Comments by "Nattygsbord" (@nattygsbord) on "Anders Puck Nielsen" channel.

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  3. There is this game that Russia wants to show the 3rd world that it is strong and does not back down and put hard against hard in its struggle against the west. Maybe Russia is afraid to look weak and useless for the third world? But this is a vanity project a 3rd world country cannot afford. So a Potemkin phasade needs to be created, but this is not a substainable solution in the long run. So what Putin hope to achieve with this move is beyond me, it just seem idiotic like painting oneself into a corner, and then climb up on a branch on a tree and then put out the saw and start to cut down the same branch he is sitting on. This is just so foolish. A desperate mans wishful thinking. Perhaps is he betting everything on that his boyfriend will become president in USA again. But it seems more likely that Biden will win to me. And no this war have nothing to do with Nato agression. If that was true that Russia indeed felt threatened by an attack from the west, then why did that SU-57 fighter jet not sit protected inside a thick bomb shelter where it would be safe against drones and missile strikes? All other countries in eastern Europe got protected hangars everywhere, so why not russia? Its almost like they do not fear any Nato invasion at all. Vatniks also mock us Europeans that we are so unprepared for this war, with tiny armies, tiny military stockpiles and no artillery ammunition stored for a big war. So if they brag about how much stronger russian artillery is, then why do they feel threatened by their pathetically weak western foe? And if the west is so dangerous to russia that it starts proxy wars and threatens russia with an invasion at every moment, then why do the russian military pull out troops from Kaliningrad and send them to Ukraine? Isn't Kaliningrad super-important and needs to be protected at all costs as a top priority for the russian military in a war with Nato? Kaliningrad is enormously important, just as important as Moscow and St Petersburg. Kaliningrad have an important port, but that place is also an excellent starting point for a blitzkrieg against the Baltics, Its a place for missile attacks against the west (perhaps also with nukes). Its also for defensive reasons enormously important for russia if Nato went to war with russia. It would tie up large Nato forces that could threaten russia elsewhere, and it would protect russias missile shield and help russia control the Baltic sea. So why then would russia ever move all Kaliningrad troops to fight in Ukraine? That just seems enormously reckless and dangerous to me, if Russia truely is under threat from the west. And after the drone strike at Engels airbase did Russia move all its strategic bombers out of reach of Ukrainian drones. They were moved far north. To an airfield close to the border of Finland, just a few kilometers away and not more. And I think that would be an extremely reckless move if Russia sincerly feared a western invasion. Would USA ever put all their B-2, B-1 and B-52 bombers in one place just a few kilometres from the Warsaw pact border during the cold war? - I don't think so because that would be stupid and reckless. The entire nuclear capability of the US airforce could just have been destroyed in just one big air raid that could easily be done cross the border without much warning or time to react. No one would ever position their strategic bombers close to enemy territory unless they felt extremely safe and sure that they would never be attacked from the west. So for all those reasons do I think Putin never feared any western invasion
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  9. "From day one Ukraine never had a chance of winning the real war." From what military school did you get that knowledge? From Russia Today evening show propaganda? Look at history. Russia have lost almost every war it have fought the last 170 years. It lost the Crimean war. It lost the Russo-Japanese war. It lost World war 1. It lost the Polish-Bolshevik war. It failed to conquer all of Finland in 1939 and in 1944. It suffered catastrohic defeats against nazi-Germany despite it fought a 1 front war against Germany that had to fight a 5 front war without any lend lease help. And then in the 1980s did russia lose the war in Afghanistan. And it lost the first Chechen war. "Now that Zelensky and Biden fed a half a million Ukrainians into the meat grinder" I bet you do not have any credible source for that claim. And clowns like Gonzalo Lira, Scott Ritter, Tucker Carlson, Russia today are all fake news so they don't count. "Zelensky & Biden supporters ARE STILL promoting the war!" They did not start the war - it was russia that started the war. And a peace deal at any cost will not create peace. Putin have broken every promise he have made... the Budapest agreement, the 2003 border deal with Ukraine, The Minsk agreement, the peace deal with Chechenya, the deal with Prigozhin. So I do not think a ceasefire will hold a year longer then when Putin think he have a realistic chance of invading and succesfully take Ukraine again. So making a peace deal is therefore pointless. It is also morally wrong. Russia should not be given anything. Ukraine have all the right to defend itself according to international law and the UN charter. They defend themselves against genocide, wars of aggression, russian tyrranny and opression, ruscism and raschism. Ukraine fights stands for truth, independence, freedom and democracy. Russia only stands for evil, manipulation and lies. And if rewarding russian terrorists will only send the wrong signal to terrorism sympatizers around the world, and encourage future acts of terrorism also from other states and organisations when they see that russia gets rewarded for bad behaviour. Appeasement simply doesn't work. Its just a dangerous strategy. The least bad option is therefore to kick russia out of Ukraine by force, as it refuses to leave stolen lands voluntarily.
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  23. I read in one major newspaper (I forgot which one) that Germany have fixed its fossile fuel dependency problem for the next year, and the years to come. So Putins energy blackmail will therefore not likely succeed in the long run as the west can just get their energy from other sources. This game of shutting of all the energy more looklike a game of desperation by Putin, he is playing out his energy card while it is still worth anything. It will cause harm and pain and scare some people in the west. But after this winter will this game stop having an effect, and things will improve in the EU while Russia suffers more and more pain and see its energy revenues go down and get problems with financing the war. The Russian people are used to a shitty life and hardships and will tolerate more pain than west Europeans, but I still think Putin greatly overestimate Russias own abilities and underestimate Europe. To me all this looklike the crappiest and most idiotic economic warfare strategy a country have used since the Confederate States during the American Civil war. The Confederates did then stop all export of cotton and destroying in the hope that lack of cotton and high export prices would make England eager to support the South's struggle for independence. But the opposite did happen. The South did not get any desperatly needed foreign money to help its struggling economy, and England just started to grow cotton in India, and also Egypt started to grow it, as clothes producers were forced to look for other sources for cotton. And so the South was no longer as important for the world economy as in the past. It never raised any war taxes and thereby lacked the funding for its military and the war had to be singlehandedly paid for by other means which raised inflation and interest rates, and thereby made the war financing very ineffective. Russia now do the same thing. It refuses to export energy and food and thereby lose export revenues. And as it isolates itself it is becoming more and more irrelevant for the world economy, until no one any longer cares if they lose all economic ties with them. Capital controls work. But they only work if you got a strong economy with demand for your currency. Once the energy dependency on Russia goes away.. then it can no longer prop up its failed currency and the house of cards falls apart. And the law of supply and demand will press down the value of the ruble as there are no foreign demand for that junk currency once people starts to buy their energy from other countries.. So no, I think Putin is only going to lose the long game. As losses piles up and Russias lack of success becomes more and more appearant will the war lose some of its popularity. The Russian military lose its best men and equipment, and all that is left are junk. Putin will finally have welded togheter the world against him, as even France, Germany and Italy now their energy from other countries and have no reason to hold back on their support for Ukraine. And traitors like Salvini and Le Pen can no longer camouflage their support for Putin behind fake concerns about the sanctions that they say harms the wallets for ordinary people.
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  33. If you have a Russian armored vehicle capable of carrying 10 men inside that gets destroyed - then the Ukrainians count that as 5 persons killed as there is no way of knowing how many people inside has been burned alive inside, and especially in the beginning of the war did the Russian military have lots of equipment and little manpower so their vehicles were usually just half full of men. So this number is a bit of a guess work and estimate. This is what operator starsky once said in a video. I also think that body counts can be problematic if you say have a bunch of Vietcong in a jungle, and you order an artillery strike on certain square kilometers of the jungle.. and 155 howitzers, battleship guns reduce the place to rubble, and afterwards come some F4 Phantoms and drop tonnes of bombs and napalm over the area. So how will you count the enemy losses when you will in there the day after? There is nothing left of the enemies bodies after the artillery have shewed them up and turned them into minced meat and thrown it around hundreds of meters. And the napalm have turned corpses into pieces of coal and ashes and you no longer have any idea if the burned thing on the ground was once a living human being. You might perhaps see an arm or a head or a feet in a boot lay around in that area. But it is impossible to tell if that those things belonged to one and the same person, or 3 different persons. So little is left of the enemy after this powerful bombardment that it is impossible to tell if 10 persons died there or 150.
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  34. As you said to Perun will those planes become valuable if this war becomes long and last for years. So it is a political statement that the west is willing to spend large amounts of money to help Ukraine, and also to do so in the long run if necessary. Those planes impact on the battlefield will not be that significant as there are too few planes and too few pilots. The best long term strategy would of course then be that the west trains say 200 young men with no previous flight experience into becoming pilots. This will take 2 years. But it is probably the only way Ukraine can get an air force with quantaty and quality needed. As it is now am I pessimistic. One german military blogger said in a video that most Ukrainian pilots cannot speak english so even if pilot training started today would still just say 20-30 pilots at most be able to participate in any training from the west. The other pilots speaks too poor english, and despite the war has been going on for 1.5 years now have they not bothered to learn any english despite months and months of begging for western jets. And if we are going to spend time on learning ukrainian pilots english - then of course will even more valuable time be eaten up. So I don't think we will see any Ukrainian F16 jets this year. And probably not for the first half of the next year either. Some people might be worried and upset about this. Upset how incompetent Ukraine have been to not prepare their pilots with a language course, or upset at Nato for all delays of giving those jets. But personally I mostly just view them as a long term political statement so I don't feel that upset as I think their impact on the war will be limited due to their small numbers.
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  39. Considering how incompetent this war has been handled by Russia I do not consider it unlikely that they do not even have any thought out plan at this point. The war have slipped out of their hands and went out of their control. This was supposed to be a 3 day war. I think you give the Russian leadership too much credit. You assume that they have a brain and act rationally and not like complete idiots. Personally do I more and more think that they are complete idiots. Their best equipment and troops are gone. And now they have to improvise with unconventional ways of winning this war. Terror bombings is one such desperate attempt. And it is nothing more than that. The Putin regime got nothing to lose by firing all their stockpiles. If they lose the war, then Putins political career is over anyways. So the only way he can save himself is to gamble and hope that he wins this war so that he can remain in power and save himself from getting killed. And they know that Nato - unlike themselves - are too civilized to start a war. With this in mind do Putin even dare to move troops away from the strategically super-important Kaliningrad and use those troops for the fighting in Ukraine. And this in a point of time while their army have already suffered catastrophic losses of contractor soldiers and T-80 and T-90 tanks. Had Russia believed that their neighbours might wanted to start a war with them - as their propaganda says - then I think that the timing of moving their Kalingrad troops to Ukraine could not be more terribly choosen. Leaving such an important strategic hub unprotected shows that the russians are lying to their teeths. They know the west doesn't want any war. And nor are they afraid of any escalation. So Russia therefore gambles everything on one card now and try to win this war. They throw in everything they got. They use up everything and do not think about tomorrow. Everything from t-62 tanks, rusty AK47s and world war 2 rifles to troops from Kaliningrad to members of Russias space forces. All their missiles are being spent as well as their old ammunition stocks. To me this strategy seems terrible for Russia. They are making a stupid short term decision without thinking about the long term consequences. Its like pissing your pants. If feels warm and cozy at first. But a few minutes later it feels uncomfortable, cold, wet, dirty and smelly to wear some pants covered in urine. I guess Russia will suffer more military defeats, and have to repeat their boring predictable nuclear threats like a broken record despite people in the west no longer believes in his nonsense. Fear and respect for him has been exchanged for contempt. People in the west look at the Russian military as incompetent. And the respect for their point of view have been hollowed out by their endless lies and barbarism and war crimes. It might just as well be that soon will people in the west look at Russia like it was a turd. And think that it needs to be flushed away, so people can solve this problem and keep on going with their normal lives again.
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