Comments by "Gabor Rajnai" (@gaborrajnai6213) on "Thunderf00t"
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@valis992000 Yep, we had General Dynamics building, you know, the Saturn V around 1966. Kindof an awesome rocket too, way better than anything Musk has designed up to date. Or the Atlas rocket family from Lockheed from 1960, which can do 90% of what a Falcon 9 can, and 110% of what the satellite contractors want it to used for and doesnt cost 10 billion govt money to reinvent... Actually you could run all the satellite launches in the world for free for 3 years just by giving to sat launchers the subsidies Musk received to his rocket for the government. Musktards generally speak as if no other company built a rocket before Musk ever, meanwhile there are a dozen just in the USA, who were basically sidelined by the govt for a decade so Musk could have better business opportunities. To be honest he halted human scientific progress by a decade because ISS couldnt be utilized for its full potential of a crew of 6+ because he had to figure out a capsule, which any company, who built one in the last 60 years of spaceflight could do in a matter of few years.
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Boeing execs fly things into orbit regularly, yet they are not exactly the most popular people among Musk fandom. Boeing execs are not tech Jesuses, they do what they are payed for doing their job, quite abysmally recently, everybody understands that, then why should Musk be above critique. I really dont see what Musk made what wasnt already made before him. Ok so we can send stuff up into space, not that we couldnt send stuff up into space a priori, not that there werent the SaturnV or the Energija, which could send up 100 tons into space, if it was needed, but there never was a real incentive to send up 100 tons into orbit, except some quirky government projects. Maybe it will be commercially viable, most likely it will fail as all of its predecessors failed. It wont make space business cheaper, like ever, not because his rocket concepts dont work but because capitalism doesnt work thatway, capitalism works in a way that if he can charge NASA for 80 million per seat on his capsule, he will charge NASA 80 million per seat in his capsule, he wont cut prices for the sake of cutting prices, noone would do in his place.The only thing what could cut prices would be competition, but theres no real competition in the space industry. 70% of all satellite launches is done by governments, Americans wont send up their crucial satellites on Russian rockets, Russinas wont send up their crucial satellites on American rockets, and Chinese wont send up their satellites on both, its a national security concern. Let alone I dont see why lets say his hypersonic passenger liners would actually help humanity, on rocket launch combust more GHG gases than 50 jets, its an incredibly wasteful way of transport, thatswhy nobody even tried it before Musk. Clever people first calculate, what they actually want to achieve, not going in headon, because technology which supports their wild ideas doesnt grow out of the ground, if they sketch an idea. Yeah Musk could sketch giant electric rocket engines on his rockets, and sell it as groundbreaking innovation, yet as long as giant electric rocket engines dont exist it is a mundane enterprise. He uses the Steve Jobs recipe with some more credibility, Jobs sold computers with a promise that one will save the world thatway, Musk sells EVs, they dont sell physical products but visions, and objectively their most sought after products are Tesla stocks. What Elon Musk really do, is taking well known sci fi concepts from the past, which were all tried and failed and try to push them through with brute force and advertizing, hile gathering a bunch of sci fi fans behind his projects to support him.
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I would concur on the optimism about geoengineering. If it would be so easy to counter global warming by injecting stuff to the atmosphere, then it would be solved by itself, because warmer temperature means higher humidity means more clouds, means higher albedo, means lower temperature. I dont say it cant be done, but not on your scale of 8 billion tons of SO2. Truth is, we dont know exactly how much mount Pinatubo, Krakatoa, or the global dirty coal industry put into the atmosphere, we can just speculate wildly about it, but volcanoes tend to put more gases into the atmosphere by a single eruption than what humanity ever put into there.
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