Comments by "snuffeldjuret" (@snuffeldjuret) on "Thunderf00t"
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@sangwaraumo I think he misses more predictions than other people, but I think it is quite exaggerated as many times he just expresses possibilities rather than predictions. I really see these misinterpretations all the time. I think it is important to correctly interpret people, especially if you want to be criticize what they say. I mean, if I say "we could land a man on the Moon in 2024", how would you interpret that? Compare that interpretation to me saying "We will se an orbital flight of Starship this year". Surely you can see a significant difference in the level of these predictions?
Additionally, it is quite common place to miss predictions in the space business, SLS, JWST, New Glenn, Vulcan, Starliner are the current things that comes to mind right now. Maybe you think all that is scammy as well, fair enough, but I don't think you can take an honest look at this whole situation and see Musk as the worst "scammer" in all of this.
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@sangwaraumo don't conflate hope and wishful thinking though, quite different concepts. I seriously doubt there will be 1 million people on Mars by 2050, but I hope it'll happen because that would be cool. This is not wishful thinking, wishful thinking would be believing it would actually happen by that year. I seriously doubt Elon thinks it'll happen as he knows he sets unrealistic timelines to foster motivation. Do you think he believes it'll happen? Same with Dear Moon, you can see he has his doubts about the 2023 year, but he can't really say he doesn't believe in it as he wants people to work hard towards the goal of getting there, so it won't be delayed more than necessary.
So, you don't want to laugh at Blue Origins unrealistic timelines? That kind of makes you look like just another irrational Elon hater tbh. I mean, come on... I would have thought that Jeff Bezos would be quite a juicy target for your ridicule. I mean, even though his company is older than SpaceX and he is richer than Musk, they haven't even send any person to space yet.
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