Comments by "Tony Wilson" (@tonywilson4713) on "Triggernometry" channel.

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  9. Francis is quite right about one thing. We have had public discourse TOTALLY HIJACKED by a tiny minority on an "ideological crusade" for want of any better description. I absolutely agree with Francis these people have made public discussion of the topic almost impossible. Where Francis is wrong however is there are these very rare cases of people, who for whatever reason are genetically caught between male and female. A famous example is the South African athlete Caster Semenya who has a testable, verifiable genetic condition. So Francis can't just say there's only male & female because there are these rare cases BUT are NOT the people being discussed. What's being discussed are people who psychologically want to identify as whatever they like. This all comes from an ideology that's been pushed before. There's the famous case of David Reimer. He had a tragic accident as a child and a psychologist named John Money stepped in. John Money claimed David would be fine raised as a girl so long as nobody told him. It ended tragically when David Reimer committed suicide. People like John Money were dismissed as fringe lunatics and cases like David Reimer's PROVED their ideas were simply WRONG. How these ideas have made a comeback is ridiculous. Just like happened with the repressed memory cases of the late 1990s that also were found to be manifestations of fringe psychology the few people who were genuine cases got lost on the mess. Others got tragically destroyed in the witch hunts as happened to a friend of mine's family. This is the problem with fringe ideologies. They cause real harm and for whatever reason the psychology community seems to attract fringe ideologies.
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  13. Very interesting comment. I'm an Australian engineer and I have worked with numerous German companies and their engineering people over the the last 30+ years. I've always seen the Germans as very pragmatic with technology yet that seems to have changed dramatically. I think what your suffering is from people so ideologically driven they will ignore common sense and reality. Both the Left and Right can doit easily. We see the American Right doing it now. A few years ago I heard how the Germans spent €1.3 Trillion on renewables to REDUCE emissions. The Greens then forced the closure of the nuclear power instead of the coal power. Instead of emissions going down they went up. Its insane for a Green party to chose higher emissions over reducing emissions and its a lot of emissions. Most of the worlds coal fired power stations are not only old they are also inefficient which means they pump out a lot more CO2 than newer technology. So the German Greens are either so ideologically driven they're blind to reality or they've been infiltrated. In Australia we've just started passing new environmental that might prevent every project unless they do not damage the environment. The problem is almost every human activity damages the environment in some way. Food production, cotton production, every metal we use including recycling does some sort of damage. The materials we make wind turbines and solar panels out of do some sort of damage. Almost everything we do, does some sort of environmental damage. I love that the Greens want to save the planet. I really do, but unless they are going to behave sensibly they have to start being practical. We need to turn the coal fired power stations off. We need to delay forcing electric cars until the infrastructure exists. We can save extraordinary amounts of energy with building efficiency like triple glazing all the office towers.
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  16. FARK GUYS - I love so many of your conversations but what I can't stand is this stream of hyper-funded radical Right Wing clowns. I know you have Lefties on every so often like you did with David Pakman AND I know he acted in bad faith to you guys with a short video on his channel. I called out his bad faith on that and I got panned by some of his fans. Because the one thing I cannot stand are people who act in bad faith. Marion presents a lot of facts I agree with but I cannot stand his bad faith or the sneakiness with which he does it. For instance his claim that the energy crisis is from bad policy is 100% true BUT the claim or inference that it is totally due to Green policies is one of the worst lies being perpetrated on the planet. Yes without doubt the Greens have been very vocal on changing the source of energy to green technologies but that is only a fraction of the story. FIRST: Power stations do not last forever. They have a basic lifetime of 20-30 years which can be extended to around 50 years with rebuilds and overhauls. But no matter what is done they reach a point where they are done. So this time period where we need to build new power stations has been coming for decades. The difference in public opinion is over what type of power generation. SECOND: NOBODY has kept up with the power demands in developed nations. I'm an engineer and found out several years ago that my country (Australia) has a huge problem. We haven't built any new large bulk delivery power stations since the 1990s. We've built a few smaller power stations and some wind and solar farms but no large scale bulk delivery. I call these power stations Gigawatt class power stations because they can deliver more than 1,000 Megawatts (1 Gigawatt) of power constantly 24/7. THIRD: The Energy generation issue is 100% an economic issue. Britain is currently building one of the very few Gigawatt class power stations anywhere in the world with Hinkley Point C that has been commenced since the year 2000. Its also an economic lesson that explains the problem. Hinkley Pt. C took 7 years to approve and will take 10 years to build with a planned commissioning date of 2027. At £26 Billion pounds those 17 years are impossible to economically justify to any private corporation. Most CEOs are over 60 with many over 70 and a few very influential CEOs over 80 with a couple over 90. The same can be said for many politicians. How do you justify to people of that age to invest that much when they wont see anything for 17 years. Other large scale power generation plants might not take as long as a nuclear power station but when you're building Gigawatt class power generation NOTHING IS SIMPLE OR QUICK. As an engineer I can't begin to explain how angry people like Marion get me with the economic rationalism and other garbage. They are never the people who have to deal with building a mine or factory or power station or water treatment plant, but they tell people like me to get it done and deal with the issues THEY CREATE.
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  17. I wouldn't say perfect (although it is very good) because he's also gliding over some very complex issues very simplistically. Take the Lab Leak. In the early it wasn't just a lab leak it was a weapon either accidentally released or deliberately released. Dr. Michael Osterholm (director of CIDRAP) and one of the few people who's been both accurate and realistic about the whole pandemic, pointed out (earlier in 2021) that between the outright natural occurrence and the leaked weapon there's 1000s of answers but only 1 is correct. Konstantin fails to point out we never got to have a rational public discussion on the origin. There other thing he completely glides over (or outright ignores) was Trumps politicizing of the issue. America is now fundamentally a 2 bipartisan tribal state where people are (by peer pressure) driven into 1 of 2 camps. The moment Trump politicized and the rest of American politics jumped into the fray there were 2 answers and nothing else was allowed to be discussed. There in lies the problem of over simplifying complex problems which is only ever made worse by politics and catastrophic by partisan politics. The number of discussable answers becomes limited because GROUP THINK TAKES OVER and you are either 100% with your group or you are the enemy. I like these guys but he's dug a bit of a hole here which we all do at times. We want or present simple answers to complex problems. Occasionally the simple answer is all we need, but that's the exception not the norm.
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  32.  @squoblat  I got a blunt lesson in these practicalities circa 2002 from a classmate who at the time was in the ISS construction program. These days she's at a level where if you don't have her signature your stuff isn't going to the ISS. At that time my idea was satellite servicing. There was $14 Billion in functioning satellites being dumped into the ocean each year for no other reason than they'd run out of fuel. At that time I was doing automation systems for manufacturing and the best and most reliable money in that game isn't installing robots and programing them its maintenance. My proposal wasn't new. I was actually rehashing previous proposals. She quite bluntly crushed it with the reality that we didn't have the life support or propulsion to do that task. I know it was circa 2002 because around the same time I also met Harrison Schmitt (Apollo 17) who was here in Australia for the 30th anniversary of his mission. I got to talk to him and told him what I had discussed previously with that friend at NASA. He crushed it with another reality - launch access. if you want to work in space you need launch access and servicing satellites instead of replacing them would smash the launch industry who are the very people you need launch access from. Then he told me something else _"Go have a look at Helium-3. Right at that time Australia was just starting a decade long boom in mining construction. So I had the brilliant (or not) idea that if I combined actual remote mine site construction experience with what I already had the consortium wanting to build a lunar Helium-3 mine they'd see that experience favorably. What I got out of it was a brutal set of practical lessons and to this day (as far as I know) I am the only aerospace engineer to have ever worked in that environment. Remote mines have several stages of life. 1) Remote survey by satellites and airplanes. 2) On the ground survey. Usually a couple of geologists with a 4WD, some shovels & picks. 3) Drill program where they send out a drilling rig, drill rig team, support hardware and do a drilling program. 4) Site construction 5) Operations I can tell you that Apollo was the equivalent of stage 2. A couple of guys doing a site survey and picking up some samples to test back at the lab. I can tell the amount of hardware needed for stage 3 is staggering. At stage 2 you only need something like a Toyota Landcruiser. At stage 3 you need Mack trucks and 3-5 of them at least, plus a few Landcruisers. You need to set up a place for the crew to live for 3-4 months, that includes toilets, showers, food storage, communications, fuel storage,.... AND A SUPPLY LINE because you keep consuming water, food & fuel. Then if a mine is going to be built BEFORE you even start you have to build a camp for the 100s (maybe several 1000) workers to live in. At that point you are now talking things like a power station, air field, fuel dump, mess hall & kitchen, fresh water treatment plant and a sewerage treatment plant. At that point you haven't even started on the actual mine. the actual first thing that has to be built is the workshop, because the moment you start the actual site construction (the hole and the dirt processing plant) you have bulldozers, diggers, cranes and all sorts of hardware doing work that requires maintenance. Nobody has even done a drilling program to actually ascertain what resources are available or even considered how that would be supported. Just a basic workshop to support the basic work means several tons of hardware launched off the planet flown to the moon, and landed on the moon. Just trying to cover these basic concepts with the sci-fi fantasy league is so frustrating. I spent a chunk of my career working some real crap places so I could actually answer questions like "What are the basics of the task of setting up a moon base?" Sorry for the long answer, but I think your one of the few people who can grasp this stuff.
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  41.  @djknox2  Bottom line is Dj they aren't correct and a lot of us are fed up having to repeat the same evidence again and again. Here's the data from NOAA that actually counts along with the NASA page on this: NOAA: https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/climate-change-atmospheric-carbon-dioxide NASA: https://climate.nasa.gov/evidence/ I'm an aerospace engineer not a climate scientist. These days I work in control systems which are the computers that run processing plants, factories and mine sites. Part of my job is setting up the alarms so that operators are alerted when something isn't right. Just like the little warning lights in your car. I can tell you for a fact that if this was any sort of industrial plant we would have already shut down about 70 or more years ago because it was so far outside normal. To give that perspective how far CO2 is out of normal its like running the 100m in about 7seconds flat. Can you imagine of somebody just appeared and ran that fast. Would everybody stand back and applaud or would they start demanding drug tests? Imagine if one of the Formula 1 teams was suddenly 20-30seconds faster than everyone else. Do you really think the other teams would just go "wow" or do you think they would be screaming for the stewards to inspect the car? Well that's what people like Patrick Moore are asking us to all do. They are asking us to ignore the data and ignore all the other scientists and ignore the extraordinary state the planet is in and just accept what they say.
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  45. She also nailed the biggest issue the left across the entire Western Developed World have. The Left DON'T have clear answers or plans for working class people. That's staggering considering the left are historically associated with the working class. Ideas like coal workers simply retraining as coders doing apps is bullshit. I'm an engineer and know how much that's BS. On the flip side she completely regurgitated the right wing bullshit on Obama Care, which was actually a rebadged Mitt Romney policy. On that subject she behaved like any other right wing partisan hack. She was also consistently against the left as if they are ALL far left. I agree on most of what she says about the FAR left, but they don't represent a lot of left leaning people just as the far right don't represent a lot of the right. She never compared the far left to the far right or what they do that's very similar and equally revolting. Its possible her work as part of Fox makes her NOT want to acknowledge that. She's very right about being able to talk about things. If you go back to Jordan Peterson's famous outdoor speech about the freedom to use words its similar. He said you have to be able to use words and discuss things even if they are uncomfortable or you'll never solve the problems that exist. On the rest of it she's pretty much spot on considering I'm commenting 9 moths later. It has stayed tribal and it has stayed ugly. The Afghanistan evacuation just ended (or the main part of it did) and the GOP hacks are screaming about how bad its been as they forget and ignore that Trump did the deal with the Taliban. There's one thing I absolutely agree on. Joe Biden is NOT the solution to America's problems. He's too tied to the other side of America's corporate establishment. He hired economic advisors out of Goldman Sachs and Blackrock just like Trump did. That stuff is really at the core of Americas wealth and division issues. And that's been covered up by the failed media empires of which she has been a part.
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  46. Great comment and you are right all across the board. I'm an aerospace engineer and I hate to break it to you but the bulk of this audience don't care for scientific facts. I beta my head against the wall at times with the nonsense some of these people push. Robert Zubrin has been dismissed so many times that serious people aren't interested in his nonsense any more. The things he's right about he is right. NASA did lose its way after Apollo and many technologies we did need to develop either stalled or died. I loved the initial enthusiasm of the Mars Society to do stuff because it started to redress that. But then he and the Mars Society just reverted into this delusional science fiction fantasy nonsense. There was NEVER a serious Mars mission planned for 1980 or Saturn by 1990 or Alpha Centauri by 2000. I can barely believe some of the nonsense he's said here. That claim about matter not being able to be made or destroyed. Sorry but Einstein not only worked that out he gave is the formula E=mc². Then he claimed the moon has no carbon or nitrogen and yet IT DOES, its just in very small amounts. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lunar_resources#Carbon_and_nitrogen. You've pointed out that nobody has worked out how to make a stable self sustaining ecology with enough plant life so we can process waste and produce food, clean water and breathable air. Yes people have been at that but nobody has come close to cracking it. Its not that its impossible its just that its so damn hard because biologival systems are incredibly complex. I find it very frustrating that he's found a way to grab the microphone again and again. I don't mind him talking about the things that need saying but peddling science fiction as science fact helps nobody. It's why NASA and others want so little to do with him these days.
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