Comments by "TheRezro" (@TheRezro) on "VisualPolitik EN"
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In short: Ukraine started with around 200k man, most of that was ground forces as they don't really have navy and only limited defensive airforces. Russia has 1 milion army... on paper. In many cases those were literal paper soldiers who never exist with they salaries going on colonel Dacha. From that only 1/4 is ground force, as Russia has large navy, huge humber of aircrafts, rail force, strategic forces, military police, etc. So from beginning of the war number of deployed soldiers was inefficient (150k initial forces, plus 50-100k of military police and separatists, who could not exactly fight). But it was compensated with large number of tanks and artillery. For reminder attacker should have 3 to 1 advantage at least. After war started Ukraine make general mobilization and raised up to 1 milion soldiers. From that around 300k is on the front, rest is training and rotating. Problem is lack of equipment what need to be restored, trained and delivered. Russia didn't mobilize and struggle to keep they numbers. Relying on mercenaries like SS Wagner and forced Ukrainian conscripts. They do not train or rotate they forces and not even provide them basic healthcare. As such Russia sustain massive attrition in both man and hardware (130-190k dead depending on the source). Mobilization helped them stabilize battlefield, but Russia struggle to maintain 300k forces on battlefield. They finally did train some number of mobilized, for few months, but it is not expected to be more then 100-200k people. So yes. They can double they forces, but would it matter? Probably not. But it is still open game. Ukrainians seams to intentionally allow Russia to lost people in pointless attacks on reinforced position. But we would not know in the end. Statistically, Russia lossless more, more resist to admit defeat. But Russia has huge capacity for ignoring the losses.
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