Comments by "Rune of Svalbard" (@vladimirofsvalbard9477) on "The Rubin Report"
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I'm an independent that voted for Trump in 2016.
Believe me, this Presidential race was over before it began. Biden is insufferable, but that doesn't mean everybody is going to magically swap to Trump. Best case scenario, you get a 2020 rematch and Trump still loses. Republicans are focusing too much on social issues and voter assumptions, while completely ignoring the math.
Republicans CANNOT lose a single state that they won in 2020. On top of that, they must win 3 out of 5: Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. Democrats easily get an additional 5 million eligible voters that will show up to vote heavily in their favor.
The biggest problem is Republican voter turnout for 2022 and 2023. If Midterms and the recent General election reflect anything for GOP turnout in 2024; then Republicans will lose in a landslide.
Trump fatigue is real and Republicans don't have any energy left for another rematch. The only way Trump becomes President again, is if we have a Ross Perot situation where RFK takes more votes away from Biden.
In an open election between Trump and Biden; Trump will get crushed. His indictments have partially strengthened his support among men, but drastically cut down support from women. Polls largely indicate that Nikki Haley voters will vote for Biden if she is not the nominee.
Unless 25% of people under 40 magically switch from a (2020 Biden vote) to a 2024 Trump ticket; the Republicans will lose.
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