Comments by "LRRPFco52" (@LRRPFco52) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics"
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@RyanNovaktheFirst I've driven across the US so many times, I lost count. In one particular period of just 6 months, I drove from NC to CA to NC 6 times.
I had 2 carjacking attempts in NC, which I shut down pretty fast just by presentation of my handgun.
I live in a very safe State and County now, but I still plan every stop I make as if someone is going to attempt to carjack or mug me.
I plan and prepare just in case, like having a fire plan for my kitchen, grill, house, or car engine.
If you are going about life oblivious to these threats, then you're merely a victim who just hasn't been hit yet, especially if you travel as much as I have on the road.
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@GoingFar77 The US blue collar middle class kids went into more tech jobs, college degree programs with expectations of office work rather than factory work. The US leads the world in innovation, creating new technologies, and more think work vs labor, although we still have a gargantuan skilled labor sector. We offloaded low-skill/low-priority work, like toys, pencils, pens, short life goods, clothing/textiles, some furniture, small appliances, etc.
For durable goods that require skilled labor, we still have massive aerospace, automotive, electronics, and semiconductor jobs. For the energy industry, we lead the world in production and refining. For agriculture, there isn’t any place like the US in terms of volume, variety, and long-lasting crop harvest seasons.
One of the biggest misnomers is that America doesn’t produce anything anymore, when in fact, we’re the 2nd largest exporter, 1st-largest consumer of our own goods, with exports being only 15% of our economy. When you place those into context and see that our exports are huge for the world, but small for us, you realize how great the US economy is.
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He has addressed that for well over a decade. Who wants to trade in Russian rubles? It’s literally a worthless currency outside of Russia, and isn’t valued inside of Russia over dollars. Most of the world’s oil and sea trade is measured in and exchanged in dollars. No other nation or collection of nations has a secure banking system or regional security from foreign invaders, so the US is the only safe bet.
Add that to the US economy being the largest and without peer, where there exists mass industry, no foreign invaders on its borders, the largest bread basket in the world, a vast connected river network, coastal sea ports that allow heavy displacement vessels across 3 huge coastlines, protected by the biggest and most powerful military in the world. BRICS has none of that, and they aren’t even geographically connected. Russia, China, and India all have beef with each other in some way, especially China vs Russia and India vs China. China relies on the US as its biggest trade partner and protector of oil shipments from the Persian Gulf. The moment China tries to go it alone, or ally with Russia for security of trade, they’re toast.
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@Khyberization He’s been forecasting the decline of China for about 20 years, and most/all of the things he talked about back then have slowly been happening in real-time. I was a subscriber to STARTFOR back in the 2000s-2010s, where he was one of the chief analysts. They used to have a very respected economist come on who talked about how China was taking over, vs Peter Zeihan who would discuss all these major structural issues with their demographics, corruption, financial illiteracy, military incompetence, theft, environmental disasters with seasonal flooding wiping out cities, and capital flight with the billionaires and multi-millionaires investing in the West. Very good, respectful debates with tons of information, maps, statistics, and graphs to support each of their arguments.
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@negativeionz I have to agree with you there. I’ve been studying virology, epidemiology, and immunology since 1997, marginal to my main focal areas, but more out of an interest in my survival.
I approached my analysis of SARSCoV with a timeline method, leaving out anything from 2020, so 1999-2019. The picture that emerged was very damning and quite ominous. Patent applications for zoonotic-to-human CV are easily seen in US Patent and Trade Office dating to 2002, with Dr. Baric’s name as one of the applicants. Patent description details artificial spike protein manipulation with positively-charged amino acids, and chimeric organisms as test subjects used to get the zoonotic disease to jump to humans.
They ran the chimeric research at UNC Chapel Hill, with Shi Zhengli as one of the researchers until it was banned in 2014, at which time she picked up shop and took it to Wuhan. They took human fetal lung stem cell tissue and infused it into mice embryos until they successfully made mice with little human lungs.
Then got the spike protein-augmented bat CV to successfully bond to the endothelia of the chimeric human/mice organisms.
Fauci oversaw this from a funding aspect, and continued to fund it in Wuhan. He’s referenced in Moderna’s 2019 shareholder report (scrubbed but accessible through wayback), along with Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, DARPA, BARDA, and other unnamed entities down at the bottom of the report. Moderna’s CEO paints a picture to investors of a windfall in billions of dollars coming soon due to their work with mRNA technologies (without mentioning that every single clinical trial failed).
The Ukraine invasion was really a bleed valve for all the mounting pushback against government lock-downs, masking, and injection policies, so an unusual amount of effort was redirected away from social unrest in Canada, the US, and Europe. That doesn’t detract from the fact that Putin invaded a sovereign nation without provocation.
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@jimluebke3869 The young Russians I knew in Russia were very apolitical, as are most of the population. Kids just wanting to hang out with friends, sneaking into apartment stairwells to smoke, drink and listen to music.
Young adults were just looking for work or staying on their sports teams. I met one businessman who barely broached the subject of politics, complaining that it was a rigged system with no room for dissenting voices, because they would be arrested.
Russians instinctively know they have to back their strong man, because everyone is out to get them. They truly believe that greedy capitalists want to come steal their resources, as they have been told that Russia is the best, biggest country in the world with the most resources.
Never mind that they aren't a value-added economy and live in the sub-arctic with no real access to the seas or major trade routes. It's a very poor, frozen, isolated, depressed society where people don't smile. Smiling means you're basically a village idiot half-wit. "Why Sergei is smiling? Is he thick in his skull?"
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@farnarkleboy F-35 parts manufacturing is international, with 15% of every single F-35 built in the UK.
Every ejection seat for F-35s is built by Martin-Baker in the UK. Canada, Norway, Italy, Netherlands, Belgium, and a bunch of countries that make parts and subsystems, with 3 assembly lines in 3 different continents.
Because the break-rate is so low on F-35s, they have dramatically-superior availability and sortie-gen rates compared to any other fighter, especially Rafales and Typhoons, which are very maintenance-intensive.
Parts supply priority goes into new production F-35s and the partner nations are still finishing their logistics infrastructure.
But wrench hours on F-35s are in single digits, while Rafales, Typhoons, Super Hornets, and F-15s take dozens of hours to maintain per flight hour.
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