Comments by "gary K" (@garyK.45ACP) on "Liberal Hivemind"
channel.
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Meh...big nothing burger. Democrats will still control the Senate. Here's the math:
If Sinema declares she will not caucus with either party, the count is 50-49-1
If Sinema declares she will caucus with the Dems (not likely) the count is 51-49
If Sinema declares she will caucus with Republicans, the count s 50-50 and Kamala breaks the tie.
Sinema will continue to vote exactly as she has.
She did this to avoid being primaried in 2024 when she runs for reelection. Dems were going to primary her, pull her funding and make sure she lost the primary. Because she didn't vote to end the filibuster. Now they can't. NOW, if Dems run a candidate against her in the General election, they will split the Dem vote and get the Republican elected. AZ does not have runoffs. A Republican could win with 35% of the vote if Sinema and the Dem split what's left.
Shrewd move, Kyrsten!
They would do the same to Manchin, if they could, but there is NO WAY any Dem primary challenger would defeat Manchin.
Dems will not run a candidate against a popular Independent. Just ask Bernie Sanders or Angus King. Just ask Bill Clinton what happens when you do, he got elected both times because an independent, Ross Perot, split the Republican vote both times.
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