Comments by "Nicholas Conder" (@nicholasconder4703) on "Jake Broe"
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There other benefit these attacks have is reducing the domestic production of gasoline, diesel and jet fuel. This will not only negatively affect Russia's foreign trade (and hence their economy, which is already suffering), but also threaten Russia's ability to fuel its war machine. After all, without these refineries and the products they produce, many of Russia's trains, and all their cars, trucks, tanks, IFVs, self-propelled artillery and aircraft are just heavy, expensive paperweights. Lack of fuel is one thing that killed the Wehrmacht in WW2, and it could do the same thing in Ukraine.
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Jake, you did get one thing wrong. Putin is not a fascist. He is a Nazi, a National Socialist.
If you look at Russian economics nowadays, Putin's government is gradually taking control of all commerce and industry, a sure sign of hardline socialism. You can determine this quickly by looking at who owns the major shares of companies in Russia, and the megacorporations that own them. For example, a quick check of the aviation industry shows that all aircraft manufacturers are subsidiaries of United Aircraft Corporation, which, surprise surprise, currently has the current Russian Minister of Trade and Industry as Chairman, and the company President is the former Minister of Trade and Industry.
The Kremlin government believes in "Russkiy Mir" and Russification, which is a nationalistic policy much like that held by Nazi Germany. They believe in the racial superiority of the Slavs, and that the Russians are the top Slavs. The also believe in cultural (if not actual) genocide.
The sooner people realize that Putin and his cronies are Nazis, the more likely people will realize the huge threat they represent.
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Nice to see you on "The Enforcer" last night. Glad you decided to sit in on the live stream.
Last year in February I had my doubts that Russia would invade Ukraine, mostly because I didn't think Putin was THAT STUPID! Obviously, one year of war has proven that Putin IS that stupid. Having watched shows like "The Caspian Report" and "Good Times Bad Times" I have come to the conclusion that Putin felt he HAD TO take Ukraine for multiple reasons, mostly economic with some imperialistic geopolitics thrown in for good measure.
I think Putin has always dreamed of recreating an imperial Russia that occupies the same borders as the USSR, or perhaps even including the Slavic Warsaw Pact nations as well. He has been working towards this by fostering discontent, infiltrating agents to sow misinformation and distrust, and propping up puppets in places like Belarus and Ukraine. Everything was going fairly well, in spite of the westward leanings of Belarus and Ukraine, because he had corrupt pro-Russian rulers in both places (Lukashenko and Yanukovych). All the plans for a gradual takeover of Ukraine then flew out the window when large oil and gas reserves were discovered in Ukraine in 2012. Suddenly there was another country right next door with enormous hydrocarbon reserves that could sell these products to the EU that Putin did not directly control. Development of these reserves would do two things: 1) create a large dent in Russia's oil and gas revenues, threatening the Russian economy, and 2) undercut the political leverage that Putin figured he was obtaining by getting the EU hooked on Russian oil and gas supplies. Also, gaining these reserves would mean Russia would have access to hydrocarbons that were easier and cheaper to extract than their own reserves.
At this point Putin may have panicked, especially because Ukraine was developing closer ties to the EU. He put pressure on Yanukovych to drop association with the EU, only to have the Euromaidan Revolution throw his puppet out of power. Now Putin really panicked, and went all in to gain control of Crimea and Donbass (where the bulk of these reserves are located). Unfortunately for Putin, he didn't have any real war plans concocted, and the operation appears to have been more improvised than planned. However, because Ukraine was still in turmoil politically and militarily, the insurgents were able to seize Donbass and the Russian special forces captured Crimea. Although Ukraine was able to stabilize the situation, they could not effectively counter it, especially because of the lukewarm reaction of Europe and, to a certain extent, the US.
However, this did not resolve Putin's problem. He now sat on top of what he considered the biggest threat to Russia's economic future, but he had a major problem. In the course of their planning Putin and his generals had overlooked something that threatened to undermine their invasion of Crimea, the North Crimea Canal. As you probably know, this canal runs from the Dnipro River from just behind the Nova Khakovka Dam to reservoirs and irrigation ditches in Crimea. According to Wikipedia, "A 2015 study found that the canal had been providing 85% of Crimea's water ... 72% went to agriculture and 10% to industry, while water for drinking and other public uses made up 18%." Well, after Russia stole Crimea, the Ukrainians blocked this canal, leading to severe water shortages in the region. Putin went ahead and built up the military infrastructure so Russia could dominate the northern Black Sea Region, only to realize that everything would turn to naught because there was insufficient water. Ukraine had Russia over a barrel, a water barrel. Between 2014 and 2022, even with severe water rationing, the reservoir capacities in Crimea went from 100% to just 7% in January 2022. All attempts to create work-arounds for this problem failed. So Putin decided he must secure the water supply for Crimea from Ukraine, and to prevent this from happening again, install a puppet regime in Kyiv or just annex the country. This may also explain why he made a big fuss about annexing those regions back into Russia.
Besides, I suspect part of the reason for this invasion in because Ukraine has had the temerity to stand up to Putin for 8 years. It must hurt his psychopathic ego.
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