Comments by "LRRPFco52" (@LRRPFco52) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

  1.  @MABSDK1993  Only a total ignoramus would describe the US as poor.
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  2. ​ @RMJerich0 Germany didn't stand a chance against the US. Look at the industrial capacity, manpower, and geographic separation.
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  3.  @kevinw2592  Opposite. Trump literally sent diplomats to begin normalization, and they were microwaved by the Russians. Russia will commit to very risky escalations to protect their "trampoline in Cuba. Obama is a Russian asset, and has been his whole life. Look who financed his Senate campaign and who his mother worked for.
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  4.  @karandullet380  Russia has a lot to lose if US-India relations are strengthened, since India is Russia's biggest FMS customer.
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  5.  @Matt_from_Florida  Regional players who don't want the hassle will want to use attacks to trigger the US to come back and provide their security again. US has finally wised-up to that, so we're happy to sell multi-billion FMS packages of our latest technology to them, rather than sacrifice the lives of our military and hundreds of billions of our own DoD budget to free-loaders.
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  6.  @HerculeseBaby  My comment on PCR is based on the specific statements from its inventor and Nobel Prize winner. If you find yourself at odds with that, you have some explaining to do.
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  7. See Ukrainian videos of them breaching dragon's teeth. Tanks can't breach mountains and seas.
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  8.  @bernardvc5820  This is my take on it too, having been a student of Russian military history for quite some time, and having lived there to gain an understanding of how they think, what their culture is like, what makes them function. Like anyone else, I would love for there to be a total ceasefire and Russian forces completely return to Russia, leave Ukraine. I also would love for Marilyn Monroe to come back to life and be my girlfriend, minus the drama and being used as a rag doll by the Kennedy Brothers and mafia bosses. I really think there’s going to be a Russian offensive this winter with the recent mobilization effort, and I think those soldiers are going to perform well enough to at least soak up as much Ukrainian combat power as possible as basically human bullet, artillery shell, ATGM, and drone-delivered munitions dummies so the next campaign can push through next year. I think we’re looking at a 3-year overall initial series of campaigns going back-and-forth. Russia will work hard to deter foreign military sales/transfers into Ukraine with their network of moles and compromised politicians within NATO and the US, but that will still be hard to pull-off. They almost had it with Biden offering a ride for Zelensky and his family from the outset of the war, remember?
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  9.  @NomadJoe0323  1st Chechen War was a brutal humiliation of Russia. One of the reasons Putin was assigned to be one of 3 Deputy Prime Ministers under Yeltsin was to spearhead a 2nd Chechen War to make Russia look strong again. In the middle of that 2nd Chechen War, Yeltsin retired and handed over the Presidency to Putin without an election, on Dec 31, 1999. Putin went scorched-earth on Chechnya, with apartment buildings bombed and leveled, mass civilian graves, as well as Spetsnaz and VVS hunting down Chechen rebel cells with a vengeance. It’s really not over though when you look at the continuing Chechen terrorist attacks inside of Russia before and since, as well as Russian occupation forces in Dagestan-some of whom were called-up and redeployed to Ukraine this year.
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  10.  @michaelmaroney1660  Things got so bad in World War II that they had to start drafting women and elderly people for support roles, and even formed female sniper sections. With a population of 143 million people, an annual conscript service in the 263,000 - 267,000 region, they’re going to get their army I think.
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  11.  @michaelmaroney1660  It's interesting because during the Czarist times, they had 25yr-life military service commitments, professional soldiers who learned their jobs and were selected for the type of unit they would serve in based on experience with horses, their physique, literacy, and local village elders input. They have incrementally reduced the conscription years of service from then into the Soviet times, then even more cuts in the Russian Federation to where these guys are institutionally incompetent from Generals down to conscripts. Even their low density, high skill set career fields are filled with incompetents. Their SAM battery operators shot down a civilian airliner, then discussed it frantically on an open cellular network while driving out of Ukraine as fast as they could. Their fighter pilots are being shot down for sport while talking on open, non-secure, single channel freqs, no use of brevity codes, rambling on without any sense of urgency, even as their flaming wreckage powers down and they should have ejected already. They're a shell of what they used to be, bumbling around like a sick drunk, but dangerous enough to still destroy, maim, and murder.
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  12.  @michaelmaroney1660  I've listened to their radio comms when they have violated Finnish airspace. Finns published it openly years ago. Same exact thing, Su-27SM pilots ranting on and on over the radio, sounding inebriated, "da da da...", non-secure, open text, no brevity codes. I saw better radios and comms discipline in line Infantry units in the early 1990s in the US. US and NATO fighter pilots have excellent equipment, freq-hopping, encrypted radios, brevity, and data links with graphics overlays on JTIDS displays. They have lost a lot of Su-30s (11), Su-25s (22), and Su-34s (16-17). Su-30s and Su-34s are some of their most advanced, modern fighters. They also had 1 Su-35 shot down, as well as some Su-24s shot down/destroyed on the ground, and now lost a MiG-31.
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  13.  @peterblood50  Zelensky likely set Putin’s plans back 3-6 years by not playing along with the Biden evacuation offer. Kiev would have been seized quickly, and the military situation devolve into a partisan resistance against occupation. It still would have resulted in many Russian and Ukrainian deaths, refugees, and mayhem, but with no identifiable Ukrainian leadership, nobody to coordinate European weapons supplies with, and Russia would have staged for the next domino on the board.
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  14. It's funny when you look at the Danish Air Force history in the jet age and whose fighters they buy for their own air defense. Republic F-84G North American F-86D North American F-100 Lockheed F-104G SAAB Draken General Dynamics F-16A/B Lockheed F-35A Greenland has been wanting independence from Denmark for ages already. The decision has been made. Next slide.
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  15.  @manners7483  Demand for "fresh dollars" in failing nation states has never been higher, while smart ones have already DFI'd into the US.
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  16.  @DeltaEchoGolf  Zelensky said he would step down if Ukraine could get a NATO membership. Putin doesn't want Ukraine supplanting Russian oil and natural gas supply to Europe, and doesn't want to lose control of all the resources and seaports. Europe doesn't want a Russian adventurous dictator on their doorstep. Europe was also happy to see the war drawn-out, where Russian forces could be attrited and would mean less risk for them in the future. It's an extremely difficult ball of wax to solve, because there are layers of conflicting interests that all fundamentally involve existential threats to each party, other than the US.
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  17. There’s a STARTFOR video on the geography of the United States that is a must watch to understand US geography. I’ve traveled across the US and lived in 8 States in Southwest, New England, Southeast, PNW, DC/Virginia, CO, and UT and never had it explained to me that way. I watched that and asked, “Why hasn’t anyone told me this before?” I attended multiple schools, deployed all over as a military brat and active duty soldier, lived all over abroad, did strategic analyses of terrain and combat systems in their regional deployment postures, constantly measuring distances, power centers, bases, weapons reach, logistic routes, population centers, water bodies, and still never saw the big picture the way George Friedman and Peter Zeihan laid it all out.
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  18. ​ @tonyburzio4107 Who will design, develop, test, manufacture, repair, program, and update software for the robots?
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  19.  @carlthor91  Trudeau's Canada? 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣😍
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  20.  @SaltySeaDawgz  Trump, Vance, Elon, Tulsi, RFK Jr., and Vivek is literally an American all-star cast dream team. We've never seen a Presidential ticket this good in US history.
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  21.  @larrybxl5406  An ocean away from USA, Arab invasion away from North Africa. Spain is relatively separated from the NATO skirmish zones with Russia, but ticked off Putin recently with weapon shipments.
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  22. Gen X are highly-social with each other and baby boomers, but don't relate as well with millennials, while Gen Z and Alpha see them as mystics and intriguing. Karen brigade Millennials are tired of being criticized for being lazy, stupid, fat, and ungrounded, and are now coming into their own where they think their experiences equal wisdom after lecturing people for years about things they never understood. Zoomers and Alphas have been constantly shown how stupid and lazy millennials are, so they have little respect for them-even less than X has for Boomers who abandoned them for their stupid careers. Millennials are going to have an interesting time trying to manage Gen Z while Alphas just dismiss them.
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  23. ​ @mnomadvfx Childcare is organic to a family, where a mother nurtures her children as the father provides. With homeschooling and young entrepreneurship, you can match and exceed any salary that a mother might exchange for paying for someone else to raise the children.
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  24.  @gerryconstant4914  We sent a massive Satellite into orbit with thermal cameras and Radar to map out the impending doom from the new ice age. It was called LANDSAT. Discovered a ton of really cool things about the earth, including pyramids in the Amazon, but not any indicators of a new ice age.
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  25.  @LucareonVee  I grew up and spent a career dealing with atmospheric research, testing, and real-world systems that have to exist across the altitude bands from the surface all the way out to really high altitude geosynchronous orbit. You've been lied to and don't have the basic knowledge to detect the lies. There is no climate crisis. It is 100% a hoax. Study the ice core history and see that changes in global temps are cyclical despite mankind.
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  26.  @sifridbassoon  Yusef Djugaswili was an atheist mountain Jew criminal. Very interesting history.
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  27. @jaybird2148  Multiple US WH's have been on Russian and Chicom payroll. Neil Bush, Clinton Global Initiative, and James Biden have been under surveillance for multiple entire FBI and other agents' careers.
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  28. Soviet moles within the US drove that so they could develop Cuba into a strategic trampoline. Notice that the CIA was both helping and fighting Castro simultaneously? Soviets had the OSS and CIA filled with doubles from the start. This is key to understanding US-Cuba relations of the 1950s, otherwise it makes no sense.
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  29. Go look at the progress chart of PV materials and read your statements again, understanding that the only materials showing notable increases in PV efficiency are extremely expensive (GaA), and are critical for other sensitive industries. China has also placed an export ban on them in the Semiconductor trade war.
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  30.  @allenaxp6259  "In development" and "at scale" often mean "never going into production".
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  31. People don't realize how many Germans were in Russia's pockets from the Cold War-forward. German intelligence was headed by Reinhardt Gehlen, who was a double agent for the NKVD and KGB.
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  32.  @andrelaverdiere9181  The pedophile Scott Ritter? Where would Scott Ritter gain access to Ukrainian Army casualty lists? Same question for "Russia wins today,the war is over MacGregor". That guy is like a broken record, and always wrong on his monthly proclamations. Putin just inadvertently admitted 360,000 Russian forces casualties the other day, as reported by a Russian ex-pat who listens to all the Russian state media.
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  33.  @bilic8094  8-1 artillery advantage spread all over Russia, none of which is precision artillery like what has been given to Ukraine. With precision artillery systems and spotting drones, your first rounds can be effective or even metal-on-metal. With legacy artillery, you have to walk the sheaf in. Me: former Scout Sniper/Scout Observer, which includes acting as a Forward Observer with formal and practical experience with calling for mortar, artillery, and CAS. The units who possess precision artillery systems have an unfair advantage against those who don't, even if the barrel count is 8:1. Russian soldiers have stated this throughout the war: "We fire more rounds, but when they fire, they hit first time."
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  34.  @Константин-в7е  Prigozhin said Wagner alone had 22,000 KIA in Bakhmut, with 40,000 WIA. Russia and Donetsk People's Republic brought the total KIA to at least 50,000 just for Bakhmut. It would be hard to believe that Bakhmut accounted for half of all KIA for the entire war.
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  35.  @bilic8094  How many 2K25 munitions have been made? Laser spot track requires TGT designation from someone with a Laser designator. Manufacturing of the guidance system requires semiconductors and quality electronics, plus controlled environment storage by disciplined soldiers and logisticians. This could explain why this system is of limited use to Russia, otherwise they should be taking, not losing ground.
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  36. Compounded with an estimated 250,000 Russian military-aged males fleeing the nation, it’s going to accelerate the decline of Russia due to birth rates and lack of able-bodied males to fill that workforce, not even counting what casualties will result from mobilization.
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  37. He's been doing funded white papers for industries, governments, military branches, and corporations since the 2000s, with a team working for him.
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  38. Yeah he got that wrong too. The only other President who despised the CIA as much as Trump was JFK, and JFK was going to disband it.
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  39.  @posterlion  The only other president who disliked the CIA as much is JFK. Trump got better intelligence from a hybrid set of sources from DOD and retired DOD companies. CIA has misled every president since it was formed. The soviets had 200 double agents in the CIA before the ink was dry in 1947.
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  40.  @carson1084  The FBI (BOI) was formed by Charles Joseph Bonaparte in 1908 to spy on members of Congress illegally, as well as businessmen and other influential people. Congress was thoroughly opposed to the creation of the BOI. Then Bonaparte's men had a talking to with these opposing congressmen and they changed their votes. One of the most notable opposing forces to the BOI was a congressman by the name of John Fitzgerald. Irish booze mob. It seems like nobody in the bureau or the electorate knows about this history. Either way the FBI was utterly corrupt from conception.
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  41.  @tuckerbugeater  You should have to pass a certain test before posting. Your comments so far have missed the mark entirely.
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  42. ​ @bwake  Various agencies and units have been doing that since the 1940s. ONI was doing it before that. In the grand scheme, we're still infants at the great game, with a budget that dwarfs all the others.
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  43. Imagine trusting a theoretical academic over an actual billionaire when it comes to finances. Peter has likely never had to balance a checkbook in his life, let alone manage a large organization. Trump has managed more payroll and real estate deals just in the 1970s, than Peter could ever imagine. Peter's failure here is not detecting the public image Trump has built, thinking that's the guy behind the scenes. Great leaders can't portray themselves as intellectuals, as it turns people off. They have to dumb it down.
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  44.  @johnt8441  Have you ever researched successful people before? Tons of them have filed bankruptcy either personally or with certain corporate entities. Abe Lincoln Ulysses S. Grant William McKinley Henry Ford PT Barnam Walt Disney H.J. Heinz John Connally Anna Nichole Smith Bob Guccione Kim Basinger Milton Hershey Larry King Francis Ford Coppola Trump found a way to innovate out of $900,000,000 in debt, to get back in black into the billions. I've never heard of anyone pulling that off before. It takes a very tough person to do that.
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  45. "The news" is nothing but attention-grabbing headlines for the conglomerate owners/sponsors to run ads for their garbage products. You will be disinformated and misinformed at-best.
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  46. "Does she has hu hu hu hairy legs in the skin by the chain? C'mon man."
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  47.  @sietuuba  Are they firing up the nuke plants again?
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  48. WEF saying they need a shock to the system to begin the transformation.
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  49. ​ @joeanonimous1105 There was no free & fair election in 2020. That was a giant scam that was being contested with dozens of votes of no confidence being placed in the Capitol on Jan 6, when hundreds of FBI assets and ANTIFA wearing red hats stormed the Capitol bldg. This is right out of Soviet ideological warfare rigged election transformation 101, complete with false flags to implicate your opponent.
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  50.  @dml1514  Who will you be voting for?
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