I don't know if he's crossed that line yet.
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  29. I'm pretty sure they're thinking, "How do we get a couple million more people to migrate to the United States?"
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  30. He'd have to face what his Establishment backers have done to America, if he did. Expect him to do just this, once the Trump tariffs start to work, and he decides he needs to change sides.
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  31.  @janepavlis22  By uniting big government and big business? That's fascism, my friend.
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  32. California is culturally isolated by an enormous mountain range, and convinced of its own rightness by the success of its billionaires. Bob Iger over at Disney invited a mass of activists into his company because he thought that currying favor with them would land him in the White House. He Got Woke, and is in the process of Going Broke.
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  33. I'll bet their pink wispy hair bothers your allergies to no end.
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  34.  @Ole_ks  Report people just because you disagree with them? How does that improve the discussion? If you've read Peter's books, there's a whole lot of red-teaming of his ideas, that makes them stronger. You're deliberately making them weak.
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  35.  @Skelstoolbox  Being called a "troll" if you're a dissenting voice...
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  36.  @wisenber  The entire Electronics training school at some of Silicon Valley's colleges, is lifted straight from the Sunnyvale Lockheed plant's internal training program. So.... more than a little bit of overlap, there. Silicon Valley would never have happened without the DoD's major presence in the area to provide a critical mass of skilled personnel, with ready-to-commercialize knowledge about microcomputers and what would become known as internet protocols. It even had an effect on the purely commercial side -- Steve Wozniak's dad was an electronics engineer defense contractor, so Steve grew up soaking up that kind of engineering expertise. The two major points that broke in Silicon Valley's favor, though, were ultimately a Massachusetts' judge's decision to enforce a non-compete agreement (which California judges ignored), and Terman's insistence that engineers get cut in on a large amount of corporate equity. This formula's not as well known as it could be, but it's not exactly a secret either. As long as you don't mind letting talented engineers work where they like and get rich doing it, that's what it takes.
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  37. If he listened to his audience instead of telling him what his Establishment contacts wanted us to hear, his Establishment contacts would dry up. Zeihan would no longer be an insider. And honestly, I'm not sure I want him to stop being an insider. Hearing him go on-record saying "The United States will see another 40-50 million immigrants over the next 20 years" and "Only a couple of things matter to a country's power, and one of them is total population" is EXTREMELY informative.
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  38. Is there anything that is being said of the Poles here, that could not have been said of the Prussians 300 years ago? Remember Prussian Militarism? It took two world wars to beat it out of them.
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  39. Peter is basically an access journalist now -- he has to say what the administration and its strategists want him to say, or they'll cut him off from his information feeds. I wish he'd get back to independent research from un-compromised sources, which is what got him famous in the first place. Too much of this other kind of tripe, and he's going to see his credibility / fame collapse quickly.
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  40.  @michaelzamyatin103  Can Ukraine even take control of the canal to block it? If the Ukrainians had ham, they could make ham and eggs, if they had some eggs.
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  41.  @brianzembruski5485  i suspect it will be a party-line ruling, 6-3.
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  42. You have to wonder why Russia has trouble managing to test out designs at those temperatures. It's not as if the place doesn't get that cold.
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  43. Do you know how Peter seems to be in so many places at once? That's because he's not one person, but a set of twins. One is Analytical Peter, (the "good" twin) who carefully looks at data on esoteric subjects like fracking and demographics. He's generally the reason we're here to listen to this channel, he's got extremely keen insights that bring something valuable to the conversation. The other is Political Peter, who's simply a mouthpiece for the Deep State. While it's sort of interesting to know what they want us to think, sifting through lies and spin can either be an amusing passtime, or incredibly irritating, depending on how stupid they think we're supposed to be.
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  44. Hey Peter, I dare you to walk around San Francisco's Union Square. In fact, do a video from there -- and try to make the "it's not political" argument with a straight face. Just be careful where you step. And bring your own security.
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  45. Australia seems to be on fire an awful lot of the time.
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  46. "Varying labor price points" I think we're going to see this assumption dissolve over the next few decades -- and it honestly can't come soon enough.
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  47. Did you miss the bit where he says storage does not and cannot work at the scales necessary?
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  48. "The Aegean Sea becomes a no-go zone for the Turks" So your mighty Turks can't stand up to the Greeks? You should probably rethink your opinion of them, then.
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  49.  @Matt_from_Florida  It's certainly possible to persuade a given group of people not to engage in the drug trade. The cartels do it all the time. Imagine a single cartel suppressing all the others. Then imagine that cartel getting suppressed, themselves. It's not impossible at all.
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  50.  @Matt_from_Florida  No, I'm getting bored with the argument because you are making claims that are demonstrably untrue. You should stop doing that.
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