Comments by "D. San" (@DSan-kl2yc) on "Secular Talk" channel.

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  4.  @mikenunya4491  the framing itself is misleading. It's not a guarantee. It's a guess based on the care you can get. It was over 20% at the start when people knew less about it. And you ignore that even 1% is considered high, and part of the problem with covid is how infectious it is. Phrased another way, it's about 900% more deadly than the flu(10-20 times more likely to kill you). There's also reinfection, intensive care and hospitalization, and long term side effects. And the fact that the outcome is a roll of the die. The u.s case fatality rate is around 1.78 based on confirmed cases and deaths. And about 2.28 for my state. “However, even when this uncertainty is taken into account, we still find that COVID-19 has a high fatality rate - on the order of 1% for a typical high-income country. This risk is concentrated in older ages, with the probability of dying from COVID-19 doubling approximately every eight years. https://www.webmd.com/lung/news/20201030/covid-19-infection-fatality-ratio-is-about-one-point-15-percent " The estimates of infection fatality rate tended to be more homogeneous within each location, while they differed markedly across locations " This is guessed based on the possible total case number which is unknown vs deaths. And guessed to be around 1.15-1.65. But this is just looking at areas around the world, which may be have a different health level than the U.S. So it's important not to treat these things as strict numbers with a guarantee. Or to act like it's nothing. It can be nothing. Or it can be severe. Or it can be life ending. And it can keep mutating. It's not that you're wrong, but it's that your wrong. Not on the data, but on how you interpret it. We're upto 500,000+ deaths. And that's using the same data as your figures. In fact, it's using harder data that is confirmed. https://www.who.int/bulletin/volumes/99/1/20-265892/en/ https://ourworldindata.org/mortality-risk-covid#what-we-want-to-know-isn-t-the-case-fatality-rate-it-s-the-infection-fatality-rate
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