Comments by "LRRPFco52" (@LRRPFco52) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics"
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@GalaxyFur I agree about relative stability of inflation in the US, which is represented by long-term graphs, but I’m looking at the US Inflation rates right now from 1919-2019. The worst major spikes in inflation have been under:
FDR (D), Truman (D), LBJ (D), Ford (R-unelected), Carter (D), and Biden (D). They were stabilized or dropping under Eisenhower (R), Nixon (R), Reagan (R), Clinton (D), Bush (R), Obama (D), and Trump (R). If someone or any organization correlates a historic inflation trend in a binary conclusion to Democrat = good, Republican = bad, just understand you’re being lied to. Anyone can verify the above info with a simple inspection of an inflation graph.
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@GlenKrog That would mean those 39 fighters would need to have flown about 4 sorties per day, with no down jets. Do you want to tell me you’ve never been around a fighter squadron before without telling me?
US fighters are far more reliable than Russian fighters. The days of the MiG-21 are long-gone, once the Soviets tried to compete with the US with the MiG-23 (hangar queen), MiG-29, and Su-27/Flanker series.
Russia/USSR departed from its proven single engine mass-produced fighter force and went to all twin-engined designs to try to match the thrust-to-weight ratios of US 4th Gen fighters, while adding pulse doppler Radars and threat warning systems, BVR missiles, IRSTs, with tons of wiring harnesses and federated systems that are prone to failure.
Russian jet engines have always been low Mean Time Between Overhaul units that experience early core blade failure, often with catastrophic results. The US went through this with its early 4th Gen motors in the late 1960s-1980s until it developed single crystal turbine blades and more advanced fitment of parts, driven with FADEC.
If you read the maintenance reports from India and China on their Flankers, they are hangars queens. Radars, Missiles, and IRSTs are not that good.
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@fridrekr7510 Yes, I could argue it both ways since I’ve lived throughout Scandinavia and traveled the Nordic countries since 1979. I was explaining Zeehan’s perspective more than anything, since I’ve followed him since the 2000s when he was with STRATFOR.
From the fully-integrated economy and infrastructure of the American perspective, Scandinavia looks like city states. Zeihan is also probably referencing the differences in laws, customs, VAT taxes, language barriers within, let alone between the nations, and the effects of the the winter and summer climates and geography on movement of goods.
For example, in Finland, I can get from one part of a town deep in the interior to the town center much faster in the winter than the summer, because there are surveyed and signed roads across the frozen lakes, but this is only useful for mostly light residential traffic, not constant truck traffic for moving freight.
Even though Finland has a larger population than the US State where I live by 2 million, we have more emergency medical services, hospitals, clinics, universities, military infrastructure, and are connected to the rest of the US with the vast highway system, rail, and airports with a single language.
Finland is geographically isolated from Sweden due to the Gulf of Bothnia and the fact that Finland uses Russian rail line gauge tracks, which are much wider than in the rest of Europe, not that there’s a land bridge anyway.
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@jlvandat69 I only know Ecuadorian immigrants to the US, not anyone from the US who is even thinking about moving to Ecuador. Immigration stats seem to magnify the anecdotes, not contradict them.
I could live in Finland, Sweden, Germany, France, Italy, Greece, Cyprus, etc. The security and opportunities, as well as healthcare and taxes all favor the US, and it isn’t even close. I have lived in several of those places and love Europe, but I don’t like government getting involved with my personal healthcare decisions or those for my family. That should only be between me and the doctors, and who is paying.
We don’t have universal home, car, or life insurance, but responsible people spend trillions on those financial products each year in the US. We don’t need anyone else getting involved. This is why I and many others see government involvement in healthcare as a form of control.
2020-present has only confirmed those suspicions.
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@Stephenvguerra I've been in the US MIC since the 1970s. We have more missile lines open, more fighter lines open than anyone, a next gen Stealth bomber in production, drones from space down to micro level, rocket motors, warheads, superior streamlined guidance systems, and an extensive OT&E infrastructure that's unparalleled. The systems all work better than the legacy ones from the 70s, 80s, 90s, and 2000s.
The amount of explosive material and sorties or fires we expended for effects back then exceeded what we can do now with one sortie or one fire mission.
The other thing most people don't realize is that as the Europeans cut production capacity across the board, the US became the default arms supplier for them and a lot of their former customers. So any statements about reduced capacity in the US don't align with the actual deliveries I've witnessed over the past 50 years. I track FMS contracts regularly for aerospace and missiles primarily. It's the opposite of what you're portraying.
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@TD32333 "Largely put behind us" and "not an issue" are 2 different things. When I was in the military in my first unit, my Squad Leader, Platoon Sergeant, Company Commander, and Battalion Sergeant Major were all black. There was a disproportionate % of black leaders when looking at US demographics, especially in my Career Management Field, which had less than the US demographic breakdown of blacks.
By that time, race-based promotion ahead of peers was already the standard in the early 1990s.
Obama came along decades later and talked to the Nation as if we were in Thelma, AL in the early 1960s, while he sat in the WH with Michelle chowing down on filet mignon like corrupt African dictators.
That was not helpful at all. And when genuine black community leaders tried to meet with him to promote proven practical programs for dealing with fatherless and crime in the inner city, he couldn’t be bothered.
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@ArawnOfAnnwn The most advanced SC technology is made all over the US, mostly in the West, then Northeast, South, and Midwest.
There are exclusive supply chains for defense and satellite that can't be exported except to Canada, Australia, UK, JSF customers like Japan, ROK, Italy, Norway, etc., with anti-tamper kill-switches.
I was stationed in South Korea and have deployed their since. ROK is an Asian industrial powerhouse because of the US technology sharing. They were fertilizing rice paddies with their own feces still when I was there first, then have developed with US freeways, heavy industry, electronics, automobile tech, all brought in from US.
It isn't egotistical, just facts.
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