Comments by "Rutvik" (@rutvikrs) on "ThePrint"
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This conversation is an embodiment of why data has no meaning without qualitative analysis. He is wrong on several counts(Oh and I am a Kannadiga not from the north):
1. India has chosen states to become "earners". Example: MH's high GSDP is due to the financial center Mumbai. If FDI flows in today, it comes in through the state even if the resulting factory is in Gurugram, Coimbatore, Pune, Bengaluru or Noida. The concentration of Banking/Financial institutions is the reason. Just like that, PB and HR were chosen for the green revolution.
2. Coming to the south, TN was chosen for industrialization via Freight equalization policy. The entire belt between East to Central India lost its industries because of this. That is why TN which has not been the source of ores has the industry, but JH, BR, MP, CH, OR, AP, KR and even MH have the mines but the value add production is concentrated at TN. Another example is Coimbatore's mills are run predominantly by people groups from AP while India's cotton fields are predominantly between AP to GJ.
3. The nativist/regionalist/separatist sections of these selected states like PB, TN, MH have a spurious assumption that their inherent geographical advantages that caused their selection exists everywhere but the other states fail because of their "politics" or "education" or even "ideology"
(Additional points in replies else YT will delete this comment)
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This guy deserves a chapter in our future text books as the prime example of correlation does not equal causation.
1. His answer should have been, MH earns most of its GST in the city of Mumbai. As the financial capital, it recieves the foreign direct investment even if the economic activities happen in other states. They are one time or statutory transactions. KA/TN/HR on the other hand see this money first hand. MH was always going to see a smaller share of tax devolution, commensurate to the amount of economic activity in the state.
2. Instead he brings the cuckoo narrative around the axiom of population change. Correct me if I am wrong, but no state in the Hindi belt has a baby boomer policy around linguistic majoritarianism. South Indian TFRs dropped due to chunks of its population involved in manufacturing/ trade and relative local inflation due to economic mobility.
3. He straight up lies on population criterion being 75%, when the 14th and 15th finance commission caps it at 17.5 and 15% resp in written policy.
4. As a native of the state, Karnataka politics never revolved around the central allocation. 1.3% voted to spite the BJP, not for freebies. If anything the "son of the soil" JD(S) took the largest hit. This is simply infusing the kind of freebie politics that DMK has on to Karnataka.
5. I wonder why he focuses on BIMARU when there is another correlation that has worse cumulative ratio. Border hill states, J/K and NE India. If Bihar gets 900 for the 100 rupee it earns, all of the hill border hill states(Except HP) recieve north of(pun intended) 1000 with Arunachal at 4000. I may have a working theory on why these former set of states are in focus, it could be the percived political nature of the language spoken in Belt.
6. We could have had a far more interesting conversation if we discard propogandists like him because I bet he will walk away once his political objectives are met. Regarless of the state we need to spend more on capex instead of welfare policies so that states get to leverage their relative advantages to catch the fish instead of being fed.
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dark-footage PoK also has its own space program, 50+ skyscrapers, 300 universities, 25k hospitals, 85 nuclear reactors, unicorn breeding farms, 80 lane highways, free healthcare, oil reserves, ocean facing properties, quantum computers, semiconductor fab, and rive Olympic villages. J&K are regretting the decision to stay with Endia. 🥲
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