Comments by "LRRPFco52" (@LRRPFco52) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics"
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He purposely built a dumbed-down public image as common person, as to not alienate public-schooled voters (like Newt Gingrich). In reality, he's a whitty fighter pilot crack-up who is more fun to be around than his dad, Clinton, or Obama. They are all like brothers, part of a tight-knit club (Clinton, W, Obama).
Bush is nothing like the public image. He describes this in Decision Points.
If you were to be invited to one of his private parties, then sat down with him for a one-on-one conversation, you would quickly realize that he's orders of magnitude higher than most college professors in intellect and number of books read. He wouldn't rub that in though, but would instead ask you questions and start a conversation between you and someone else with something insightful based on how he profiles you.
He was already very gifted and highly-educated by his prep school days, before attending and graduating from Yale.
His intellect and confidence sky-rocketed in Universal Pilot Training and conversion into the F-102 supersonic interceptor.
He had a running book-reading competition with Karl Rove when he was President, where they read thousands of classical literature, history, biographies, etc.
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By the 1950s, Sweden was assembling jet fighters made with critical systems built in the US and England.
The internal propaganda to Swedes was to make them believe Sweden had the capability to manufacture all of the systems in its jet fighters, starting with the most critical system of all: the engine.
Sweden never could build a fighter engine and still can't. It has always imported jet engines from Rolls Royce, Pratt & Whitney, or General Electric.
The UK and US engines were then rebranded under Volvo Flygmotor and given Volvo designations starting with "RM".
Examples: SAAB Draken had the Rolls Royce Avon.
SAAB Viggen had the Pratt & Whitney JT8D.
Gripen A/B/C/D has the GE F404.
Gripen E/F has the GE F414.
The same thing happened with fighter Radars and missiles. Hughes, GEC-Marconi, and Raytheon developed and sold the critical avionics and fire-control systems to Sweden, who then re-branded them.
Within Sweden, the people are told SAAB, Volvo Flygmotor, and Swedish electronics firms are superior to the other countries, way ahead of their time while concealing the reality from the public. This feeds into a sense of Swedish nationalism and superiority complex, and makes the people feel a sense of pride as they look down on everyone else.
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@ordningsmannen Georgia not only produces fighters, but C-130s as well. F-16 production line was moved to Georgia. C-130 has been there for 70 years in Marietta.
If you want to talk about naval shipbuilding, you're looking at Virginia, which has a smaller population than Sweden, and has put more hull displacement in the water than most nations combined.
Sweden tried making its own jet engines in the 1950s and failed, not because it's a flawed nation, but lack of industrial, scientific, and test capacity.
Brits and Germans made the first jet engines, but the US surpassed them long ago.
It just goes to the point about the size of the US vs individual European nations. The US States are connected by the most navigable set of waterways in the world, in a temperate zone, with a common language and government, with more physical and human capital resources.
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Defense contractors aren't even in the top 20 industries in the United States. DC is surrounded by lobbyists and corporations who Finance Congress From those top 20 industries. Look at finance, real estate, big retail, tech, auto, insurance, teachers/public employee retirement accounts, Agriculture, food & dairy, chemicals, telecom, computers, software, heavy industries, construction, power, all the stuff you buy and interact with daily.
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He has been very specific about forecasting Ukrainian loss eventually, due to the sheer numbers Russia has compared to Ukraine.
Russia hasn't mustered a general mobilization for Ukraine yet, since Putin planned to preserve the main forces in Moscow and Saint Petersburg for defense, and the invasions of Poland, Finland, and the Baltics.
Now he's faced with the decision whether to escalate to a general mobilization, use tactical nukes, some other strategic move, or back down and negotiate a peace treaty/ceasefire.
Ukraine has emphatically stated that they will continue to fight until all of Ukrainian territory is repatriated, including Crimea and Donbas.
My gut tells me Putin will escalate. He's the only "strongman" Russia has left, and all the oligarchs owe their positions to him.
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@festekj Putin has been planning to invade Russia since the 2000s. One of his Foreign Ministry secretaries was running his mouth about that then, and was told to shut his mouth after spilling the beans. The plan was to "take back" Georgia, Ukraine, Moldova, Romania, Bulgaria, Hungary, Czechoslovakia, Poland, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, and Finland.
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@sciencecompliance235 One of the most distasteful forms of contempt in America is the college- indoctrinated elites who think they know anything talking down to the technically- oriented and highly-trained working class, who have far better understanding of how things actually work.
A great example are veterans who go into any of the major sectors of the economy, especially energy, defense, IT, agriculture, small-medium business, or manufacturing as examples.
The college ignoramus will condescend to these people, having never been anywhere overseas, never cut payroll, never built anything with their hands or tools, never managed teams of people, never solved a real-world problem in their lives.
Intoxicated on the fumes of their own flatulence, they bloviate on the solutions to all of life's problems as if gifted with omniscience, completely unaware that they are truly uneducated and clueless about pretty much any topic.
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@elysiumfields This is a great example of what I’m talking about. College kids in the US have been told a pack of lies by teachers and professors who have never lived in any Nordic country. My oldest son and daughter-in-law are going to school in one of those Nordic countries right now, where my mom is from. Education isn’t free. It’s very costly to everyone, namely the taxpayers. It’s also very exclusive, where gaining admission into university is extremely difficult. They section students off from each other at a certain time in school, so most go to skilled vocational training, and the more intellectually-minded kids with disciplined studying habits get to apply for university through entrance exams. Many take 2-3 times with the exams before they are admitted. Many do not complete their studies, then are in debt for the cost of schooling and housing. I’ve seen that happen to friends of mine as well.
When all is said and done, those countries rely on the US for their most advanced defense systems, medical diagnostic equipment, finances, trade, computer technology, software, and critical aspects of the economy all stemming from innovation mostly in the US or mainland Europe. Even with more GDP than comparable population US States, the US States with lower GDP have more Emergency Medical Systems, healthcare, transportation, finance, housing, higher education, PPP, etc.
But if we can leverage the inherent power of tariffs to fund limited government in the US, that would be far superior to what we’re doing now.
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@elysiumfields Of the 30 countries I've been to, guess which one I've lived in the longest, besides the US? Finland. That's where my mom is from and where half my family lives right now.
We have a lot of relatives in Sweden as well, where I've also been multiple times.
The critical systems I'm talking about are aerospace & defense related, as well as medical. Finland is one of the biggest customers for US fighter aircraft, missiles, and weapons.
Finland could never build a fighter gas turbine engine, for example. Neither could Sweden, Norway, Denmark, or most of the countries in Europe, let alone the world.
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Clinton (not his birth name) was raised in the biggest Buick Car dealership family in Arkansas, where his adoptive grandfather taught him memory training, and the senior salesmen taught him how to profile and communicate with "suckers"(customers). He became very adept at this when taking advantage of girls in high school, pulling up in his new convertible coup.
He admired JFK very much, and saw himself becoming President from a fairly young age.
He is gifted and well-trained in remembering facts and figures, but often fudges numbers to fit his narrative, with confidence and delivery that are rarely challenged.
He became accustomed to having any girl he wanted, which quickly lost its excitement, so he moved into more forceful exploitation of college girls and women until rape was normalized.
A fellow law student at Yale saw his potential and how people drew to him, but also how he ran through girls voraciously. She would intimidate them after he had humped and dumped them, to keep his wake clear.
He proposed to her due to her usefulness in that regard, but she declined, seeing herself cutting out her own path in politics.
He passed the bar and returned to Arkansas to run for Congress.
She took the DC bar and failed. She then called him up and asked if the offer was still open, which it was.
Her father strongly opposed the marriage, telling her that a Democrat was only one step away from a communist. Her brothers came down from Chicago to babysit Bill before the wedding to mitigate the obvious scandal.
His name is William Jefferson Blythe III.
Hers is of course Hillary Rodham.
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@u2beuser714 Millenials with no experience in these matters can make a lot of mistakes and bad assumptions, since they rely on internet searches and OSINT, with zero real-world. We were involved in Nunn-Lugar base exchange program, but the main effort in Nunn-Lugar was to remove nuclear weapons from the former Soviet satellite states of Georgia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, and Belorussia to get them under centralized control. What we found out was that Russia had been running a shell game throughout the Cold War, bolstering their capabilities through a series of feints and movements, when they were in-fact very limited in their ability or willingness to actually trust warheads at all the advertised operational units across the "triad”.
They relied more on controlling the US intelligence community within using plants, moles, and political stooges placed throughout government, CIA, and DoD to orchestrate an image of the 10ft tall Russian bear, with its thousands of warheads deployed all over. This is yet another example of the US system being totally ignorant about Russian/Eurasian culture and how no self-respecting Russian leader would trust subordinate leaders with nukes all over the place. So they ran a shell game from the warhead production sites purposely timed with US satellite overflights so we would see the trucks carrying the warheads out to Murmansk, to the Tu-95 bases, and mobile ICMB munitions hubs. But the trucks just took the few warheads they had back to the manufacturing site because they had problems cranking out reliable initiation systems.
They manipulated the US with Nunn-Lugar to get billions in funding in exchange for a continued shell game, and former KGB oligarchs pilfered all the money that was meant to prop up Russia from falling. They also used it to disarm Ukraine and Georgia further in preparation for taking those states in the future (we’ve already lived through partially now).
If someone tells you Russian maintenance is good, they’ve never lived in Russia, have never studied Russian military maintenance “standards”, and haven’t had insight into the Russian nuclear forces culture. The deterrence is based on posturing, with far less warheads and capable delivery systems than advertised. It’s still enough for a deterrent, but Russia can’t afford to find out if their systems work, because then every territorial dispute they have with the rest of their neighbors will kick off, especially with China.
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