Comments by "Nattygsbord" (@nattygsbord) on "The Armchair Historian"
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Russia won the war but at a great cost. Half their economy had been destroyed in the war. Cities had been turned into rubble. Villages had been burned. Bridges and factories had been blown up by retreating armies. Germany destroyed railway tracks as they retreated.
So you can say that the western half of Russia's economy had stopped existing because of the war. Now everything left of Russia's industrial base laid east of the zone that Germany had occupied. Particular in the Ural mountains did you have much factories - because as you perhaps already know, did Russia take down many of their factories and industrial plants and transported them by rail to the east so they would not fall into German hands.
So this changed the entire structure of the Soviet economy.
Now the industrial base had moved from west to east. Instead of small factories, did Russia put up all big factories in a few cities. And instead of making civilian products did those factories now specialize in making military equipment - rifles, tanks and such.
Now would all parts of the production process happen in one and the same town when all factories were concentrated into one place. You dug up the metals from the ground, you processed it into steel, then you turned that steel into tanks.
Every part of the production process now could be done in the same town. So you could say that the cities in the Ural turned into huge military towns.
The war changed Russia. The military industrial complex got a firmer grip of power in the country, because it represented a higher proportion of the economy than before. And it had won much status and prestige in the war.
And people were afraid of another world war would happen again, so Russians therefore wanted a strong military.
So Russia remained a militaristic society decades after the war.
But this led to the civilian economy to be neglected. And the standard of living did not improve. The war had destroyed much, and Russia had much money it had to spend on repair on reparing bridges and railroads so it did not have much money over to offer everyday luxuries that we take for granted in the west.
Stalin hoped that plundering east Germany and stealing all large amounts of industrial equipment in Silesia would help the Russian economy to flourish again. But this did not happen. And all he accomplished was to destroy Germany's industrial base.
Russia had won the war. Its military status was great after the victory over Germany. And Russia took control over eastern Europe. But its economy remained weak. It had outproduced Germany during the war despite being a poor country, and Germany occupied all of Europe. But in all other areas was the Russian economy weak.
And that is also the case today. The Russian economy today is mostly just strong in military equipment, avionics, nuclear power, space, and selling raw materials such as coal, natural gas, timber and metals. Half of Russia's GDP comes from oil production. So it is not a very diverse economy that is fragile because it depends too much on a few sectors - and particulary the price of oil.
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"every political factor and military engagement came to an advantage for one side"
France had better rifles and the battle of Gravelotte st.Private was fought against French numerical superiority. Strategically could France have just massed troops along the short Franco-German border and made it hard for German troops to win the war, as they would have been forced to fight a strong enemy with well prepared defensive positions.
Prussia did however have better tactics, better logistics, better overall prepardness for war - and of course von Moltke's genius.
"Sadly for the german history his sucessors Schlieffen and his nephew Moltke the younger did not want to realize this"
Schlieffens plan was a master work. Had not Austria failed so badly at the eastern front and forced Germany to move troops to the east to stop a Russian invasion - then would France have fallen and the war would have been over in 1914 with German easy win in the west. And there after would Russia have fallen in the east, and probably also before 1917.
The Schlieffen plan had to be improved in ways its father never originally intended, and it is surprising how well the plan did work despite its many changes. The schlieffen plan was created when the French army was much weaker. But then a few years before WW1 did France introduce 6 years conscription for all males and it grew its army.
This changed the power-balance so much that Germany had to put hundreds of thousands more men into the fight in France in order to win this fast victory in the west. But such a growth in size of the German invasion army did create new problems this plan was not really suited for.
You could only walk so many men over a bridge at once, over otherwise it will collapse.
A thin road will create ques and road blocs if you try to march too many men, horses and guns over it all at once...
So growing an army and maintaining the speed for a fast invasion of France was two things which did go against each other. Russia would also begin to mobilize its army faster than this plan anticipated - which meant that a German victory over France must happen even faster than planned, before Russia could field a large enough army to become a deadly threat to Germany.
All those factors made it seem nearly impossible for Germany to win in 1914.
But Germany nearly won the war in 1914 despite all those problems - and that says a lot about the high quality this plan originally had. Had this plans originals been badly made to begin with, I think it would have been very unlikely that a fast invasion of France and Belgium would have been possible. Paris would never be under threat, since French forces would have gotten more time to plan their counter-moves to stop the German offensives. Troops could get the time to dig in and put up barbed wire on every kilometer before the Germans came.
But that did not happen. Because Germany kept all the initiative in their hands on the west front battlefield in 1914.
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If Sweden had such a big army at Poltava it would probably have won the Northern war.
Charles only had about 40.000 men during his Russian campaign. Sweden is not a country like Russia that can sacrifice 200.000 men per year and still win a war at the end.
Charles army was the biggest and most well equiped - and trained army in Swedish history. But even with all efforts of absolutist monarch and a military state and the most effiecent buraucracy in Europe it would be able to field an army even half the size of other great powers like France, Austria, Russia or the Ottoman empire.
It is rather surprising how big and might the Swedish empire could become despite its limited resources (for example did Charles enemies did have 40 times more manpower than he did). And it nearly won at Poltava - and that could have perhaps have encouraged Ukrainian cossacks and Ottomans to join Charles in his war against Russia, while a big military defeat at Poltava could have created further dissatisfaction with Peter unpopular rule.
Peters western reforms was unpopular. And blodshed and war taxes would just encouraged revolts even further to de-throne Peter, and who knows what Russia then would looklike today?
None the less do I think that Swedens imperial glory would have been fading away even with a victory in the Great Northern war. Even with all conquered lands and huge Polish puppet state do I think that Sweden didn't have enough silver and blood to defend this huge empire that many wanted a piece of.
Prussia, and Austria was still powerful enemies. Russia and Denmark was not so serious threats in their own right, but these countries was by no means small compared to Sweden and were therefore threats that couldn't be ignored. They were latent enemies that would join military alliances with Swedens enemies and attack Sweden whenever they saw a weak monarch on the Swedish throne.
Nor did Sweden have much of an overseas empire besides a few plots of land in Africa, west indies and North America. And the GDP per capita was one of the lowest in western Europe. And the Swedish navy was not necessarily bad, but it was always out of luck and would never produce a single great maritime victory before the battle of Svensksund in 1790.
The only major strenghts of this empire was its good buraucracy, modern army and tactics, its mines (Russia and Sweden did togheter produce more than 90% of all iron in Europe) so Sweden had some military advantages thanks to its iron industry. And it had some diplomatic and propagandistic strengts too, as the home of Gustavus - the defender and saint of all protestant nations and the formidable Swedish army.
Sweden was a poor country. It never built any Versaille palaces like France, produced music like Vienna or was a commercial hub with Dutch paintings like Amsterdam. Sweden was a poor country made up of peasants, and the country was only good at two things: melting iron and making Cannons.
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Austria was good at producing waltz music and famous composers. But fighting wars was not one of its talents.
It had huge resources but still it failed to defeat Sweden in the 30 years war, and after the battle of Breitenfeld was all of modern day Germany lost to Swedish hands. The war dragged on, for some years thanks to help from Spain, some diplomacy and large economic wealth... but in the end did Austria lose the war anyways.
Austria also lost all 3 wars over Silesia with Frederick the Great. And it lost the war against Napoleon. And it lost against Prussia in 1866. And in WW1 it managed to wipe out over 60% of its 2 million men strong army in just 4 months. It could not even beat Serbia - a 3rd world country - despite numerical superiority, better weapons, and good access to fresh troops and logistics.
Just as with Habsburg Spain, was Habsburg Austria good at royal marriages diplomacy. So it too did create an empire with totally artificial borders, thanks to monarchs gaining land through marriages. So aside from royal blood was there very little that tied this empire together. And solidarity was never good between the different peoples and provinces.
The Hungarians were excellent horsemen and light infantry during the 1700's, but despite making up a third of the empire it only paid 10% of all taxes in the Kingdom. And its barbarian population was a very proud one, so of course did its soldiers not accept being led by German officers. The Italian provinces were rich highly culturally developed, and the same was true for Belgium. Croatia provided excellent steppe troops, but their discipline was awful and the line between criminal gangs of murders and plunderers and soldiers were non-existent as with the other light troops in the Austrian army.
And the Austrian army itself was very tiny, and the population in Tyrol was very unwarlike, but Austria could still get large army thanks to contributions of troops of all different German states within the Holy Roman empire. And this army was commanded by Austrian officers.
But as with the tax system, was there also nearly no standardization within the Austrian army on how units should be trained, equipped, the size of regiments and so on.
So just like Spain and France did this empire punch below its own weight, despite being a huge empire with millions of people.
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