Comments by "Nattygsbord" (@nattygsbord) on "Anders Puck Nielsen"
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There is this game that Russia wants to show the 3rd world that it is strong and does not back down and put hard against hard in its struggle against the west. Maybe Russia is afraid to look weak and useless for the third world?
But this is a vanity project a 3rd world country cannot afford. So a Potemkin phasade needs to be created, but this is not a substainable solution in the long run. So what Putin hope to achieve with this move is beyond me, it just seem idiotic like painting oneself into a corner, and then climb up on a branch on a tree and then put out the saw and start to cut down the same branch he is sitting on.
This is just so foolish. A desperate mans wishful thinking. Perhaps is he betting everything on that his boyfriend will become president in USA again. But it seems more likely that Biden will win to me.
And no this war have nothing to do with Nato agression. If that was true that Russia indeed felt threatened by an attack from the west, then why did that SU-57 fighter jet not sit protected inside a thick bomb shelter where it would be safe against drones and missile strikes?
All other countries in eastern Europe got protected hangars everywhere, so why not russia? Its almost like they do not fear any Nato invasion at all.
Vatniks also mock us Europeans that we are so unprepared for this war, with tiny armies, tiny military stockpiles and no artillery ammunition stored for a big war. So if they brag about how much stronger russian artillery is, then why do they feel threatened by their pathetically weak western foe?
And if the west is so dangerous to russia that it starts proxy wars and threatens russia with an invasion at every moment, then why do
the russian military pull out troops from Kaliningrad and send them to Ukraine? Isn't Kaliningrad super-important and needs to be protected at all costs as a top priority for the russian military in a war with Nato? Kaliningrad is enormously important, just as important as Moscow and St Petersburg. Kaliningrad have an important port, but that place is also an excellent starting point for a blitzkrieg against the Baltics, Its a place for missile attacks against the west (perhaps also with nukes).
Its also for defensive reasons enormously important for russia if Nato went to war with russia. It would tie up large Nato forces that could threaten russia elsewhere, and it would protect russias missile shield and help russia control the Baltic sea. So why then would russia ever move all Kaliningrad troops to fight in Ukraine? That just seems enormously reckless and dangerous to me, if Russia truely is under threat from the west.
And after the drone strike at Engels airbase did Russia move all its strategic bombers out of reach of Ukrainian drones. They were moved far north. To an airfield close to the border of Finland, just a few kilometers away and not more.
And I think that would be an extremely reckless move if Russia sincerly feared a western invasion. Would USA ever put all their B-2, B-1 and B-52 bombers in one place just a few kilometres from the Warsaw pact border during the cold war?
- I don't think so because that would be stupid and reckless. The entire nuclear capability of the US airforce could just have been destroyed in just one big air raid that could easily be done cross the border without much warning or time to react. No one would ever position their strategic bombers close to enemy territory unless they felt extremely safe and sure that they would never be attacked from the west.
So for all those reasons do I think Putin never feared any western invasion
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"From day one Ukraine never had a chance of winning the real war."
From what military school did you get that knowledge? From Russia Today evening show propaganda?
Look at history. Russia have lost almost every war it have fought the last 170 years. It lost the Crimean war. It lost the Russo-Japanese war. It lost World war 1. It lost the Polish-Bolshevik war. It failed to conquer all of Finland in 1939 and in 1944. It suffered catastrohic defeats against nazi-Germany despite it fought a 1 front war against Germany that had to fight a 5 front war without any lend lease help. And then in the 1980s did russia lose the war in Afghanistan. And it lost the first Chechen war.
"Now that Zelensky and Biden fed a half a million Ukrainians into the meat grinder"
I bet you do not have any credible source for that claim. And clowns like Gonzalo Lira, Scott Ritter, Tucker Carlson, Russia today are all fake news so they don't count.
"Zelensky & Biden supporters ARE STILL promoting the war!"
They did not start the war - it was russia that started the war.
And a peace deal at any cost will not create peace. Putin have broken every promise he have made... the Budapest agreement, the 2003 border deal with Ukraine, The Minsk agreement, the peace deal with Chechenya, the deal with Prigozhin. So I do not think a ceasefire will hold a year longer then when Putin think he have a realistic chance of invading and succesfully take Ukraine again.
So making a peace deal is therefore pointless. It is also morally wrong. Russia should not be given anything.
Ukraine have all the right to defend itself according to international law and the UN charter. They defend themselves against genocide, wars of aggression, russian tyrranny and opression, ruscism and raschism.
Ukraine fights stands for truth, independence, freedom and democracy. Russia only stands for evil, manipulation and lies.
And if rewarding russian terrorists will only send the wrong signal to terrorism sympatizers around the world, and encourage future acts of terrorism also from other states and organisations when they see that russia gets rewarded for bad behaviour.
Appeasement simply doesn't work. Its just a dangerous strategy. The least bad option is therefore to kick russia out of Ukraine by force, as it refuses to leave stolen lands voluntarily.
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I read in one major newspaper (I forgot which one) that Germany have fixed its fossile fuel dependency problem for the next year, and the years to come. So Putins energy blackmail will therefore not likely succeed in the long run as the west can just get their energy from other sources.
This game of shutting of all the energy more looklike a game of desperation by Putin, he is playing out his energy card while it is still worth anything. It will cause harm and pain and scare some people in the west. But after this winter will this game stop having an effect, and things will improve in the EU while Russia suffers more and more pain and see its energy revenues go down and get problems with financing the war.
The Russian people are used to a shitty life and hardships and will tolerate more pain than west Europeans, but I still think Putin greatly overestimate Russias own abilities and underestimate Europe.
To me all this looklike the crappiest and most idiotic economic warfare strategy a country have used since the Confederate States during the American Civil war. The Confederates did then stop all export of cotton and destroying in the hope that lack of cotton and high export prices would make England eager to support the South's struggle for independence.
But the opposite did happen. The South did not get any desperatly needed foreign money to help its struggling economy, and England just started to grow cotton in India, and also Egypt started to grow it, as clothes producers were forced to look for other sources for cotton. And so the South was no longer as important for the world economy as in the past.
It never raised any war taxes and thereby lacked the funding for its military and the war had to be singlehandedly paid for by other means which raised inflation and interest rates, and thereby made the war financing very ineffective.
Russia now do the same thing. It refuses to export energy and food and thereby lose export revenues. And as it isolates itself it is becoming more and more irrelevant for the world economy, until no one any longer cares if they lose all economic ties with them.
Capital controls work. But they only work if you got a strong economy with demand for your currency. Once the energy dependency on Russia goes away.. then it can no longer prop up its failed currency and the house of cards falls apart.
And the law of supply and demand will press down the value of the ruble as there are no foreign demand for that junk currency once people starts to buy their energy from other countries..
So no, I think Putin is only going to lose the long game.
As losses piles up and Russias lack of success becomes more and more appearant will the war lose some of its popularity.
The Russian military lose its best men and equipment, and all that is left are junk. Putin will finally have welded togheter the world against him, as even France, Germany and Italy now their energy from other countries and have no reason to hold back on their support for Ukraine. And traitors like Salvini and Le Pen can no longer camouflage their support for Putin behind fake concerns about the sanctions that they say harms the wallets for ordinary people.
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Ohh please, the Wehrmacht were warcriminals... but comparing them to russian federation is an insult they dont deserve.
Wehrmacht was competent at all levels, had good modern equipment, good training, good dicipline, the troops were willing to fight, their command structure was best in the world, and their strategic and tactical thinking had been refined after all campaigns in Europe and the previous world war.
The Russian military by contrast is rotten junk at all levels. Filled with corruption, old poorly maintained rusty equipment and outdated food rations, the men lacks training and williningness to fight, the command structure is one of the crappiest in the world, dicipline is non-existent as soldiers post internet videos of mutiny and russian positions looks like waste dumps with garbage everytwhere and everything is disorder, and the russians military thinking is based around ideas that are as outdated now as they were a century ago.
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@John_Smith_86
"What other country has all these factors? Population, economy, and military"
Glad you asked.
Because russia does not have those things. 8 countries have more people than russia do.
10 Countries do have a higher GDP than Russia. 13 countries have more Fortune 500 companies than Russia.
And I would rank USA, India, South Korea, China as all being stronger than russia militarily due to more men in uniform or more money spent on the military. However if a force mobilization was done, then I would consider Japan, Germany, France and UK also as militarily superior.
Russia do still not have a 5th generation fighter aircraft. Its most modern air defence cannot even deal with American HIMARS missiles from the 1990s.
And comparing Admiral Kutzetzov with a Catobar aircraft carrier, is like comparing F16 fighter with a Mitsubishi Zero in terms of capabilities.
Its artillery is also inferior to its western counterparts in everything - range, precision, reload time, time to set up the system to be read to fire, and inferior because it takes longer time from firing to moving away.
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