Comments by "seneca983" (@seneca983) on "KaiserBauch" channel.

  1.  @ItsMeTyler  I think it's far too common for people to be overconfident in predictions. Just because you think that I sound pseudo intellectual doesn't mean you're not being overconfident when you predict something as "inevitable".
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  2.  @ItsMeTyler  "Long term predictions and analysis support my claim" I'm a bit skeptical of that. At the very least, you haven't shown any such analysis. Also note that there's a big difference between saying that some event is, based on your analysis, likely and that it's inevitable. The latter is an extremely strong claim and would require extraordinarily strong evidence. (I don't live in Canada.)
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  3.  @aftereight9143  Establishing a global state is very difficult. I would be very surprised if something like that could be established that quickly. Also, it's not necessarily an unlucky outcome. That would depend a lot on the details of such global state.
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  4.  @Tiglath-PileserXIX  Shouldn't it be 10 (or maybe 13) new states rather than just 1?
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  5. Birth rates of immigrants tend to also decline after a generation or two.
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  6.  @Roarmeister2  It's not imaginary. The scientific evidence for the effect of anthropogenic greenhouse emissions is quite strong.
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  7. Btw, I've noticed that it's not that uncommon for a country to have a both a liberal right-wing party and a conservative right-wing party but I can't recall a single example of a country with both a liberal and a conservative left-wing party.
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  8. 5:15 While there might be truth to that, I don't think it applies to Netanyahu. If some kind of liberal equivalent of him faced a trial for similar crimes and tried to escape it through judicial reform, I don't think the college educated class ignore scandal just because of political affiliation. Of course, I can't be 100% sure.
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  9.  @pyongyangbroadcastingservi3086  "If 1.26 million annual maternal deaths comes from an 8 billion population" I'm guessing you're taking this number from Our World in Data which gets it from using the maternal death rate for Finland and Sweden in 1800? It should be noted that other places may have had a higher rate, possibly much higher, in the past. It seems e.g. South Sudan today has more than 3x that rate.
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  10.  @pyongyangbroadcastingservi3086  That doesn't really affect what I was saying. I just meant that if the rate of maternal death due to giving birth in the past was similar to South Sudan today (which sounds plausible, though hardly certain), the numbers of deaths from giving birth in the past might be 3x or 4x what you calculated. That might still not be enough to overturn your argument but I still wanted to mention it.
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  11. Between Italy and Croatia?
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  12. 23:05 Since you seem to care about pronunciation a lot, you might want to know that the 'c' in "ostracism" is pronounced as an 's'. Or at least I think it is, I'm not a native English speaker either.
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  13. "We might even see culturally noneuropean countries i.e. India, China "whiteshift"." Why wouldn't you expect to see European countries to "asianshift" instead?
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  14. 28:30 In case you're curious, the correct pronunciation would basically be "Lestadian".
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  15. Why are so many people mentioning Saar in the comments?
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  16.  @Jkatharsis  "There is only one way to fix demographics. Remove retirements paid by state." Are you sure that would work? One way people might deal with a lack government pension is by just saving for retirement and doing that can be easier if you don't have the financial burden children bring.
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  17.  @Jkatharsis  For most of those thousands of years there wasn't a practical option of securing your old age by accumulating financial assets, unlike in the present day. Also, in the days of yore even fairly young children were assets rather than a burden as they could be used for things like farm labor. Not so in the present day. Also, in this modern era you often can't force your children to do anything when they reach the age of majority; that includes them supporting you (except in some countries that have filial support laws).
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  18. 6:30 Is there a reason why Guyana, Suriname, Belize, and Jamaica are grey?
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  19.  @AAhmou  I was just wondering whether independence was really necessary at that point. The Americans got angry at e.g. tea policies that made tea cheaper mostly on principle. Also, gaining independence much later might have meant that the US would've had Canada as well.
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  20. "a note about median age...doesnt it increase because people in the west live longer?" For median it doesn't matter how much beyond the median age people live. Maybe you were thinking of mean rather than median?
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  21. That would be a violation of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.
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  22.  @danhubert-hx4ss  They can do that but they would indeed have to withdraw from the Treaty first. I think doing that would be a bad idea. It's important to not weaken the taboo on nuclear weapons. However, if Russia decides to use nukes then that changes everything.
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  23. The beginning of the video sounded very much like a lead-up to Ground News sponsorship.
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  24.  @overdose8329  "Unfortunately, that’s not the case." Any evidence for that?
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  25. 29:15 But Hitler was (at least nominally) Catholic, wasn't he?
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  26. @giftokoh7153 He was baptized as a Catholic and I don't he ever formally renounced the faith. That's what I meant by him being nominally a Catholic. I'm not claiming he believed in Catholic teachings or even God at all.
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  27. "quickly develop nuclear energy" I don't think that's something you can do quickly.
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  28.  @jirislavicek9954  I'm from Finland myself so maybe my perspective is skewed by seeing how long it took for Olkiluoto 3 to be completed (and Flamanville 3 in France seems to be proceeding roughly at the same pace). Building nuclear power may make sense but I think some other low-emission electricity sources are needed too while the nuclear reactors are under construction.
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  29.  @madmouse4400  Are you replying to me or urbanarmory? It's not clear to me what "it" is referring to in your comment.
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  30.  @madmouse4400  OK, thanks. Of course, my comment was just a hypothetical what-if. I'm not trying to predict how likely peace is.
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  31. 31:15 I think we becoming "much poorer" as societies is an exaggeration. We have been constantly getting richer due to advancing technology and that component is unlikely to disappear so it should still offset a large part of the burden of the elderly people who are non-productive and in need of care. Also, governments will likely react by increasing retirement ages. Thus we will likely experience stagnation or even decline but probably not so much as to become "much poorer".
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  32.  @snapdragonzoroark  The distribution of wealth is another matter.
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  33.  @fniunior  One stance one could take is that greenhouse emissions should be reduced but not all the way to net zero (or at least not quite so fast as the current plans dictate) since it's too hard.
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  34. 15:00 I'm rather surprised surprised that in Sweden unemployment is so high the area surrounding the Stockholm county (though not in Stockholm county itself) as well as in the south in Skåne and Blekinge.
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  35.  @ihatemotionblur_3255  At a first glance, the comment section of this video seems better than those of his other videos.
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  36. I don't think the Algerian example is very relevant. An event like that isn't at all likely in Europe nor would it be desirable.
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  37.  @sleeper9638  "who's main civilisational developments came from being colonised" I don't think that's correct, at least not for Indonesia.
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  38. Parties that want to deport people probably don't want to spend money to develop infrastructure in Africa.
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  39. 6:20 Dividends that are paid abroad represent a capital inflow, not an outflow.
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  40. "So many smoke" In many countries the percentage of smokers is declining and has been doing that for many decades.
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  41.  @mefistowski5292  "Declining does not mean gone" Yeah. I only wanted to comment to say that in this regard one shouldn't pine for the "good old days" because it was worse in the past.
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  42.  @jirislavicek9954  Yeah, but I mostly wanted to say that it was worse in the past.
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  43. Btw, it seems that North Korea much better demographics (though they're not really that good either). What's the reason for the difference?
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  44.  @dandankokorohikareteku2620  And also fatter.
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  45.  @traumvonhaiti  Additionally, Russia also has a need for Central Asian guest workers.
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  46. "I guess Polanf will need to find a way to bring in Female immigrants." I think that has basically happened for one source country, namely Ukraine. Of course, that's temporary.
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  47.  @jimmierustler4887  That doesn't still answer my "why" question which was my main point.
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  48.  @CovocNexus  I don't think you can reasonably call Fuentes a "fed".
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  49.  @GigaNietzsche  That's rather vague. I still don't see why voting rights should be tied to military service (like OP said).
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  50.  @JSM-bb80u  Don't say that to me. I'm not in favor such restrictions of voting rights.
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