Comments by "William Innes" (@williaminnes6635) on "Styxhexenhammer666" channel.

  1. This one has been building for years. In one of the autumn issues of The Economist in 2019, they published a compilation of studies showing how since 2016, while nonHispanic white Republican support had relatively declined by 4%, Hispanic Republican support had increased by half, and both nonHispanic black and nonblack nonwhite nonHispanic Republican support had doubled. Relative family wealth formation, the same article noted, had increased by something like 8% for nonHispanic white Americans, but was up IIRC 40% for nonHispanic black Americans in the same period.
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  2. I mean...my more distant American relations are descended from anglicized Ottoman Levantines who fled the Mandate of Palestine just before it became Israel, and they're pretty MAGA.
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  3. On South Sudan, President Salva Kir's trademark cowboy hat was a gift to him from George W. Bush, who was extremely popular among animists and Christians who lived in the northern borderlands of their cultures in the African continent. Sort of a reverse Prester John effect.
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  4. I remember having read the term in college in some old Slavic Studies articles. It was a theory among people who studied Russia for why Russia basically stayed the same as the Soviet Union after Yeltsin - all the bureaucrats, secret policemen, and gulag guards were still the same as in the Soviet Union.
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  5. Machiavelli in On Principalities wrote that if the people the Prince governed were unarmed, the Prince ought to arm them. Laozi in the last couple of stanzas of The Classic of the Way and Virtue wrote that though the people shall have arms, none shall display them.
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  6. Kind of. At the beginning of the French Revolution, the first wave of revolutionaries decreed an end to slavery, including in the French empire outside of France. At that point, the Haitians were probably the world's most enthusiastic French citizens. Later, a different group of French revolutionaries realized that they really needed the money from sugar sales to fund the wars that broke out against Prussia, Russia, Austria, Britain, Portugal, and later Spain. (The French really pissed in everybody's coffee around the turn of the 19th century.) Napoleon sent Rochambeau to Haiti with the mission of suppressing the (fairly understandable) resistance the Haitians had to being told it was time to go back to being slaves. Dessalines was a maniac, but Rochambeau became the name of the South Park game of kick the other guy in the nuts for a reason, because that was his strategy for convincing people who had just been told they were free that they had to go back to being slaves. The guy literally invented a primitive version of the gas chamber to execute Haitians he suspected were involved with arming the Haitian revolutionaries. He'd burn sulfur in the holds of ships to suffocate people. He'd put nails in barrels and use them to roll people down hills. So, the mass lynchings of French and collaborationist Haitian planters LOOK nasty in those old cartoons, but...people were pissed. Really it's more similar to the War in the Vendee, except that the French central government was too weak to pull off a full genocide the way they were able to in what became mainland France. Partially this was because of the distance, partially because the Royal Navy went back and forth from helping the French when it looked like the Haitian Revolution would make problems in British possessions to helping the Haitian revolutionaries when it looked like a great way to grief the French - smaller version of what the French did to the British in America. The American Revolution just wasn't quite as barbaric as the French Revolution. The psychological thing was almost as bad as the indemnity. Given how nasty the war was, once Louverture got in, there was no way of convincing the average person to go back to working on a plantation. That was the only way they could have kept up their exports, because sugar was the one thing they were set up to produce. In a world where the later French revolutionaries had decided to keep slavery off the books, Haiti would have probably developed as a standard banana republic. They would have had a sharecrop economy for a century and change then gradually diversified. It'd be an upper middle income nation today. If you told somebody from that timeline our timeline's version of what happened, it would sound insane to them, and if they were from Haiti, they'd probably take it as an insult. Even had somebody who wasn't as brutal as Rochambeau been sent by Napoleon, it would still have been possible to convince the average person to work as a sharecropper. but after all the shit they went through because of Rochambeau? They weren't going to do that. and that meant you then had a century plus where instead of exporting something, they exported nothing. The tertiary tragedy of the way the Haitian Revolution happened - besides the horrific atrocities and destroying Haiti's exports for a hundred years - was that when the early French revolutionaries declared an end to slavery, in 1792 IIRC, the debate on slavery had just entered Common as a result of Wilberforce pushing it. The argument got made to see how it would work out for the French before rushing in. Then the wars with France distracted Commons from the issue until 1815, and it was just sort of forgotten until 1834, when, after a frenzy of changes to the way the system was set up started by getting rid of electoral districts where everybody was on the take, the decision was finally made to get rid of it. In other words, it was the initial catalyst for delay. Slavery might have ended 42 years earlier in the British Empire had things gone differently. That might have meant pressure on Spain and Portugal got started earlier. Titbit number four, the first wave of refugees welcomed by the United States as an independent country were Haitians and Frenchmen fleeing the Haitian Revolution. This was because South Carolina and North Carolina had disproportionately been settled by planters who had failed at growing sugar in the Caribbean, and who were automatically sympathetic to Haitian and French planters who lost their plantations during the Haitian Revolution.
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  7. It's either India or the Soviet Union which introduced diversity hiring, with the idea that by having programs for groups with a reason to feel alienated from the mainstream, they would cause them to feel closer to the nation as a civic entity. Each of them said the experiment was a wash. The one incident was 400 churches burned in a province of 2m people was what got cited to me as an example of how Modi was encouraging violence, which sounded serious. Sounded serious. Looked into it. Basically Modi ended the diversity requirement for the local nonsense jobs and nonsense money. The diversity happened to be Christians, and decided to riot. Then the Hindus rioted back. Then a bunch of assholes cried about it and said Modi was a dangerous far right this and that.
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  8. The reason why I think this might not be as big of a deal as all that is because I think both Egypt and Ethiopia have war fatigue as of present day due to Egyptian and Turkish sponsorship of opposite sides of the Libyan civil war and the former situation in the Tigray.
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  9. Nepal, dude.
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  10. land of big cookouts with live animals, Sherpas, Gurkhas - never did get conquered by the British because of those guys - and had a Marxist uprising following a royal palace mass shooting by one of their crown prince before The Recession
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  11. IIRC it originated in a meeting Xi had with Obama in the early 2010s following which somebody posted an image of Winnie the Pooh walking with Tigger with approximately the same body language as the two heads of state.
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  12. It was a move Nixon made that made sense at the time.
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  13.  @SethAurelius94  Given how things worked with X under old management? Good argument for it.
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  14. Why does that put that meme about Louisianans watching the skin walker in their back yard and wondering if it would taste good over rice in my mind?
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  15. I forget the name of the guy, but there was a sniper in the British army in WWI who said that the reason why he did so well was because he was an Eskimo, so he was used to waiting for seals to pop their heads above the ice before shooting at them.
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  16. Out of my ass, I think Griner was sent to Russia deliberately to provide an excuse to get Bout out of prison. Griner is famous for being an idiot and for the rumour about having been kept in men's prison by the Russians after an anatomical examination. Bout is famous for selling guns, to the point that he got to be the good guy played by the A-list Hollywood star in the Hollywood semibiography based on the first part of his life, which changed the major detail that he isn't a part Russian part Jewish guy from Ukraine whose father pretended to be a Jew as a gambit to help the family pass through Israel, but a part Russian guy from Kazakhstan. If you were going to send weapons to a place under the assumption that that place would then sell those weapons in a plausibly deniable manner and get money washed back to the people who had lobbied for the program in the first place, Bout would be THE celebrity spokesman for that kind of a program.
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  17. dude India's the single country where absolute poverty has collapsed the most, even with the goalpost shifting on the yardstick used to measure it
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  18. Jank Ooger? used to thinking of him as Chunk Wigger.
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  19.  @nhmooytis7058  oh dear me does he like those boots favoured by the mainstream ladies north of the tropic of cancer around this time of year?
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  20. and a very allau akbar ramadan to you too You weren't talking about the weather, were you?
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  21. not really no nuclear war is no bueno all though it would make Max Brooks seem more prophetic in World War Z (the book version)
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  22.  @PhycoKrusk  His attitude to vaccines is why he'll be splitting the vote of the rump of a rump that is the libertarian left who show up to Democrat primaries with Marianne Williamson.
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  23. I think Xi caught everybody with their pants down for a couple of years. In 2014 IIRC the mainlander navy sailed up to western The Philippines. The Pinoys sailed up to the same island and said fuck off. Obama said OK I'll mediate. Pinoys trusted Obama and sailed away. Mainlanders said lul and took the island. President of The Philippines, Rodriogo Duterte publicly told Obama, what the fuck, man. Obama didn't like that. The US media smeared Duterte as a strongman. If you were a career bureaucrat and you saw that happening, you would be thinking, we need to allow the system to function as a republic next election, because our guy just shat the bed with our country's biggest potential competitor.
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  24. "Malignant narcissist with the vocabulary of a third grader and no impulse control" makes me think of Trudeau before it makes me think of Trump.
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  25. Normalize with Syria. Convince Assad to dealign himself. Convince Assad to take comp in exchange for the resettlement of Palestinians. Say just leave UNRWA in place, but the skim Israel takes, Syria takes instead. Justify this by arguing it was all originally the Ottoman province of Syria. Make Palestine an autonomous zone of Syria - local elections or whatever they want, but they agree to be loyal to Assad. There's no bad blood between the Palestinians and the Syrians the way there is between the Palestinians and the Lebs or the Palestinians and the Jordanians or the Palestinians and the Egyptians. Palestinians actually like Syria as a place.
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  26. If it's subsidized and the subsidies are what's driving up the cost, then why aren't colleges just regulated to be forced to apply price controls?
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  27. .
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  28. Carter deserves credit for attempting to begin the trend of deregulation for which Reagan is generally credited.
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  29. The ethnostate ought to be normalized, at least for the eastern hemisphere, and where it all ready exists.
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  30. Afrikaners do have a stereotype for being stubborn MFers, which may have something to do with why so many of them are still in South Africa.
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  31. mmm if Biden really was deep on the mainlander payroll, he'd have reversed more of Trump's changes. America has kept onshoreing. The whole alignment Trump set up in the Western Pacific hasn't suspiciously dissolved. If anything, there are all the signs of a particularly nasty CIA backed overthrow of the mainlanders' only buddies in theater, the Burmese.
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  32. The unipartyist RINOs in the GOP will, yes, but much like the libertarian caucus, the MAGAs have nowhere else to go except the GOP. They're married to one another at this point. (which I guess makes the centre and right libertarians the mistress in the marriage)
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  33. One of the guys who fought with the redshirts during the unification of Italy in the 19th century once said "having gained Italy, we must make Italians," referring to the extremely regional nature of Italy as a peninsula of mountains dividing city-states and hinterlands connected by the sea. I get the sense that the Republic of India has been engaged in a similar project since independence 80 years ago - to get people to see themselves as Indians first and their hyperlocal hyperspecific subcaste fourth or fifth. It was the cause for India to have been one of the early adopters of diversity programs. Modi's abandonment of those programs is a change of strategy, moving in the same direction. If anything, the analogy underrepresents how regional India gets.
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  34. *using the Benedict Anderson definition - the nation represents an imagined community
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  35.  @Pangora2  The other thing is, there are things a person is not willing to do to the place where their children might have one day to be raised that a person is more than willing to do to some place the poor suckers who enlisted as sappers for the asshole who forced him to leave that place will have to search. and as far as I'm concerned, if enough mainlander admirals and generals know deep down that should they risk the delaying action challenge the resolve exists to leave them the masters of one of the larger booby traps ever devised by man? Good.
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  36. or for systems where there is a strong bias against training enough lawyers. I could see India bringing in trial by AI.
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  37. I think there has been a pattern over the 2010s of India seeing a slight bump when China slows down, since China tended to drive commodity prices, whereas India is also a giant country that devours commodities and thus benefits from reductions in their prices. I am too lazy to fact check myself on this, though.
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  38. Syria is a worse cock up than Afghanistan.
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  39. The Economist had bad things to say about him before he even became Prime Minister.
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  40. There was a Zeihan video - Zeihan is wrong about all kinds of stuff, and I never fact checked it, but it had a ring of truth - where Zeihan said that the only country in the world that America really needs is Mexico.
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  41. could affect the popular vote as well, which doesn't matter, but as an nth thing on which to focus, does weaken Democrat talking points
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  42. There was a 2010s tier technology which inside a grid regulated as lightly as the one in Texas and with sun and cloud conditions similar to those in western Texas actually was economically viable for solar power. Basically it would use long concave mirrors with a high pressure pipe down their centre, to superheat water into extremely pressurized steam, then use that steam to drive a turbine. It needs a hunting permit, though, as it is considered to be hunting when birds fly into the death ray this thing creates and then explode like blood balloons.
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  43. Sudan is also no joke to invade. Sure, the British managed it, when they were the top empire in the world. Same thing for the New Kingdom Egyptians. The Egyptianized part-Egyptian part-Nubians later took over Egypt proper for one dynasty - which was an Egypt which had survived a massive widespread civilizational collapse. Wolsely was held up for months by the Nile rapids, Gordon died looking stoic in Khartoum, and the Beja turned out to be one of the three toughest groups at that time on the African continent. If every few thousand years, an invader with an overwhelming tactical technological advantage can succeed in conquering a place, then that place is hard to invade.
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  44.  @Naturenerd1000  It's sort of retarded. If the Canadian federal governing party wasn't hell bent and determined to try to game this for a couple of seats, they could just have asked Canadian industries if they'd rather see American tariffs increased to match Canadian tariffs, or Canadian tariffs decreased to match American tariffs. Could have been a simple process of just asking the people affected what they wanted, then doing that.
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  45. .
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  46. If you're fishing for a fuck Ukraine, then here's a fuck Ukraine.
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  47. It's not the nationalists who are bothered by it.
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  48. Erdogan gets an excessive amount of hate. I don't see Iran shifting out of its position as the guys every American ally in the region next to it actively hate, and have less optimism about that ever becoming the case having come better to understand how Iranians are.
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  49. like Iran could elect successive moderate Councils of Experts and get increasingly moderate Ayatollahs to the point that its version of Twelver theocracy was basically Iranian culture's version of German Christian Democracy, and Iran would STILL be locked in to its geopolitical position, which would STILL be exacerbated because Iranians as individual people have a genius for pushing Arabs in the piss off button, largely because of different cultural standards toward when it is appropriate to mislead somebody. It's the same way how Israel could have either a secularist coup and cease to hold elections as a junta took control of the country and began to expand controls over speech rights and civil society in order to maintain the position of the secular elite in the bureaucracy, or it could gradually remove minimum standards of ethnic minority second class citizenship which it deemed in conflict with rabbinic law as Haredim became the majority and acted like it - there would probably be new standards of second class citizenship which were added based on rabbinic law as well, but the way in which people are officially unequal would shift, and the media would cry about it - and Israel would still remain a close American ally, and nonIsraelis who support Israel would continue to support it just as much.
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  50. Ariel Sharon's one incontrovertible war crime was that during an invasion of Lebanon in the 1980s, when he had some terrorists cornered in a refugee camp and was contemplating sending in his boys to root them out, a bunch of Lebs showed up with guns and said that if the Izzies stood aside, they'd turn every last terrorist into hamburger, and that in their view if they got any refugees, it was a bonus. The part where everybody agrees it was a war crime was where Sharon had his boys stand down and allowed the Lebs to have their fun. Unless it was actual indigenous Lebanese people who got killed in the drone strike, outside of not being made to look like idiots, I don't think the government of Lebanon gives a flying fuck.
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