Comments by "Nicholas Conder" (@nicholasconder4703) on "Jake Broe" channel.

  1. This reminds me to the Battle of Normandy, including the armchair generals complaining about the pace of the advance. I am hoping Ukraine can pull off their version of Operation Cobra and silence the critics.
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  2.  @leonieromanes7265  One reason the US did so poorly in Vietnam is because they relied on a conscript army, much like Russia is doing right now in Ukraine. However, even then, the US army was more disciplined than the current Russian army.
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  3. This recruiting is probably going to reach a breaking point fairly soon.
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  4. Regarding the GLSDB, is it possible for them to switch out the guidance packages to make the concept work? If that is the reason they are not being used, surely there are other methods of guiding the weapons to make them functional.
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  5. Denys Davydov indicated today that the munitions storage facility was at Mais'ke, near Azovskoye, in the Dzhankosky Region of Crimea. He showed a satellite image of the base before and after the attack. It is now a flattened burned out smoking husk. It appears a number of Russian rocket artillery batteries were at the base at the time of the attack. And there is a bountiful harvest of artillery shells the residents can harvest from the ditches and roads in the area now, too.
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  6. Still too early to tell what will happen. Kamala needs to pick a centrist male running mate to attract the moderate Republicans who don't like Trump.
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  7.  @bunzeebear2973  Ironically enough, all the infrastructure already exists in Ukraine. All Ukraine needs to do is modernize it.
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  8. One thing to clarify, it was 20% of the equipment SENT TO THE FRONT LINE. In other words, 20% of the equipment in the attacking units that engaged the Russians, NOT 20% of all the equipment Ukraine has. That is a very important distinction to make.
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  9. Jake, I don't think the Russians did this deliberately, it was more an act of willful incompetence and negligence. If you look at the water levels, it appears that the dam was being overtopped by the water from the reservoir. Since the Russians filled in the emergency sluiceway to replace the road bridge destroyed by HIMARS in September last year, there has been no way to drain large volumes of water generated by the spring runoff. The images I have seen suggest one of two mechanisms, overtopping or hydraulic uplift. I suspect the latter. It is what caused the collapse of the St. Francis Dam in California in 1928. I personally feel that the Russians likely ignored the engineers and didn't allow them to work on the dam, so they are culpable for this disaster. Thing is, Crimea will now lose the source of 85% of its fresh water, and there is no replacement for it. So this is another example of Russia shooting itself in the foot.
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  10. You forgot to mention cutting the Russians off from their ammunition resupply. I wonder how long it will be before they run out of everything they need to fight. Including morale.
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  11. I rather liked what Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said, which was more or less he will believe it when he sees it. Considering Russia's propensity for breaking agreements, I agree with him.
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  12. Headline: "Putin is being told, 'Everything is going according to plan'". I'm guessing that Gerasimov didn't tell Putin WHOSE plan is being successful.
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  13. The issue is logistics. The Ukrainian road and rail network can only carry so much stuff. Those roads and rail systems must be maintained, and there is a limit to the number of trucks and rail cars that can go into and come out of Ukraine. Don't forget that in addition to war materials, those systems also have to transport fuel, replacement generators and power generation equipment, humanitarian aid and food to the Ukrainian people as well. The situation is a LOT more complicated than just sending stuff to Ukraine. And, in case you haven't noticed, a lot of supplies sent to Ukraine don't get announced, like the GLSDBs (which have shown up in Ukraine) and several SPGs and AFVs. What often happens is the right hand waves in the air to attract our attention while the left hand is slipping stuff in under the table.
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  14. I think Elon missed the word "lies" after "manufacturing".
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  15. The somewhat nebulous statement gives NATO quite a bit of flexibility as to the when and how Ukraine joins NATO. As Biden said at a press conference, Ukraine could join NATO 1 hour and 20 minutes after the treaty is signed. It also helps prevent Russia using this as an excuse for general mobilization, reduces the propaganda impact, etc.
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  16. The question is whether he shot civilians deliberately, or broke other normally accepted rules of war. That would make him a war criminal. Otherwise, he has tried to do the right thing, and took the opportunity to tell the truth when he had the chance. What he has done is a brave thing.
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  17. Regarding what Andrey Gurulyov was saying and how the Russians are acting, they obviously never about read the exchange between Truman and Molotov on April 23, 1945. Either that, or more likely they don't like it when the shoe is on the other foot. "... the veteran Soviet diplomat [Molotov] stormed out of the meeting after Truman told him off “in words of one syllable,” as the president [Truman] later recalled, for breaking deals that Soviet dictator Josef Stalin had cut with his wartime Western allies. Molotov complained that he had never been spoken to that way in his life. “Carry out your agreements and you won’t get to be talked to like that,” Truman responded." (Source: Andrew Glass, Politico, April 23, 2018).
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  18. Why don't we spread the rumor that the Ukrainian command centre is hidden beneath the Kremlin?
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  19. 6:00 Jake, you photos of those posters tells me that the old saying is still valid, "The more things change, the more they stay the same".
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  20.  @veronicamaine3813  A Roman soldier posted at Vindolanda (at Hadrian's Wall) would agree with you. There is a 2,000-year-old letter that was found asking for the people back home to send him socks.
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  21. So, it is OK for Russia to arrest or toss Western journalists out of Russia, but they get annoyed when we don't allow their journalists into the US. Oh, the hypocrisy.
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  22. Jake, you need to remember that Elon Musk is a South African Boer by descent. The people who created Apartheid in South Africa. The people who suppressed the native African populations in the Orange Free State when it existed as an independent country. Anyone who knows the history of South Africa shouldn't be surprised.
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  23. Suchomimus released a video earlier today indicating there is damage, some on the bridge, the other portside aft.
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  24. Well, the Ukrainians will have to give him citizenship, because he is a marked man in Russia now.
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  25. Arresting people for playing football ... and Russia wonders why other countries don't like them!
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  26. Like almost all the major pro-Russian western bloggers out there, she appears to be someone who had her ego punctured because she did something illegal and was kicked out of her job. Indeed, if you look at the backgrounds of most of these characters you find 1) they have enormous egos and 2) they were either booted out of the service, arrested in Ukraine for passing information to the Russians, were charged and served time for pedophilia, disbarred from being a lawyer, fleeing the country because they were being investigated for real estate fraud, or passed over for promotion because they were misogynistic, racist and bigoted. ALL OF THEM have had run-ins with the law, which pretty much tells you everything you need to know about them. Most of their sites have very similar comments like, "Your site is the only one telling the truth!", which sounds suspiciously like bots praising them, or they are basically using pseudonyms to prop up the number of likes on their own channels. I also noted that every time I have mentioned their less-than-sterling pasts, none of the "commenters" or the channel hosts have replied (i.e. no one defends them, and they don't defend themselves either).
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  27. 4:00 The Russians recreate the Luftwaffe Stalingrad airlift ... with helicopters.
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  28.  @martijnstam6186  Self-inflicted wound. Well, I have read that Russian missiles have had a 50% failure rate so far in the war.
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  29. Of course, it is possible that this is part of a Russian hacking effort. They tried to demonetize "The Enforcer" last night as well.
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  30. The fact that Russian soldiers are often more willing to commit suicide rather than surrender says a lot about their brainwashing, and who the real fanatics are. Also how cheap they consider their lives are.
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  31. Seeing the final video clip, I wonder how much the Avostal and other Ukrainian troops know about the current state of the war. I bet they would be pleasantly surprised to hear about the counteroffensive.
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  32.  @mastoner20  The pace of the operation is fairly slow, which suggests to me that the Ukrainians are trying to force the Russians to expend all their ammunition and fuel. This will place the Russians in an untenable position, so they will hopefully surrender. Fighting this way will keep casualties on both sides to a minimum, and preserve the city of Kherson. At least that is my hope.
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  33. I agree with you analysis of her statement.
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  34. Jake, quick correction. The Germans originally planned to bomb London as part of their attack on England. It is because the RAF became so effective at defending their airfields that Germany decided to switch their campaign from airfields to London sooner than planned.
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  35. The theory that the Kremlin is using Bakhmut to destroy the Wagner group is not far-fetched. It is a standard technique used by dictators to get rid of rivals, like Castro had the Bolivians dispose of Che Guevara.
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  36.  @josephkenosky  More importantly you can replicate the results multiple times to confirm you thesis. And the results should (unless there is severe bias or fraud occurring) be similar across all replications AND be capable of being replicated by others. Because fields like economics, politics, psychology, etc., usually end up having a single data point (degrees of freedom = 0), and with the chaotic nature of human interactions, they cannot be considered sciences. They can be studied, yes, but it needs to be remembered that all the results from any such study will be extremely subjective and open to multiple interpretations.
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  37. There is a third option, Russian partisans. This strikes me as something that the NRA (National Republican Army) would do.
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  38.  @LemiBee  Which likely means that Trump get in. The only way to keep Trump out of the White House is to vote for Biden.
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  39. You have to really wonder about this idiots. Saying that the Ukrainian language doesn't exist would be like the Spanish saying that Portuguese is not a language.
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  40. 13:42 Regarding Putin's ceasefire comments, has Putin's nose reached the end of the known universe yet?
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  41. Problem is that Ukraine lacks the long-range missiles to reach out and knock down the Russian air patrols at over 100km range. And, they have to worry about the 300-500km range of the S-400 missiles. What is needed are missiles that can reach out to the standing Russian air patrols, and the ability to hit Russian AA missile systems inside Russia. I believe some of the US AA missiles have that capability, but to use them you need F-16s or other western aircraft. One thing I will say, I won't be at all surprised if the F-16s show up in Ukraine sooner than expected, like the M-777s, HIMARs, cluster munitions, ...
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  42. Can you convince other people you know to either refuse to vote or vote Democrat?
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  43.  @stargazer-elite Sadly a no-fly zone was off the table. The reason being is that the Russians could have pulled their air forces back into Russia, and just kept tossing AA missiles at the NATO aircraft enforcing the no-fly zone. So the NATO forces would have two options, neither good. First, declare war on Russia, but Russia could claim it is defending itself from a militaristic expansionistic NATO. Second, allow your planes to be shot down because you cannot retaliate against AA missiles fired from a foreign country.
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  44. I suspect the reason that Prigozhin stopped this rebellion is because he wasn't getting the political and military support he needed for this to succeed. In addition, Russia was starting to attack all the logistical infrastructure along the route, including their own oil depots, etc.
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  45. Russia is currently recruiting 1) industrial workers from factories and work places that have shut down, 2) prisons, and 3) people up to 65 years in age. This suggests they are really having manpower issues.
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  46. 8:30 That is the most pathetic "Urrah!" I have ever heard.
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  47.  @ros8737  More importantly to Russia is denying those resources to Ukraine. Russia doesn't need Ukrainian oil and gas per se, but hopes to play "dog in the manger" with them. By sitting on the oil and gas reserves in those regions Russia is effectively impoverishing Ukraine and preventing them from becoming a major economic player in Europe.
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  48. I think giving Ukraine the Storm Shadow makes more sense than providing them with ATACMs missiles. The Storm Shadow has some stealth capability, and is more likely to penetrate Russian defenses than the ATACMs.
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  49. I know of at least one of the people this sergeant and you are talking about, and quite frankly I get ticked off with him myself. I personally want to smack him across the side of the head.
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  50. Because 1) Western troops are not deployed in Ukraine, so they cannot operate the equipment, 2) It takes a long time to train operators from scratch on using this equipment, and 3) You have to decide what priority takes priority over the other priorities like ammo for the front lines, fuel for the trucks, etc. And if you put all the air defenses around the dams, Russia then just strikes the thermal power plants in eastern Ukraine. So, what do you choose to protect first, the dams not producing power or your few remaining power plants?
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