Comments by "Bob" (@bobs_toys) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

  1. My wife would die laughing if she was asked to return.
    2
  2. Also, the USA has 5 million. Assuming they were all young (no. Just... No) and all went over, that would be the shortfall between the last year of the one child policy (15 million births, which was already extremely low) and last year (9.56 million births) So, just.... No.
    2
  3. Which aren't normal people. They're the country's best and brightest. The people they need most.
    2
  4. You'd be yet another person who says this, but can't name three countries that have seen their birthrates drop by over 40 percent in five years. If you can, please give the countries and the dates.
    2
  5. This is publicly available information.
    2
  6. But how do they get anywhere useful? And the important thing isn't size, but ratios.
    2
  7. ​ @eatinsomtin9984 most of the people arguing against this clearly didn't watch any of the video.
    2
  8. What's he said that's incorrect or unreasonable?
    2
  9. It'll reduce the unemployment of the people most likely to cause trouble. But any positive impact on birthrates will be lost in the continuing plunge.
    2
  10. Look at the current state. Where is he wrong? What about what he says is unreasonable?
    2
  11.  @125varma  I'm a father (of a girl who will be of no help to the CCP) 😛 and what I said stands.
    2
  12. Yet another post that doesn't actually say where he's wrong. Although in fairness, the one person who did attempt to say this was forced to lie to make his point.
    2
  13. Who's this "we"?
    2
  14. ​ @Nobleheart111 what you said shouldn't need to be pointed out, because it's so obvious. But then, if you're the sort of person who doesn't need blindingly obvious stuff pointed out in a way that would make a toddler feel patronised, you probably aren't supporting the CCP.
    2
  15. Try 2.5 percent.
    2
  16.  @luisjeronimo1484  it isn't. You can't just dump bonds. You can sell them to another person at a loss or you can wait for them to mature and not buy more.
    2
  17. The people in China, who are currently giving up on having children at an unprecedented rate, don't seem to be convinced of this success.
    2
  18. Countries and private investors. Pension funds are a prime example.
    2
  19. Does Russia have reliable friends?
    2
  20. ​ @loot6 and the speed at which it's happening is just incredible
    2
  21.  @loot6  that's a rule I've found with the CCP. However bad things are, they've a unmatched genius at making it worse.
    2
  22.  JackSmith-mk1ru  you've been given sources on this. Then you ran away.
    2
  23. Yes. But they didn't lift 800 million people. They stopped destroying the economy as much as Mao had.
    2
  24. Drop their claims in the same way as they promised not to interfere in Hong Kong until 2047?
    2
  25. This is how the median age of a few countries has changed for comparison. Japan 2000 40.7 Korea 2000 30.7 China 2000 28.9 US 2000 35.3 Japan 2020 48 Korea 2020 42.8 China 2020 37.4 US 2020 38.6 Absolute ageing: Japan 7.3 years Korea 12.1 years China 8.5 years USA 3.1 years
    2
  26.  @emperor615  in twenty years, the median age went up by 7.3 years.
    2
  27. Then it was trouble ahead. Now it's a thing that's happening at a rate that's far worse than predicted.
    2
  28.  @MedicalAutonomyProject  that's what's coming there.
    2
  29.  @jeanlamb5026  it's hard. My mother gave my brother the car saying he needed it to give my father a way of saving face while doing this. With my Chinese father in law after he picked up my pregnant wife and myself from a train station in north east China it was a bit different... Saying very clearly, while trembling, that he was going to kill someone if he kept driving. I'm used to the driving there, but God damn. That was scary.
    2
  30. It started with the French wanting to keep their empire. And then continued because of the domino theory.
    2
  31. ​ @bobkoure right now. The better question is has he ever left China? You won't get an honest answer.
    2
  32. What happens if the CCP is ever unrestrained? Such as they'd be after a victory against the west.
    2
  33.  @EdgarSanchez-rl9zh  outside of areas foreigners normally see, dear God, I wouldn't. I spend most of my time in Shenyang as an example, but I see this across the country. Everything is either brand new or falling apart.
    2
  34.  serriajohn  Why are you rambling on about other countries when the subject is the PRC? What part of what's happening in these other countries means the PRC doesn't have a real issue?
    2
  35. ​ serriajohn Singapore isn't corrupt. Singapore isn't the PRC. The PRC is hopelessly corrupt. Singapore has rule of law. The PRC doesn't. I didn't mention the economic system. However the fact that the PRC is socialist just makes the scope for govt corruption even greater. Particularly with the SOEs.
    2
  36.  @JamesHarrison008  same to you. Long weekend FTW.
    2
  37. What's a lie, specifically?
    2
  38. It's fun to watch how overwhelming the majority is of posts criticising this that show no signs of actually watching it.
    2
  39. Is he wrong in here? If so, where and why?
    2
  40. Lol.
    2
  41. Women.
    2
  42.  @JackHawkinswrites  whatever the perspective, it won't be an American problem. Not really sure why you're bringing America and Africa into this.
    2
  43.  @LizardSpork  it's depressing how many people need to have ratios explained. Or that you can't eat your pension. That it all needs producers to mean anything.
    2
  44. Is overall in a much better state and its decline in birthrate isn't as rapid.
    2
  45.  @fr4nky4fingers  putting the wealth difference into perspective (and getting around this will cost) The German gdp per capita has 51k usd. The PRC is a quarter of that at 12.5k. If you prefer to use PPP (which is meaningless for things that require international trade. Which this will) Germany is at 63k vs the PRC's 21k. Still a huge gap. For ageing, Germany had a median age of 42 years in 2000. Now it's 44.6 years. Or a 2.4 year increase. Or a 6 percent increase. It's had plenty of opportunity to get used to the current situation. Contrast this with the PRC. The PRC was at 28.9 years in 2000. Now it's 37.4 years. An 8.5 year difference in absolute terms or a 29 percent increase in relative terms. The final part of this is what someone who's elderly can actually do. The current retiring generation in the PRC was educated during the cultural revolution and its aftermath. The German populace wasn't.
    2
  46. ​ JackSmith-mk1ru that's a question, you halfwit. And you run away from sources like a coward.
    2
  47. ​ @glixylpoussin fertility per woman is a bit misleading here, with the speed at which births per year are collapsing. 44 percent lower birthrate is more accurate. And declining faster than it has anywhere at any time outside of war or famine.
    2
  48.  @edwardseavey1172  but it's not a Thanos style snap. It's a decline in workers and an increase in retirees. It's not about numbers, it's about ratios of workers to dependents.
    2
  49. ​ jacksmith6015 you've been given sources on this. PRC sources. Not western ones. Then you ran away.
    2
  50. ​@saffire301especially if you're unfortunate enough to have Russia as a neighbour.
    2